FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

FC St. Pauli 1910

1 – 2

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 3 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 6' Phillip Tietz

0–2 40' Philipp Mwene

Abdoulie Ceesay 87' 1–2

Y 68' Daniel Batz

Karol Mets 89' Y

Connor Metcalfe 90' Y

Abdoulie Ceesay 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Timo Gerach
Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
Assistant 2 Patrick Kessel

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

FC St. Pauli 1910 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2025-02-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-05 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

FC St. Pauli 1910

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–2	L
25 Apr	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	0–2	L
17 Apr	1. FC Köln	H	1–1	D
11 Apr	FC Bayern München	H	0–5	L
05 Apr	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–1	D
22 Mar	SC Freiburg	H	1–2	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	2–1	W
25 Apr	FC Bayern München	H	3–4	L
19 Apr	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	1–1	D
12 Apr	SC Freiburg	H	0–1	L
04 Apr	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	2–1	W
22 Mar	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. FC St. Pauli 1910 get us underway at Millerntor-Stadion.
5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
6' Goal! Phillip Tietz scores his 31 goal in 169 matches.
11' FC St. Pauli 1910 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 11.
16' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC St. Pauli 1910 must find a spark to ignite this game.
21' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
26' FC St. Pauli 1910 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
31' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alexander Blessin might look to freshen things up shortly.
36' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
40' Philipp Mwene adds to his 1 season tally! 1. FSV Mainz 05 lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
45' FC St. Pauli 1910 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-5-2 shape.
50' Over 50 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
55' A quiet spell here at Millerntor-Stadion. FC St. Pauli 1910 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
60' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
65' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 417 goals from 441 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
68' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Daniel Batz gets a card.
73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
78' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC St. Pauli 1910 that had 280 games and scored 151 goals.
83' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sheraldo Becker, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
87' GOAL! Abdoulie Ceesay scores on 87. Assisted by Martijn Kaars
89' Karol Mets picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Connor Metcalfe on 90 minutes.
Full Time. 1. FSV Mainz 05 beats FC St. Pauli 1910

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alexander Blessin

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Urs Fischer

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonathan Burkardt	2
Phillip Tietz	1
Armindo Sieb	1
Paul Nebel	1
Jae-sung Lee	1
Abdoulie Ceesay	1
Philipp Mwene	1

Head to Head

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-04-25 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-04-17 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 1. FC Köln D 2026-04-11 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-05 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2026-03-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 SC Freiburg L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-19 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-04-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg L 2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.98 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.53 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC St. Pauli 191025% Draw28% 1. FSV Mainz 0547%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.51

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw

53%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

75%

FC St. Pauli 1910 or 1. FSV Mainz 05

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC St. Pauli 191018% Draw48% 1. FSV Mainz 0534%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

0 – 1

11.4%

0 – 0

10.1%

0 – 2

9.2%

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

6.9%

2 – 1

5.7%

1 – 3

4.6%

0 – 3

4.6%

2 – 2

4.5%

2 – 0

3.8%

2 – 3

2.4%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap	FC St. Pauli 1910 covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	14%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	23%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	15%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.