Friday , 16 October 2026

Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 2 Nov 2024 · 00:00 UTC Maracana 35,278 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 26' Martin Braithwaite
Jhon Arias 43' 1–1
Elias Kaua 66' 2–1
2–2 90+9' Reinaldo pen

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Gremio FBPA H 2–2 D
26 Oct EC Vitoria A 1–2 L
22 Oct CA Paranaense H 1–0 W
17 Oct CR Flamengo A 2–0 W
04 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 1–0 W
29 Sep AC Goianiense A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Fluminense FC A 2–2 D
26 Oct AC Goianiense H 3–1 W
19 Oct SC Internacional A 0–1 L
09 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
05 Oct Fortaleza EC H 3–1 W
29 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Fluminense FC Gremio FBPA
#4 Position #18
51 Points 31
30 Played 30
14 / 9 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
48 Scored 32
37 Conceded 40
+11 GD -8
1.70 PPG 1.03
47% Win % 23%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (51 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
5/6
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 5 A
Jefferson Savarino 6 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 5 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Fluminense FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gremio FBPA backline.
  • 10' It looks surprising Gremio FBPA does not make any changes. Elias Kaua has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Dodi, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' Gremio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 26' Gremio FBPA is taking the lead after the goal scored by Martin Braithwaite on 26.
  • 31' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a card on 31.
  • 36' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Martin Braithwaite gets a card.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 43' What an equalizer from Jhon Arias!
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Reinaldo on 45 minutes.
  • 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Fluminense FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 55' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 60' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 65' Fluminense FC currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 66' Sensational shot from Elias Kaua. Fluminense FC is back in the lead.
  • 67' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Martinelli is withdrawn and Facundo Bernal gets his opportunity.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Diego Costa comes on to replace Martin Braithwaite.
  • 73' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fluminense FC and Gremio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 78' Elias Kaua has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
  • 79' Nonato has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ganso on 79 minute.
  • 84' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Yeferson Soteldo has done his job and it is now time for Miguel Monsalve to step up.
  • 88' Mathias Villasanti catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
  • 90' The whistle greets Lima as he departs to be replaced by John Kennedy.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Fabio on 90 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC48% Draw26% Gremio FBPA26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
52%
Fluminense FC or Gremio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC37% Draw44% Gremio FBPA19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.