Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 30 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 29 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Coritiba FBC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | America FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 26 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | CA Paranaense | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #5 |
| 31 | Points | 49 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 10 / 13 | W / D / L | 13 / 10 / 7 |
| 32 | Scored | 44 |
| 40 | Conceded | 36 |
| -8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.03 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 23% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
37%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (49 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Grêmio FBPA get us underway at Arena do Gremio.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Grêmio FBPA and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' It looks surprising Grêmio FBPA does not make any changes. Marcos Victor has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 22' Poor challenge from Walter Kannemann. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 27' Grêmio FBPA started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 27.
- 31' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. David Duarte gets a Yellow card.
- 36' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 41' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Thaciano argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Everton. He replaces Bruno Uvini on 46 minute.
- 51' Grêmio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mathias Villasanti suffering a number of foals already.
- 61' Both keepers have barely been tested. Grêmio FBPA and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 64' Cicinho was booked on 64.
- 67' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Franco Cristaldo by Lucas Besozzi on 67 minute.
- 70' The deadlock is broken! Luis Suarez gets on the scoresheet on 70 minutes.
- 75' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. David Duarte made 152 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 77' Gabriel Teixeira is replacing Yago Felipe for the EC Bahia side.
- 81' Cauly is having his name booked by the referee on 81.
- 84' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Luis Suarez is replaced by Nata on 84 minute.
- 86' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Camilo Candido is replaced by Luciano Juba.
- 87' Rafael Ratao gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Cauly and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Poor challenge from Bruno Alves. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- The points are shared — Grêmio FBPA 1-0 EC Bahia. Honours even.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 34
- 6
- 9
- 11
- 18
- 19
- 20
- –
- 12
- 8
Bench
- 7
- 31
- 2
- 10
- 22
- –
- 77
- –
- 54
- 32
- –
- –
- –
Coach
Renato Gaucho
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
-
20
Yago Felipe ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 77'
- –
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 87'
-
40
Cicinho ↓ Vitor Jacare 67'
- 9
- 33
- 26
- 5
-
–
Camilo Candido ↓ Luciano Juba 86'
-
3
Gabriel Xavier ↓ Marcos Victor 86'
Bench
- 7
- 1
- 18
- 19
-
11
Rafael Ratao ↑ 87'
-
29
Vitor Jacare ↑ 67'
- 21
-
–
Luciano Juba ↑ 86'
- 77
- 79
-
10
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 77'
-
44
Marcos Victor ↑ 86'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Vinicius Mingotti | 1 |
| David Duarte | 1 |
| Jael | 1 |
| Vanderson | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.37
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
75%
Draw or EC Bahia
52%
Gremio FBPA or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.