Friday , 16 October 2026

Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 3 Aug 2025 · 00:00 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
27 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 1–3 L
23 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
20 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
17 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
08 Jul Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
29 Jul Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
27 Jul SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
19 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
13 Jul Cruzeiro EC A 1–4 L
12 Jun SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Fluminense FC Gremio FBPA
#4 Position #18
51 Points 31
30 Played 30
14 / 9 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
48 Scored 32
37 Conceded 40
+11 GD -8
1.70 PPG 1.03
47% Win % 23%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (51 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
5/6
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 5 A
Jefferson Savarino 6 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 5 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Fluminense FC and Grêmio FBPA has kicked off!
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fluminense FC and Grêmio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Grêmio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Hercules is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
  • 25' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Grêmio FBPA backline.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 38' Lucas Esteves is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
  • 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Renato Gaucho will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 44' Everaldo adds to his 2 season tally! Fluminense FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Joao Lucas on 45 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • 46' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 46 minute. Hercules leaves to be changed by Thiago Santos.
  • 51' The travelling Grêmio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 56' Fluminense FC have won 432 goals from 398 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 66' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alexander Aravena is hanging Riquelme on the field on 66 minute.
  • 67' Franco Cristaldo gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Cristian Pavon and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Wagner Leonardo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ganso suffering a number of foals already.
  • 82' The energy levels are beginning to show. Renato Gaucho might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — German Cano on, Everaldo off on 84 minutes.
  • 85' Samuel Xavier is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
  • 90' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Grêmio FBPA.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.67 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC49% Draw26% Gremio FBPA25%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
51%
Fluminense FC or Gremio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC36% Draw46% Gremio FBPA18%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.