Sunday , 13 September 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
1 – 2
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sun 3 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Phillip Tietz
0–2 40' Philipp Mwene
Abdoulie Ceesay 87' 1–2
Y 68' Daniel Batz
Karol Mets 89' Y
Connor Metcalfe 90' Y
Abdoulie Ceesay 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
  • Assistant 2 Patrick Kessel

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SC Freiburg 3 9
2 Borussia Dortmund 3 9
3 FC Augsburg 3 7
4 SV 07 Elversberg 2 6
5 FC Bayern Munchen 2 4
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 4
7 1. FSV Mainz 05 3 4
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 3 4
9 SV Werder Bremen 3 4
10 FC Schalke 04 3 4
11 1. FC Koln 3 4
12 RB Leipzig 2 3
13 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
14 VfB Stuttgart 3 3
15 SC Paderborn 07 3 1
16 1. FC Union Berlin 3 1
17 Hamburger SV 2 0
18 Borussia Monchengladbach 3 0

Head-to-Head

1
3
FC St. Pauli 1910 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2025-02-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-05 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

FC St. Pauli 1910
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
25 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
17 Apr 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D
11 Apr FC Bayern Munchen H 0–5 L
05 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D
22 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
25 Apr FC Bayern Munchen H 3–4 L
19 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–1 D
12 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 3 G
Sheraldo Becker 1 G 2 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: FC St. Pauli 1910 gets underway.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 6' Phillip Tietz is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 11' FC St. Pauli 1910 currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 16' FC St. Pauli 1910 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
  • 21' Stefan Posch has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 26' Andreas Hountondji, a Benin forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 31' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Philipp Mwene made 436 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' GOAL! Philipp Mwene scores on 40. Assisted by Silvan Widmer
  • 45' FC St. Pauli 1910 is showing some good football. However, FC St. Pauli 1910 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC St. Pauli 1910 that had 275 games and scored 146 goals.
  • 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 60' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 65' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 10 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 68' Daniel Batz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 68.
  • 73' FC St. Pauli 1910 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 78' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nadiem Amiri, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 83' Over 83 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 87' Brilliant from the ! Abdoulie Ceesay makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 87.
  • 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Karol Mets.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Connor Metcalfe.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC St. Pauli 1910.

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alexander Blessin

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Urs Fischer

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jonathan Burkardt 2
Jae-sung Lee 1
Abdoulie Ceesay 1
Philipp Mwene 1
Phillip Tietz 1
Armindo Sieb 1
Paul Nebel 1

Head to Head

2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2025-02-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-05 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-04-25 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-04-17 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 1. FC Koln D 2026-04-11 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern Munchen L 2026-04-05 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2026-03-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 SC Freiburg L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern Munchen L 2026-04-19 Borussia Monchengladbach 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-04-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg L 2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.98 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191025% Draw28% 1. FSV Mainz 0547%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
53%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or 1. FSV Mainz 05
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191018% Draw48% 1. FSV Mainz 0534%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
11.4%
0 – 0
10.1%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 23% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.