Wednesday , 1 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
4 1
Full Time
Sat 16 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 33,600 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jan-Niklas Beste 24' 1–0
Igor Matanovic 26' 2–0
2–1 33' Assan Ouedraogo
Matthias Ginter 47' 3–1
Derry Scherhant 75' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Fabian Maibaum
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May RB Leipzig H 4–1 W
10 May Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
07 May Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–1 W
03 May VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
30 Apr Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–2 L
26 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May SC Freiburg A 1–4 L
09 May FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
02 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–4 L
24 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W
18 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
11 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–0 W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg RB Leipzig
#7 Position #3
47 Points 65
34 Played 34
13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
51 Scored 66
57 Conceded 47
-6 GD +19
1.38 PPG 1.91
38% Win % 59%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: SC Freiburg gets underway.
  • 5' It’s high time Ole Werner made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Maximilian Eggestein has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 15' RB Leipzig seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' SC Freiburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 24' Goal! Jan-Niklas Beste scores his 11 goal in 414 matches.
  • 26' Goal! Igor Matanovic scores his 20 goal in 273 matches.
  • 31' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 33' Goal! Assan Ouedraogo scores his 4 goal in 406 matches.
  • 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Max Finkgrafe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 47' GOAL! Matthias Ginter scores on 47. Assisted by Jordy Makengo
  • 52' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 57' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Noah Atubolu made 493 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 62' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 67' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with RB Leipzig winning 50% of all matches.
  • 72' RB Leipzig looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Assan Ouedraogo scoring 1 goals.
  • 75' GOAL! Derry Scherhant scores on 75. Assisted by Igor Matanovic
  • 77' Christoph Baumgartner was booked on 77.
  • 82' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 82 minutes.
  • 87' SC Freiburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 87.
  • The final score is 4-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.96 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg or RB Leipzig 76% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg43% Draw24% RB Leipzig33%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
67%
Draw or RB Leipzig
57%
SC Freiburg or RB Leipzig
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg33% Draw39% RB Leipzig28%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.5%
1 – 0
4.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
0 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 18% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 16% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
18%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.