Monday , 31 August 2026

Mirassol FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Fri 17 Jul 2026 · 23:00 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'
Bruno Oliveira 16' 1–0
Edson Carioca 40' 2–0
2–1 78' Carlos Vinicius

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs Gremio FBPASerie A at Campos Maia.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
30 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D
23 May Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
16 May CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
10 May Chapecoense AF H 1–1 D
03 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
30 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
23 May Santos FC H 3–2 W
17 May EC Bahia A 1–1 D
10 May CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
02 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Mirassol FC Gremio FBPA
#17 Position #15
25 Points 28
24 Played 24
6 / 7 / 11 W / D / L 7 / 7 / 10
27 Scored 27
37 Conceded 32
-10 GD -5
1.04 PPG 1.17
25% Win % 29%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Mirassol FC are 17th (25 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/7
76+
2/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 4 G 2 A
Carlos Eduardo 4 G
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Mirassol FC gets underway.
  • 5' Walter is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gremio FBPA so far.
  • 10' Mirassol FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Gremio FBPA's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 16' The deadlock is broken! Bruno Oliveira gets on the scoresheet on 16 minutes.
  • 21' Mirassol FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 26' Brazil international Willian has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 31' Jose Aldo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 335 appearances.
  • 36' Denilson Alves picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Denilson Alves on 38.
  • 40' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Edson Carioca makes it 2-0.
  • 41' The referee has no hesitation. Walter Kannemann is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 41.
  • 46' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Francis Amuzu exits the field as Willian enters on 46.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 61' The 18-year-old Gabriel Mec has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 65' Gustavo Martins was booked on 65.
  • 70' Mirassol FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 72' Another substitution for Mirassol FC to replace Edson Carioca by Carlos Eduardo on 72 minute.
  • 75' It is a substitution in Mirassol FC team. Bruno Oliveira is replaced by Andre Luis on 75 minute.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Mirassol FC. Joao Wellington is replaced by Shaylon.
  • 78' Goal! Carlos Vinicius scores his 78 goal in 326 matches.
  • 79' Controversy at the stadium! Leonel Perez argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 80' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Juan Ignacio Nardoni is withdrawn and Riquelme gets his opportunity.
  • 83' Chico gets the nod from Mirassol FC. He replaces Denilson Alves and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Tete makes way for Marcos Rocha at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.54 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC52% Draw26% Gremio FBPA22%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
48%
Mirassol FC or Gremio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mirassol FC34% Draw48% Gremio FBPA18%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.