Saturday , 26 September 2026

Fluminense FC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 16 May 2026 · 22:00 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'
John Kennedy 19' 1–0
Agustin Canobbio 44' 2–0
2–1 79' Matheus Doria

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May São Paulo FC H 2–1 W
09 May EC Vitoria H 2–2 D
03 May SC Internacional A 0–2 L
26 Apr Chapecoense AF H 2–1 W
19 Apr Santos FC A 3–2 W
12 Apr CR Flamengo H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
10 May SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–3 L
03 May EC Bahia H 2–2 D
26 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
11 Apr EC Vitoria A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Fluminense FC São Paulo FC
#4 Position #11
48 Points 36
28 Played 27
13 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
44 Scored 32
36 Conceded 30
+8 GD +2
1.71 PPG 1.33
46% Win % 37%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Fluminense FC to score. At the same time, São Paulo FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Fluminense FC have won 432 goals from 398 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Cauly made 146 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 19' Goal! John Kennedy scores his 22 goal in 398 matches.
  • 20' Brilliant from the ! John Kennedy makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 20.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' The referee has no hesitation. Andre Silva is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 30.
  • 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and São Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 40' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined São Paulo FC backline.
  • 44' Brilliant from the ! Agustin Canobbio makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 44.
  • 45' Agustin Canobbio with the second goal in the match!
  • 50' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker John Kennedy scoring 1 goals.
  • 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Fluminense FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 60' Artur Guimaraes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 33 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 65' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Zubeldía will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 67' The referee has no hesitation. Artur Guimaraes is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 67.
  • 72' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 76' Enzo Diaz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 76.
  • 79' The deadlock is broken! Matheus Doria gets on the scoresheet on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 86' The referee has no hesitation. Facundo Bernal is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 86.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Damian Bobadilla argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Fluminense FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC54% Draw24% São Paulo FC22%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
78%
Draw or São Paulo FC
46%
Fluminense FC or São Paulo FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC38% Draw43% São Paulo FC19%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.