Saturday , 1 August 2026

CA Velez Sarsfield vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2026 CLAUSURA

Mon 3 Aug 2026 · 22:00 UTC El Fortin de Liniers

Overview

Recent Form

Season Stats

CA Velez Sarsfield CA Independiente
#1 Position #7
51 Points 40
27 Played 27
14 / 9 / 4 W / D / L 9 / 13 / 5
38 Scored 25
16 Conceded 17
+22 GD +8
1.89 PPG 1.48
52% Win % 33%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
CA Velez Sarsfield this season
32% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA Velez Sarsfield are 1st (51 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Velez Sarsfield
0-15
4/1
16-30
/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Independiente
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Velez Sarsfield
Florian Monzon 6 G
Manuel Lanzini 4 G
Matias Pellegrini 3 G 2 A
CA Independiente
Gabriel Avalos 11 G 5 A
Matias Abaldo 5 G 1 A

H2H

Predictions

1.12 CA Velez Sarsfield xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 CA Independiente xG
I would bet for: CA Velez Sarsfield or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

CA Velez Sarsfield41% Draw32% CA Independiente27%

Both Teams to Score

Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.98

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

CA Velez Sarsfield or Draw
73%
Draw or CA Independiente
59%
CA Velez Sarsfield or CA Independiente
68%

Half-Time Result

CA Velez Sarsfield27% Draw55% CA Independiente18%

Correct Score

0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
14.2%
0 – 1
10.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — CA Velez Sarsfield

Handicap CA Velez Sarsfield covers Push CA Independiente covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 23% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

CA Velez Sarsfield keeps clean sheet
43%
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.