Thursday , 2 July 2026

Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Grêmio FBPA
1 – 0
Full Time
EC Bahia
Sun 25 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Franco Cristaldo 26' Y
Francis Amuzu 28' Y
Y 35' David Duarte
Y 39' Santiago Ramos
Y 59' Everton Ribeiro
Cristian Pavon 90' Y
Alexander Aravena 90' Y
Y 90' Caio Alexandre

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

9
2
7
Grêmio FBPA 18 games · Avg 2.1 goals EC Bahia
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-25 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia 2024-08-17 Grêmio FBPA 0–2 EC Bahia 2024-04-28 EC Bahia 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-11-04 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia 2023-07-01 EC Bahia 1–2 Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May EC Bahia H 1–0 W
18 May Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
10 May RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
04 May Santos FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
20 Apr SC Internacional H 1–1 D
EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Grêmio FBPA A 0–1 L
18 May EC Vitoria H 2–1 W
11 May CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
04 May Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
27 Apr SE Palmeiras A 1–0 W
21 Apr Ceará SC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Grêmio FBPA EC Bahia
#16 Position #6
21 Points 26
18 Played 17
5 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 5
20 Scored 25
23 Conceded 23
-3 GD +2
1.17 PPG 1.53
28% Win % 41%

Key Stats

28% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
28% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
35% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Grêmio FBPA host EC Bahia — let the battle begin!
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Grêmio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Grêmio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mano Menezes might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' Erick, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 23' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Joao Pedro by Ronald on 23 minute.
  • 26' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Franco Cristaldo on 26 minutes.
  • 28' The referee has no hesitation. Francis Amuzu is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 28.
  • 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' Controversy at the stadium! David Duarte argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 39' Controversy at the stadium! Santiago Ramos argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mathias Villasanti suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Cristian Pavon comes on to replace Francis Amuzu.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Grêmio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' Grêmio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
  • 59' Poor challenge from Everton Ribeiro. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 61' Martin Braithwaite doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 66' Grêmio FBPA currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 68' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Luciano Rodriguez is replaced by Willian Jose.
  • 73' The supporters are chanting for Gustavo Martins. He replaces Franco Cristaldo on 73 minute.
  • 78' Alexander Aravena gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Cristian Olivera and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Cauly makes way for Iago Borduchi at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
  • 83' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Gilberto exits the field as Santiago Arias enters on 83.
  • 88' The 30-year-old Marcos Felipe has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Cristian Pavon.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

EC Bahia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Thaciano 2
Elber 2
Diego Souza 2
Elber 2
Anderson Martins 1
Everaldo 1
Jael 1
Miguel Borja 1

Head to Head

2025-05-25 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia 2024-08-17 Grêmio FBPA 0–2 EC Bahia 2024-04-28 EC Bahia 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-11-04 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia 2023-07-01 EC Bahia 1–2 Grêmio FBPA

Grêmio FBPA Form

2025-05-25 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia W 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-05-10 Grêmio FBPA 1–1 RB Bragantino D 2025-05-04 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC W 2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D 2025-04-20 Grêmio FBPA 1–1 SC Internacional D

EC Bahia Form

2025-05-25 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia L 2025-05-18 EC Bahia 2–1 EC Vitoria W 2025-05-11 CR Flamengo 1–0 EC Bahia L 2025-05-04 EC Bahia 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-04-27 SE Palmeiras 0–1 EC Bahia W 2025-04-21 EC Bahia 1–0 Ceará SC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.09 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Grêmio FBPA or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA41% Draw31% EC Bahia28%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
72%
Draw or EC Bahia
59%
Grêmio FBPA or EC Bahia
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA25% Draw54% EC Bahia21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11%
2 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.