EC Bahia vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Ceará SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #13 |
| 33 | Points | 26 |
| 22 | Played | 22 |
| 8 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 10 |
| 29 | Scored | 22 |
| 25 | Conceded | 33 |
| +4 | GD | -11 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 36% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between EC Bahia and EC Vitoria is underway.
- 5' The referee has no hesitation. Jean Lucas is booked for EC Bahia — card on 5.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Vitoria is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 12' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Ronald will be fuming at that decision.
- 17' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 22' Supporters expect more eagerness from Everton Ribeiro, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Fonte Nova with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 23' Erick is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 28' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. EC Vitoria seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 33' Erick has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriel Baralhas on 33 minute.
- 38' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. David Duarte made 152 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' A moment of madness from Claudinho on 40 minutes earns him a card. EC Vitoria will be frustrated.
- 41' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Erick gets a card.
- 46' Gustavo Mosquito has so much to prove this time. He replaces Wellington Rato on 46 minute.
- 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and EC Vitoria are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 53' The referee calls foul for Gilberto. He receives a card.
- 54' Against the run of play, Renato Kayzer has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 55' Nicolas Acevedo is replacing Caio Alexandre for the EC Bahia side.
- 59' Erick is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
- 63' EC Vitoria player sees a card in front of him.
- 65' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Everton Ribeiro by Michel Araujo on 65 minute.
- 66' GOAL! Michel Araujo scores on 66. Assisted by Tiago
- 68' Janderson Costa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Osvaldo on 68 minute.
- 71' Poor challenge from Joao Pedro Pepe. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 76' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 78' EC Bahia make a change. Erick trudges off to be replaced by Willian Jose on 78 minutes.
- 83' The EC Vitoria manager makes a substitution. Claudinho departs to be replaced by Carlos Eduardo.
- 88' It’s gonna be a card for Nicolas Acevedo.
- Another three points for EC Bahia.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 65'
- 2
- 22
- 8
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
-
16
Erick ↓ Willian Jose 78'
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Tiago 46'
Bench
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 78'
- 1
- 25
-
14
Erick ↑ 55'
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 65'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 55'
- 37
- 3
-
77
Tiago ↑ 46'
- 83
- 52
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 83
- 79
- 43
- 5
-
11
Osvaldo ↓ Janderson Costa 68'
- 8
- 10
-
44
Gabriel Baralhas ↓ Erick 33'
- 1
-
2
Claudinho ↓ Carlos Eduardo 83'
Bench
-
33
Erick ↑ 33'
- 77
-
6
Joao Pedro Pepe ↑ 68'
- 3
- 38
-
7
Gustavo Mosquito ↑ 46'
- 35
- 22
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 83'
-
39
Janderson Costa ↑ 68'
- 99
- 66
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Michel Araujo | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Lucas Marques | 1 |
| Nilton | 1 |
| Raul Caceres | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.82
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia to win 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
83%
Draw or EC Vitoria
40%
EC Bahia or EC Vitoria
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
11.9%
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.8%
3 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 18% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 24% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.