Friday , 6 November 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 26 Jul 2026 · 21:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 65' Hulk pen
Diego Caito 89' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
17 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
30 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
23 May Santos FC H 3–2 W
17 May EC Bahia A 1–1 D
10 May CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul Gremio FBPA A 1–1 D
17 Jul RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
31 May Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D
23 May Mirassol FC A 0–1 L
16 May São Paulo FC H 2–1 W
09 May EC Vitoria H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Fluminense FC
#18 Position #4
37 Points 57
34 Played 34
9 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 16 / 9 / 9
38 Scored 53
47 Conceded 42
-9 GD +11
1.09 PPG 1.68
26% Win % 47%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/6
31-45
7/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
17/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 11 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 6 A
Luciano Acosta 6 G 5 A
Jefferson Savarino 6 G 2 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Arena do Gremio that hosts another battle between Grêmio FBPA and Fluminense FC.
  • 5' Grêmio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Grêmio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luciano Acosta, as he is very good at scoring at Arena do Gremio with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 12' It’s a booking for Fluminense FC player. Hercules gets a card.
  • 13' Controversy at the stadium! Guga argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 18' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 18 minutes.
  • 21' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rene is hanging Guilherme Arana on the field on 21 minute.
  • 26' Both keepers have barely been tested. Grêmio FBPA and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 36' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
  • 41' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Grêmio FBPA and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 56' Grêmio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
  • 61' With 0 assists to his name this season, Juan Ignacio Nardoni is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Grêmio FBPA.
  • 65' What composure from Hulk! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Thiago Silva on 69 minutes.
  • 69' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Erick Noriega exits the field as Martin Braithwaite enters on 69.
  • 74' Grêmio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 75' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — Hulk exits the field as German Cano enters on 75.
  • 76' The referee has no hesitation. Carlos Vinicius is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 76.
  • 76' Nonato is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luciano Acosta at the 76 minute mark.
  • 78' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Jovane Cabral on, Marlon off on 78 minutes.
  • 79' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 80' Gremio FBPA make a change. Marlon trudges off to be replaced by Pedro Gabriel on 80 minutes.
  • 85' It’s high time Luis Castro made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 87' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Hercules has done his job and it is now time for Yeferson Soteldo to step up.
  • 89' A stunning finish from Diego Caito — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Juan Ignacio Nardoni is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Grêmio FBPA or Fluminense FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Grêmio FBPA32% Draw30% Fluminense FC38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
62%
Draw or Fluminense FC
68%
Grêmio FBPA or Fluminense FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA22% Draw50% Fluminense FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
11%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.