Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 10 May 2026 · 17:30 UTC MEWA Arena 32,600 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 38' Andrej Ilic
Sheraldo Becker 48' 1–1
1–2 88' Oliver Burke
1–3 90+1' Josip Juranovic

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–3 L
03 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
25 Apr FC Bayern München H 3–4 L
19 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–1 D
12 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
02 May 1. FC Köln H 2–2 D
24 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
18 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
11 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
05 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FC Union Berlin
#16 Position #17
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' It looks surprising 1. FC Union Berlin does not make any changes. Livan Burcu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 7' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Anthony Caci.
  • 12' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FC Union Berlin is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 17' Dominik Kohr has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 5 cards already picked up this season.
  • 22' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 27' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 32' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 37' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 38' Andrej Ilic adds to his 0 season tally! 1. FC Union Berlin lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 43' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 48' Brilliant from the ! Sheraldo Becker makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 48.
  • 53' Philipp Mwene has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 57' Brilliant from the ! Phillip Tietz makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 57.
  • 62' Oliver Burke, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 67' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 72' Danny da Costa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jae-sung Lee on 75.
  • 80' The referee calls foul for Derrick Kohn. He receives a card.
  • 85' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 85 minutes.
  • 88' GOAL! Oliver Burke fires home to make it 2-2!
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — 1. FSV Mainz 05 1-3 1. FC Union Berlin.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.81 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Union Berlin or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0528% Draw33% 1. FC Union Berlin39%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
61%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
72%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Union Berlin
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0517% Draw56% 1. FC Union Berlin27%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.1%
0 – 1
15%
1 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
5.1%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.2%
2 – 2
3%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
1.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 17% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 24% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
33%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.