EC Vitoria vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 30 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 29 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | SC Internacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | Ceará SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #18 |
| 36 | Points | 31 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 10 / 6 / 14 | W / D / L | 7 / 10 / 13 |
| 33 | Scored | 32 |
| 44 | Conceded | 40 |
| -11 | GD | -8 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.03 |
| 33% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (36 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
5/2
31-45
3/9
46-60
2/2
61-75
7/6
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Barradao. Ninety minutes of football awaits between EC Vitoria and Grêmio FBPA.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitoria must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Grêmio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 12' Joao Pedro Pepe catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 12.
- 17' EC Vitoria are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Grêmio FBPA's shape.
- 20' The Brazil Jemerson breaks the deadlock on 20 minutes. 0-1!
- 22' It’s gonna be a card for Mathias Villasanti.
- 27' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 32' Joao Pedro Pepe has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 37' Ronald has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 42' Marlon is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Vitoria so far.
- 46' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Erick has done his job and it is now time for Fabricio to step up.
- 51' Andre has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 336 appearances.
- 55' Carlinhos is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
- 56' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Joao Pedro Pepe is replaced by Gabriel Baralhas on 56 minute.
- 58' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 58 minute. Edenilson leaves to be changed by Nathan.
- 63' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 66' Against the run of play, Carlinhos has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 70' Claudinho was booked on 70.
- 74' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Mathias Villasanti departs to be replaced by Gustavo Cuellar.
- 75' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Martin Braithwaite by Andre on 75 minute.
- 76' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matheuzinho on 76 minutes.
- 81' Grêmio FBPA looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Alexander Aravena. He replaces Cristian Olivera on 84 minute.
- 89' Ricardo Ryller is replacing Matheuzinho for the EC Vitoria side.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 6
- 83
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 8
- 1
- 39
- 30
- 2
Bench
- 77
- 28
- 23
- 27
- 43
- 11
- 38
- 35
- 22
- 44
- 16
- 99
Coach
Thiago Carpini
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
-
22
Martin Braithwaite ↓ Andre 75'
- 21
- 8
- 10
- 1
- 20
- 3
- 99
- 34
Bench
- 4
-
6
Gustavo Cuellar ↑ 74'
-
14
Nathan ↑ 58'
- 25
- 2
- 15
-
77
Andre ↑ 75'
-
11
Miguel Monsalve ↑ 58'
- 44
-
16
Alexander Aravena ↑ 84'
- 47
- 31
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pepe | 1 |
| Alexander Aravena | 1 |
| Douglas | 1 |
| Aitor Cantalapiedra | 1 |
| Reinaldo | 1 |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 1 |
| Joao Pedro | 1 |
| Jailson | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Gremio FBPA 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
68%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
61%
EC Vitoria or Gremio FBPA
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

