Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
1. FSV Mainz 05
1 – 3
Full Time
1. FC Union Berlin
Sun 10 May 2026 · 17:30 UTC MEWA Arena 32,600 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 38' Andrej Ilic
Sheraldo Becker 48' 1–1
1–2 88' Oliver Burke
1–3 90+1' Josip Juranovic
Anthony Caci 7' Y
Jae-sung Lee 75' Y
Y 80' Derrick Kohn

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

1
5
8
1. FSV Mainz 05 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FC Union Berlin
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-10 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 1. FC Union Berlin 2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2024-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–3 L
03 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
25 Apr FC Bayern München H 3–4 L
19 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–1 D
12 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
1. FC Union Berlin
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
02 May 1. FC Köln H 2–2 D
24 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
18 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
11 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
05 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FC Union Berlin
#6 Position #17
7 Points 1
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 0 / 1 / 3
10 Scored 4
6 Conceded 17
+4 GD -13
1.75 PPG 0.25
50% Win % 0%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (1 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
1. FC Union Berlin
Tim Skarke 2 G
Leopold Querfeld 1 G 1 A
Emmanuel Latte Lath 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FC Union Berlin.
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FC Union Berlin's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 7' A meaty challenge results in booking for Anthony Caci on 7.
  • 12' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 17' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marie-Louise Eta might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 441 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 27' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Philipp Mwene has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 37' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FC Union Berlin backline.
  • 38' 1. FC Union Berlin is taking the lead after the goal scored by Andrej Ilic on 38.
  • 43' Danny da Costa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
  • 48' Sheraldo Becker makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are in front.
  • 53' Anthony Caci has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 57' What a moment for Phillip Tietz! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 62' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 67' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kaishu Sano, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 72' The travelling 1. FC Union Berlin supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 75' Poor challenge from Jae-sung Lee. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 80' The referee shows 1. FC Union Berlin player a card on 80.
  • 85' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Danilho Doekhi made 282 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 88' Oliver Burke has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 88 minutes.
  • It finishes all square. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin share the spoils 1-3.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Urs Fischer

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marie-Louise Eta

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Taiwo Awoniyi 4
Kevin Behrens 4
Marcus Ingvartsen 3
Nadiem Amiri 2
Daniel Brosinski 2
Sebastian Andersson 2
Marcus Ingvartsen 2
Max Kruse 1

Head to Head

2026-05-10 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 1. FC Union Berlin 2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2024-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-05-10 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 1. FC Union Berlin L 2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-19 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-04-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg L 2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

1. FC Union Berlin Form

2026-05-10 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-05-02 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Köln D 2026-04-24 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin L 2026-04-18 1. FC Union Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg L 2026-04-11 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin L 2026-04-05 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
4.02 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0566% Draw17% 1. FC Union Berlin17%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 5.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 89%
11%
± 3.5 77%
23%
± 4.5 61%
39%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
83%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
34%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Union Berlin
83%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0563% Draw26% 1. FC Union Berlin11%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–3 not predicted
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
6.7%
4 – 1
6.6%
5 – 1
5.3%
2 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
4.9%
4 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.7%
4 – 0
4.6%
5 – 2
3.9%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
3.7%
5 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 45% — 55%
-2 45% 18% 37%
-1.5 63% — 37%
-1 63% 15% 21%
-0.5 79% — 21%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 6% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
2% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.