Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 16 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 61' Fabio Vieira
Jarell Quansah 78' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SVBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
09 May VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
02 May RB Leipzig H 4–1 W
25 Apr 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W
22 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–2 L
18 Apr FC Augsburg H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
10 May SC Freiburg H 3–2 W
02 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–1 W
25 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–2 L
18 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 1–3 L
12 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Hamburger SV
#6 Position #13
59 Points 38
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 9 / 11 / 14
68 Scored 40
47 Conceded 54
+21 GD -14
1.74 PPG 1.12
50% Win % 26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
1/
16-30
/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/
76+
/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Bayer 04 Leverkusen is hosting Hamburger SV for another epic battle.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Hamburger SV is showing some good football. However, Hamburger SV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Jarell Quansah has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 24' Hamburger SV player sees a card in front of him.
  • 29' It looks surprising Hamburger SV does not make any changes. Edmond Tapsoba has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' The travelling Hamburger SV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fabio Vieira suffering a number of foals already.
  • 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Montrell Culbreath, as he is very good at scoring at BayArena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 49' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 59' Nicolai Remberg needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 61' Goal! Fabio Vieira scores his 23 goal in 491 matches.
  • 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Arthur Augusto on 66.
  • 71' It’s high time Kasper Hjulmand made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hamburger SV that had 268 games and scored 203 goals.
  • 78' It’s a booking for Hamburger SV player. Nicolas Capaldo gets a card.
  • 78' GOAL! Jarell Quansah scores on 78. Assisted by Aleix Garcia
  • 79' Jarell Quansah puts Bayer 04 Leverkusen on the lead.
  • 84' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alejandro Grimaldo made 467 appearances and scored 46 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.97 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 56% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen56% Draw24% Hamburger SV20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
80%
Draw or Hamburger SV
44%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Hamburger SV
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen42% Draw43% Hamburger SV15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 23% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
37%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.