Monday , 12 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Santos FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

3 – 2
Full Time
Sat 23 May 2026 · 22:00 UTC Arena do Gremio 37,385 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 32' Gabriel Barbosa
Carlos Vinicius 40' 1–1
1–2 55' Gabriel Barbosa
Carlos Vinicius 59' 2–2
Tete 63' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Santos FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Santos FC H 3–2 W
17 May EC Bahia A 1–1 D
10 May CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
02 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D
26 Apr Coritiba FBC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Gremio FBPA A 2–3 L
17 May Coritiba FBC H 0–3 L
10 May RB Bragantino H 2–0 W
02 May SE Palmeiras A 1–1 D
25 Apr EC Bahia A 2–2 D
19 Apr Fluminense FC H 2–3 L

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Santos FC
#18 Position #8
31 Points 42
30 Played 30
7 / 10 / 13 W / D / L 11 / 9 / 10
32 Scored 46
40 Conceded 45
-8 GD +1
1.03 PPG 1.40
23% Win % 37%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
23% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). Santos FC are 8th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/3
31-45
8/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
3/4
76+
10/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 14 G 3 A
Neymar 8 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Santos FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 9' Santos FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 14' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 19' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 24' Gabriel Brazao has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 29' The referee has no hesitation. Cristian Pavon is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 29.
  • 32' Gabriel Barbosa adds to his 7 season tally! Santos FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' GOAL! Carlos Vinicius fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Gustavo Henrique.
  • 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 55' Brilliant from the ! Gabriel Barbosa makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 55.
  • 59' Carlos Vinicius is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
  • 63' GOAL! Tete scores on 63. Assisted by Cristian Pavon
  • 68' A quiet spell here at Arena do Gremio. Santos FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 73' Santos FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 78' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Santos FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 83' Santos FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 84' The referee shows Santos FC player a card on 84.
  • 89' Over 89 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Gremio FBPA take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.57 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA47% Draw25% Santos FC28%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
72%
Draw or Santos FC
53%
Gremio FBPA or Santos FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA31% Draw45% Santos FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 0
7.2%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.