Saturday , 4 July 2026

Mirassol FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 23 May 2026 · 22:00 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'
Denilson Alves 36' 1–0
Alesson 7' Y
Y 38' Nonato
Reinaldo 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs Fluminense FCSerie A at Campos Maia.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
16 May CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
10 May Chapecoense AF H 1–1 D
03 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
26 Apr Sao Paulo FC A 0–1 L
19 Apr SC Internacional A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Mirassol FC A 0–1 L
16 May Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
09 May EC Vitoria H 2–2 D
03 May SC Internacional A 0–2 L
26 Apr Chapecoense AF H 2–1 W
19 Apr Santos FC A 3–2 W

Season Stats

Mirassol FC Fluminense FC
#19 Position #3
16 Points 31
17 Played 18
4 / 4 / 9 W / D / L 9 / 4 / 5
18 Scored 28
24 Conceded 23
-6 GD +5
0.94 PPG 1.72
24% Win % 50%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Mirassol FC are 19th (16 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 3 G
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Fluminense FC gets underway.
  • 5' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 7' Alesson is having his name booked by the referee on 7.
  • 8' It’s gonna be a card for Alesson.
  • 13' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 18' Mirassol FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Denilson Alves scoring 1 goals.
  • 23' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 28' Fluminense FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 33' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 33.
  • 35' Denilson Alves was booked on 35.
  • 36' Mirassol FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Denilson Alves on 36.
  • 38' That looks like a foul for a card for Nonato.
  • 39' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Mirassol FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 49' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 54' Reinaldo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 49 Yellow cards this season.
  • 59' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Willian Machado suffering a number of foals already.
  • 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
  • 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 74' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 79' It looks surprising Mirassol FC does not make any changes. Walter has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 82' Mirassol FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
  • 87' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • With this win, Mirassol FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Mirassol FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC42% Draw29% Fluminense FC29%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Fluminense FC
58%
Mirassol FC or Fluminense FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mirassol FC26% Draw51% Fluminense FC23%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 21% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.