EC Vitoria vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 25 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | SC Internacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | Ceará SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #15 |
| 29 | Points | 28 |
| 25 | Played | 24 |
| 8 / 5 / 12 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 24 | Scored | 27 |
| 37 | Conceded | 32 |
| -13 | GD | -5 |
| 1.16 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 32% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
EC Vitoria are 14th (29 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/3
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against EC Vitoria and Grêmio FBPA has kicked off!
- 5' Grêmio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' EC Vitoria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 12' Joao Pedro Pepe catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 12.
- 17' Argentina international Franco Cristaldo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' What a strike from Jemerson! The score is 0-1.
- 22' Mathias Villasanti picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 27' With 0 assists to his name this season, Janderson Costa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Grêmio FBPA.
- 32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Cristian Olivera suffering a number of foals already.
- 37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 42' EC Vitoria are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Erick is replaced by Fabricio on 46 minute.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Grêmio FBPA winning 100% of all matches.
- 55' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Carlinhos on 55 minutes.
- 56' The EC Vitoria manager makes a substitution. Joao Pedro Pepe departs to be replaced by Gabriel Baralhas.
- 58' Gremio FBPA make a change. Edenilson trudges off to be replaced by Nathan on 58 minutes.
- 63' Gustavo Mosquito is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Vitoria so far.
- 66' The Brazil forward Carlinhos breaks the deadlock on 66 minutes. 1-1!
- 70' A meaty challenge results in booking for Claudinho on 70.
- 74' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Mathias Villasanti has done his job and it is now time for Gustavo Cuellar to step up.
- 75' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Martin Braithwaite is replaced by Andre on 75 minute.
- 76' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Matheuzinho gets a card.
- 81' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tiago Volpi made 373 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 84' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Cristian Olivera has done his job and it is now time for Alexander Aravena to step up.
- 89' Ricardo Ryller is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matheuzinho at the 89 minute mark.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 6
- 83
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 8
- 1
- 39
- 30
- 2
Bench
- 77
- 28
- 23
- 27
- 43
- 11
- 38
- 35
- 22
- 44
- 16
- 99
Coach
Thiago Carpini
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
-
22
Martin Braithwaite ↓ Andre 75'
- 21
- 8
- 10
- 1
- 20
- 3
- 99
- 34
Bench
- 4
-
6
Gustavo Cuellar ↑ 74'
-
14
Nathan ↑ 58'
- 25
- 2
- 15
-
77
Andre ↑ 75'
-
11
Miguel Monsalve ↑ 58'
- 44
-
16
Alexander Aravena ↑ 84'
- 47
- 31
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 1 |
| Jailson | 1 |
| Alerrandro | 1 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Jemerson | 1 |
| Pepe | 1 |
| Carlinhos | 1 |
| Douglas | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Gremio FBPA 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
66%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
63%
EC Vitoria or Gremio FBPA
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 20% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

