CA Velez Sarsfield vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2026 CLAUSURA

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Liga Profesional · 2026

CA Velez Sarsfield

1 – 0

Full Time

CA Independiente

Mon 3 Aug 2026 · 22:00 UTC El Fortin de Liniers HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Velez Sarsfield vs CA Independiente — Superliga Argentina at El Fortin de Liniers.

CA Velez Sarsfield 27 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
CA Independiente 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CA Velez Sarsfield	27	51
2	CA Talleres	27	48
3	Racing Club	27	46
4	CA Huracan	27	46
5	CA River Plate	27	43
6	CA Boca Juniors	27	42
7	CA Independiente	27	40
8	CA Tucuman	27	40
9	CA Union	27	40
10	CA Platense	27	39
11	CS Independiente Rivadavia	27	38
12	Estudiantes de La Plata	27	36
13	Instituto AC Córdoba	27	36
14	CA Lanus	27	36
15	CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba	27	35
16	CA Belgrano	27	35
17	CD Riestra	27	35
18	CA Tigre	27	34
19	Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata	27	32
20	CA Rosario Central	27	32
21	CSyD Defensa y Justicia	27	32
22	CA Central Córdoba	27	31
23	AA Argentinos Juniors	27	30
24	CA San Lorenzo de Almagro	27	29
25	CA Newell's Old Boys	27	28
26	CA Sarmiento de Junín	27	26
27	CA Banfield	27	24
28	CA Barracas Central	27	23

Head-to-Head

CA Velez Sarsfield 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals CA Independiente

Last 5 meetings

2026-08-03 CA Velez Sarsfield 1–0 CA Independiente 2026-01-31 CA Independiente 1–1 CA Velez Sarsfield 2024-05-26 CA Independiente 1–1 CA Velez Sarsfield 2023-02-12 CA Velez Sarsfield 0–0 CA Independiente 2022-08-28 CA Independiente 1–1 CA Velez Sarsfield

Recent Form

CA Velez Sarsfield

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Aug	CA Independiente	H	1–0	W
30 Jul	CA Talleres	A	3–1	W
24 Jul	Instituto AC Córdoba	H	1–0	W
11 May	Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata	H	0–1	L
04 May	CA Newell's Old Boys	H	1–1	D
27 Apr	CA Union	H	2–2	D

CA Independiente

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Aug	CA Velez Sarsfield	A	0–1	L
31 Jul	CA Newell's Old Boys	H	1–0	W
26 Jul	Estudiantes de La Plata	A	2–0	W
10 May	CA Rosario Central	A	1–3	L
02 May	CA San Lorenzo de Almagro	A	2–1	W
24 Apr	CD Riestra	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

CA Velez Sarsfield		CA Independiente
#1	Position	#7
51	Points	40
27	Played	27
14 / 9 / 4	W / D / L	9 / 13 / 5
38	Scored	25
16	Conceded	17
+22	GD	+8
1.89	PPG	1.48
52%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

45% Clean Sheets
CA Velez Sarsfield this season

30% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA Velez Sarsfield are 1st (51 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Velez Sarsfield

0-15

4/1

16-30

–/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

–/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CA Independiente

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Velez Sarsfield

Florian Monzon	6 G
Manuel Lanzini	4 G
Matias Pellegrini	3 G	2 A

CA Independiente

Gabriel Avalos	11 G	5 A
Matias Abaldo	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for CA Velez Sarsfield to score. At the same time, CA Independiente does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Another three points for CA Velez Sarsfield.

Lineups

CA Velez Sarsfield Lineups

CA Independiente Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Silvio Romero	3
Thiago Almada	2
Leandro Fernandez	1
Claudio Aquino	1
Pablo Perez	1
Gabriel Avalos	1
Maximiliano Romero	1
Lucas Janson	1

Head to Head

CA Velez Sarsfield Form

2026-08-03 CA Velez Sarsfield 1–0 CA Independiente W 2026-07-30 CA Talleres 1–3 CA Velez Sarsfield W 2026-07-24 CA Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Instituto AC Córdoba W 2026-05-11 CA Velez Sarsfield 0–1 Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata L 2026-05-04 CA Velez Sarsfield 1–1 CA Newell's Old Boys D 2026-04-27 CA Velez Sarsfield 2–2 CA Union D

CA Independiente Form

2026-08-03 CA Velez Sarsfield 1–0 CA Independiente L 2026-07-31 CA Independiente 1–0 CA Newell's Old Boys W 2026-07-26 Estudiantes de La Plata 0–2 CA Independiente W 2026-05-10 CA Rosario Central 3–1 CA Independiente L 2026-05-02 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1–2 CA Independiente W 2026-04-24 CD Riestra 2–0 CA Independiente L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.02 CA Velez Sarsfield xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.63 CA Independiente xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

CA Velez Sarsfield46% Draw33% CA Independiente21%

Actual: CA Velez Sarsfield win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes32% 0% No68%

Avg goals/match: 1.65

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	78%	22%
± 1.5	50%	50%
± 2.5	23%	77%
± 3.5	9%	91%
± 4.5	3%	97%

Double Chance

CA Velez Sarsfield or Draw

79%

Draw or CA Independiente

54%

CA Velez Sarsfield or CA Independiente

67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

CA Velez Sarsfield27% Draw59% CA Independiente14%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

21.7%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.3%

0 – 1

10.6%

2 – 0

9.4%

2 – 1

6.3%

1 – 2

3.8%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 0

3.2%

3 – 1

2.2%

2 – 2

2.1%

4 – 0

0.8%

Asian Handicap — CA Velez Sarsfield

Handicap	CA Velez Sarsfield covers	Push	CA Independiente covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	12%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	25%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	15%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

CA Velez Sarsfield keeps clean sheet

54% ✓

CA Independiente keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.