Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga at BayArena.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
- Hamburger SV 34 games · 38 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
- Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
24 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Hamburger SV | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 May | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 02 May | RB Leipzig | H | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | 1. FC Koln | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | FC Augsburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | SC Freiburg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 02 May | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #13 |
| 59 | Points | 38 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 17 / 8 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 11 / 14 |
| 68 | Scored | 40 |
| 47 | Conceded | 54 |
| +21 | GD | -14 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.12 |
| 50% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
Hamburger SV this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Bayer 04 Leverkusen is hosting Hamburger SV for another epic battle.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Hamburger SV is showing some good football. However, Hamburger SV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Jarell Quansah has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 24' Hamburger SV player sees a card in front of him.
- 29' It looks surprising Hamburger SV does not make any changes. Edmond Tapsoba has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 34' The travelling Hamburger SV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fabio Vieira suffering a number of foals already.
- 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Montrell Culbreath, as he is very good at scoring at BayArena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 49' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 59' Nicolai Remberg needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 61' Goal! Fabio Vieira scores his 23 goal in 491 matches.
- 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Arthur Augusto on 66.
- 71' It’s high time Kasper Hjulmand made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hamburger SV that had 268 games and scored 203 goals.
- 78' It’s a booking for Hamburger SV player. Nicolas Capaldo gets a card.
- 78' GOAL! Jarell Quansah scores on 78. Assisted by Aleix Garcia
- 79' Jarell Quansah puts Bayer 04 Leverkusen on the lead.
- 84' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alejandro Grimaldo made 467 appearances and scored 46 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 8
- 24
- 14
- 25
- 20
- 12
- 10
- 4
- 30
- 42
Bench
- 28
- 7
- 21
- 5
- 6
- 19
- 13
- 15
- 17
Coach
Kasper Hjulmand
Hamburger SV Lineups
3-3-2-2Starting XI
- 25
- 6
- 24
- 14
- 20
- 12
- 23
- 17
- 21
- 49
- 44
Bench
- 18
- 15
- 1
- 28
- 16
- 2
- 8
- 45
- 43
Coach
Merlin Polzin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jarell Quansah | 1 |
| Fabio Vieira | 1 |
Head to Head
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2026-05-16
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–1
Hamburger SV
D
2026-05-09
VfB Stuttgart
3–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2026-05-02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4–1
RB Leipzig
W
2026-04-25
1. FC Koln
1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2026-04-22
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–2
FC Bayern München
L
2026-04-18
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–2
FC Augsburg
L
Hamburger SV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.97
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 56% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
80%
Draw or Hamburger SV
44%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Hamburger SV
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Handicap | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers | Push | Hamburger SV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 23% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

