Monday , 27 July 2026

Arsenal FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Manchester City FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
16 Sep Athletic Club A 2–0 W
13 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 3–0 W
31 Aug Liverpool FC A 0–1 L
23 Aug Leeds United FC H 5–0 W
17 Aug Manchester United FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Arsenal FC A 1–1 D
18 Sep SSC Napoli H 2–0 W
14 Sep Manchester United FC H 3–0 W
31 Aug Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–2 L
23 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–2 L
16 Aug Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 4–0 W

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Manchester City FC
#4 Position #5
85 Points 78
38 Played 38
26 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 23 / 9 / 6
71 Scored 77
27 Conceded 35
+44 GD +42
2.24 PPG 2.05
68% Win % 61%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Arsenal FC are 4th (85 pts). Manchester City FC are 5th (78 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Manchester City FC kicks off things out of here…
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Arsenal FC Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC52% Draw26% Manchester City FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Manchester City FC
48%
Arsenal FC or Manchester City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC37% Draw46% Manchester City FC17%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.