Gremio FBPA vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Grêmio FBPA vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Grêmio FBPA 34 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 May | Santos FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | CR Flamengo | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 May | Mirassol FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 May | São Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #4 |
| 37 | Points | 57 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 10 / 15 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 9 |
| 38 | Scored | 53 |
| 47 | Conceded | 42 |
| -9 | GD | +11 |
| 1.09 | PPG | 1.68 |
| 26% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/6
31-45
7/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
17/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 11 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 6 G | 2 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Arena do Gremio that hosts another battle between Grêmio FBPA and Fluminense FC.
- 5' Grêmio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Grêmio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luciano Acosta, as he is very good at scoring at Arena do Gremio with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 12' It’s a booking for Fluminense FC player. Hercules gets a card.
- 13' Controversy at the stadium! Guga argues furiously but the card stands.
- 18' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 18 minutes.
- 21' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rene is hanging Guilherme Arana on the field on 21 minute.
- 26' Both keepers have barely been tested. Grêmio FBPA and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 36' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
- 41' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 46' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Grêmio FBPA and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 56' Grêmio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
- 61' With 0 assists to his name this season, Juan Ignacio Nardoni is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Grêmio FBPA.
- 65' What composure from Hulk! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Thiago Silva on 69 minutes.
- 69' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Erick Noriega exits the field as Martin Braithwaite enters on 69.
- 74' Grêmio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 75' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — Hulk exits the field as German Cano enters on 75.
- 76' The referee has no hesitation. Carlos Vinicius is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 76.
- 76' Nonato is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luciano Acosta at the 76 minute mark.
- 78' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Jovane Cabral on, Marlon off on 78 minutes.
- 79' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 80' Gremio FBPA make a change. Marlon trudges off to be replaced by Pedro Gabriel on 80 minutes.
- 85' It’s high time Luis Castro made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 87' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Hercules has done his job and it is now time for Yeferson Soteldo to step up.
- 89' A stunning finish from Diego Caito — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Juan Ignacio Nardoni is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4
- 23
- 95
- 7
- 9
- 21
- 20
- 19
- 12
- 5
- 6
Bench
- 17
- 22
- 77
- 30
- 3
- 27
- 99
- 24
- 43
- 54
- 65
- 37
Coach
Luis Castro
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 23
- 3
-
13
Guilherme Arana ↓ Rene 21'
-
32
Luciano Acosta ↓ Nonato 75'
- 22
-
7
Hulk ↓ German Cano 75'
-
35
Hercules ↓ Yeferson Soteldo 87'
- 8
- 17
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Ignacio 87'
Bench
-
6
Rene ↑ 21'
- 2
- 21
- 10
- 94
-
16
Nonato ↑ 75'
-
4
Ignacio ↑ 87'
-
30
Yeferson Soteldo ↑ 87'
- 27
-
14
German Cano ↑ 75'
- 46
- 28
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jhon Arias | 2 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Cesar Pinares | 2 |
| Luis Suarez | 2 |
| Yony Gonzalez | 2 |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 2 |
| Caio Henrique | 1 |
Head to Head
Grêmio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07
Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Grêmio FBPA or Fluminense FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Grêmio FBPA or Draw
62%
Draw or Fluminense FC
68%
Grêmio FBPA or Fluminense FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
11%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA
| Handicap | Grêmio FBPA covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 18% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 21% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

