Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .
- Hamburger SV 34 games · 38 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Hartmann
19 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern Munchen 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W 28 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D 20 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W 13 Sep FC Bayern Munchen A 0–5 L 29 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L 24 Aug Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–0 D Date Opponent H/A Score Result 05 Oct Hamburger SV A 0–4 L 27 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L 20 Sep FC Augsburg A 4–1 W 13 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L 31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D 24 Aug 1. FC Koln H 0–1 L Season Stats
Hamburger SV 1. FSV Mainz 05 #13 Position #10 38 Points 40 34 Played 34 9 / 11 / 14 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14 40 Scored 44 54 Conceded 53 -14 GD -9 1.12 PPG 1.18 26% Win % 29% Key Stats
25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this seasonHamburger SV are 13th (38 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Hamburger SV0-151/–16-30–/431-452/346-603/361-753/–76+–/4■ Scored ■ Conceded1. FSV Mainz 050-154/116-301/131-453/146-601/261-75–/176+2/5■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Hamburger SV is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 for another epic battle.
- With this win, Hamburger SV is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
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Lineups
Hamburger SV Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
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H2H
Head to Head
Hamburger SV Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 41.69 Hamburger SV xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.14 1. FSV Mainz 05 xGI would bet for: Both teams to score 56%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Hamburger SV winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.83Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 92% 8% ± 1.5 77% 23% ± 2.5 53% 47% ± 3.5 32% 68% ± 4.5 16% 84% Double Chance
Hamburger SV or Draw 76%Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05 49%Hamburger SV or 1. FSV Mainz 05 75%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Hamburger SV win at HTCorrect Score
✗ 4–0 not predicted4 – 0Actual1 – 1 12.3%2 – 1 9.2%1 – 0 9.1%2 – 0 8.2%0 – 0 7.7%1 – 2 6.3%0 – 1 5.8%2 – 2 5.3%3 – 1 5.2%3 – 0 4.5%0 – 2 3.8%3 – 2 3.1%Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV
Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers -2.5 12% — 88% -2 12% 15% 73% -1.5 27% — 73% -1 27% 22% 51% -0.5 49% — 51% +0.5 75% — 25% +1 75% 15% 10% +1.5 90% — 10% +2 90% 7% 3% +2.5 97% — 3% Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet 33% ✗1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet 19% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.