Friday , 28 August 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
Gremio FBPA
1 – 1
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sun 26 Jul 2026 · 21:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 65' Hulk pen
Diego Caito 89' 1–1
Y 12' Hercules
Y 13' Guga
Y 69' Thiago Silva
Carlos Vinicius 76' Y
Y 79' Agustin Canobbio
Juan Ignacio Nardoni 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 24 51
2 CR Flamengo 23 45
3 CA Paranaense 24 44
4 Fluminense FC 24 41
5 Cruzeiro EC 24 39
6 EC Bahia 24 37
7 RB Bragantino 23 35
8 Coritiba FBC 24 34
9 CA Mineiro 23 33
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 24 32
11 Botafogo FR 23 30
12 EC Vitoria 24 29
13 Sao Paulo FC 23 27
14 Santos FC 23 26
15 SC Internacional 24 25
16 Gremio FBPA 23 25
17 Mirassol FC 23 24
18 Clube do Remo 24 23
19 CR Vasco da Gama 23 22
20 Chapecoense AF 23 14

Head-to-Head

9
3
6
Gremio FBPA 18 games · Avg 2.8 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-07-26 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Fluminense FC 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC 2025-08-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-11-02 Fluminense FC 2–2 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
17 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
30 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
23 May Santos FC H 3–2 W
17 May EC Bahia A 1–1 D
10 May CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul Gremio FBPA A 1–1 D
17 Jul RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
31 May Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D
23 May Mirassol FC A 0–1 L
16 May Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
09 May EC Vitoria H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Fluminense FC
#16 Position #4
25 Points 41
23 Played 24
6 / 7 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 8 / 5
24 Scored 36
31 Conceded 29
-7 GD +7
1.09 PPG 1.71
26% Win % 46%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 16th (25 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/3
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 4 G 3 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Arena do Gremio that hosts another battle between Gremio FBPA and Fluminense FC.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 12' The referee has no hesitation. Hercules is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 12.
  • 13' Guga is having his name booked by the referee on 13.
  • 18' Tete has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 21' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Guilherme Arana by Rene on 21 minute.
  • 26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Gremio FBPA and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 31' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 31.
  • 36' The 28-year-old Nonato has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 41' Fluminense FC come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 46' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marlon made 392 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' Gremio FBPA have won 387 goals from 331 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Castro will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 65' Hulk does the damage! The net is bulging and Fluminense FC surge ahead!
  • 69' Thiago Silva was booked on 69.
  • 69' Erick Noriega makes way for Martin Braithwaite at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 74' Guilherme Arana has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 420 appearances.
  • 75' German Cano is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hulk at the 75 minute mark.
  • 76' Controversy at the stadium! Carlos Vinicius argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 76' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 76 minute. Luciano Acosta leaves to be changed by Nonato.
  • 78' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Marlon is withdrawn and Jovane Cabral gets his opportunity.
  • 79' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 80' Pedro Gabriel is replacing Marlon for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 85' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 87' Yeferson Soteldo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hercules on 87 minute.
  • 89' Diego Caito does the damage! The net is bulging and Gremio FBPA surge ahead!
  • 90' Poor challenge from Juan Ignacio Nardoni. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Castro

Fluminense FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Cesar Pinares 2
Luis Suarez 2
Yony Gonzalez 2
Yeferson Soteldo 2
Jhon Arias 2
Everton 2
Diego Souza 2
Pepe 1

Head to Head

2026-07-26 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Fluminense FC 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC 2025-08-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-11-02 Fluminense FC 2–2 Gremio FBPA

Gremio FBPA Form

2026-07-26 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Fluminense FC D 2026-07-17 Mirassol FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2026-05-30 Gremio FBPA 0–0 SC Corinthians Paulista D 2026-05-23 Gremio FBPA 3–2 Santos FC W 2026-05-17 EC Bahia 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2026-05-10 Gremio FBPA 0–0 CR Flamengo D

Fluminense FC Form

2026-07-26 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Fluminense FC D 2026-07-17 Fluminense FC 1–1 RB Bragantino D 2026-05-31 Cruzeiro EC 0–0 Fluminense FC D 2026-05-23 Mirassol FC 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2026-05-16 Fluminense FC 2–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2026-05-09 Fluminense FC 2–2 EC Vitoria D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Fluminense FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA32% Draw31% Fluminense FC37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
62%
Draw or Fluminense FC
68%
Gremio FBPA or Fluminense FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA21% Draw51% Fluminense FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
11.5%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 22% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.