EC Bahia vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Ceará SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #16 |
| 53 | Points | 38 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 16 |
| 50 | Scored | 35 |
| 45 | Conceded | 51 |
| +5 | GD | -16 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.12 |
| 41% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! EC Bahia vs EC Vitoria — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Poor challenge from Jean Lucas. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 10' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 12' Ronald has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 12.
- 17' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past EC Vitoria's compact .
- 22' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 23' Erick does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Bahia surge ahead!
- 28' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 33' The supporters are chanting for Erick. He replaces Gabriel Baralhas on 33 minute.
- 38' Gabriel Baralhas is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 40' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 40.
- 41' Erick has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 41.
- 46' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Wellington Rato is withdrawn and Gustavo Mosquito gets his opportunity.
- 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Osvaldo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
- 53' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 54' GOAL! Renato Kayzer scores on 54. Assisted by Osvaldo
- 55' EC Bahia make a change. Caio Alexandre trudges off to be replaced by Nicolas Acevedo on 55 minutes.
- 59' A moment of madness from Erick on 59 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 63' A moment of madness from Osvaldo on 63 minutes earns him a card. EC Vitoria will be frustrated.
- 65' Another change for EC Bahia made on 65 minute. Everton Ribeiro leaves to be changed by Michel Araujo.
- 66' GOAL! Michel Araujo fires home to make it 2-1!
- 68' The whistle greets Osvaldo as he departs to be replaced by Janderson Costa.
- 71' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joao Pedro Pepe.
- 76' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 78' The crowd applauds Erick as he leaves the pitch. Willian Jose steps in for EC Bahia.
- 83' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Claudinho exits the field as Carlos Eduardo enters on 83.
- 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicolas Acevedo.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — EC Bahia 2-1 EC Vitoria.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 65'
- 2
- 22
- 8
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
-
16
Erick ↓ Willian Jose 78'
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Tiago 46'
Bench
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 78'
- 1
- 25
-
14
Erick ↑ 55'
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 65'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 55'
- 37
- 3
-
77
Tiago ↑ 46'
- 83
- 52
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 83
- 79
- 43
- 5
-
11
Osvaldo ↓ Janderson Costa 68'
- 8
- 10
-
44
Gabriel Baralhas ↓ Erick 33'
- 1
-
2
Claudinho ↓ Carlos Eduardo 83'
Bench
-
33
Erick ↑ 33'
- 77
-
6
Joao Pedro Pepe ↑ 68'
- 3
- 38
-
7
Gustavo Mosquito ↑ 46'
- 35
- 22
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 83'
-
39
Janderson Costa ↑ 68'
- 99
- 66
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Ze Rafael | 1 |
| Luciano Juba | 1 |
| Vinicius | 1 |
| Jean Lucas | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Alejo Veliz | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.89
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia to win 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
83%
Draw or EC Vitoria
40%
EC Bahia or EC Vitoria
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 24% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.