Mirassol FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Mirassol FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Campos Maia.
- Mirassol FC 24 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 24 | 34 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 24 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 May | CA Paranaense | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 May | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 May | CA Mineiro | A | 1–3 | L |
| 10 May | Chapecoense AF | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 May | Santos FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | CR Flamengo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 May | CA Paranaense | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Mirassol FC | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #15 |
| 25 | Points | 28 |
| 24 | Played | 24 |
| 6 / 7 / 11 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 27 | Scored | 27 |
| 37 | Conceded | 32 |
| -10 | GD | -5 |
| 1.04 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 25% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
Mirassol FC are 17th (25 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/7
76+
2/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Mirassol FC
| Igor Formiga | 4 G | 2 A |
| Carlos Eduardo | 4 G |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Mirassol FC gets underway.
- 5' Walter is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gremio FBPA so far.
- 10' Mirassol FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Gremio FBPA's 4-3-3 shape.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 16' The deadlock is broken! Bruno Oliveira gets on the scoresheet on 16 minutes.
- 21' Mirassol FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 26' Brazil international Willian has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 31' Jose Aldo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 335 appearances.
- 36' Denilson Alves picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Denilson Alves on 38.
- 40' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Edson Carioca makes it 2-0.
- 41' The referee has no hesitation. Walter Kannemann is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 41.
- 46' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Francis Amuzu exits the field as Willian enters on 46.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 61' The 18-year-old Gabriel Mec has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 65' Gustavo Martins was booked on 65.
- 70' Mirassol FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 72' Another substitution for Mirassol FC to replace Edson Carioca by Carlos Eduardo on 72 minute.
- 75' It is a substitution in Mirassol FC team. Bruno Oliveira is replaced by Andre Luis on 75 minute.
- 76' Time for substitution for Mirassol FC. Joao Wellington is replaced by Shaylon.
- 78' Goal! Carlos Vinicius scores his 78 goal in 326 matches.
- 79' Controversy at the stadium! Leonel Perez argues furiously but the card stands.
- 80' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Juan Ignacio Nardoni is withdrawn and Riquelme gets his opportunity.
- 83' Chico gets the nod from Mirassol FC. He replaces Denilson Alves and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' Tete makes way for Marcos Rocha at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Mirassol FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
- 6
-
77
Alesson ↓ Fernandinho 83'
- 21
- 34
-
95
Edson Carioca ↓ Carlos Eduardo 72'
-
8
Denilson Alves ↓ Chico 83'
- 32
-
5
Joao Wellington ↓ Shaylon 76'
- 44
-
30
Bruno Oliveira ↓ Andre Luis 75'
Bench
- 18
-
17
Fernandinho ↑ 83'
-
7
Shaylon ↑ 76'
- 12
-
9
Andre Luis ↑ 75'
-
10
Chico ↑ 83'
- 2
- 20
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 72'
- 27
- 1
- 90
Coach
Rafael Guanaes
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4
- 1
-
38
Caio Paulista ↓ Pedro Gabriel 46'
- 95
- 7
-
9
Francis Amuzu ↓ Willian 46'
-
21
Tete ↓ Marcos Rocha 86'
- 20
-
5
Juan Ignacio Nardoni ↓ Riquelme 80'
- 6
- 37
Bench
- 17
-
14
Marcos Rocha ↑ 86'
-
10
Willian ↑ 46'
-
22
Martin Braithwaite ↑ 46'
- 19
- 12
- 3
- 11
- 43
-
54
Pedro Gabriel ↑ 46'
-
33
Leonel Perez ↑ 46'
-
65
Riquelme ↑ 80'
Coach
Luis Castro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Reinaldo | 2 |
| Daniel Borges | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 1 |
| Edson Carioca | 1 |
| Bruno Oliveira | 1 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 1 |
| Alesson | 1 |
Head to Head
Mirassol FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.54
Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Mirassol FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Mirassol FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
48%
Mirassol FC or Gremio FBPA
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Mirassol FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC
| Handicap | Mirassol FC covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 23% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

