Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 25 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jul | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Chelsea FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Jul | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #15 |
| 42 | Points | 28 |
| 25 | Played | 24 |
| 11 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 39 | Scored | 27 |
| 32 | Conceded | 32 |
| +7 | GD | -5 |
| 1.68 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 44% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (42 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
11/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 5 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Fluminense FC host Gremio FBPA — let the battle begin!
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Gremio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fluminense FC and Gremio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' A quiet spell here at Maracana. Gremio FBPA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alysson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gremio FBPA.
- 38' The referee has no hesitation. Lucas Esteves is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 38.
- 43' The travelling Gremio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 44' GOAL! Everaldo scores on 44. Assisted by Guga
- 45' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Hercules departs to be replaced by Thiago Santos.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 61' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 66' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Riquelme has done his job and it is now time for Alexander Aravena to step up.
- 67' Franco Cristaldo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cristian Pavon on 67 minute.
- 72' Gremio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 77' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Guga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 82' The 30-year-old Dodi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 84' German Cano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Everaldo on 84 minute.
- 85' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Samuel Xavier on 85 minutes.
- 90' Walter Kannemann catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 26
- 2
- 23
- 3
- 10
-
11
Keno ↓ Agustin Canobbio 66'
-
9
Everaldo ↓ German Cano 84'
-
35
Hercules ↓ Thiago Santos 46'
- 8
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Riquelme Felipe 84'
Bench
-
29
Thiago Santos ↑ 46'
- 16
- 27
-
14
German Cano ↑ 84'
- 99
-
45
Lima ↑ 66'
- 77
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↑ 66'
- 18
- 36
-
28
Riquelme Felipe ↑ 84'
- 37
Coach
Renato Gaucho
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 17
- 22
- 7
- 1
- 25
-
2
Joao Lucas ↓ Camilo 46'
-
20
Mathias Villasanti ↓ Edenilson 46'
- 3
-
65
Riquelme ↓ Alexander Aravena 66'
- 47
Bench
- 80
- 21
-
8
Edenilson ↑ 46'
-
10
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 67'
- 9
-
15
Camilo ↑ 46'
- 12
- 35
-
16
Alexander Aravena ↑ 66'
-
40
Jardiel ↑ 84'
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cesar Pinares | 2 |
| Luis Suarez | 2 |
| Yony Gonzalez | 2 |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 2 |
| Jhon Arias | 2 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Pepe | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.66
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
52%
Fluminense FC or Gremio FBPA
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

