EC Bahia vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Ceará SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #13 |
| 26 | Points | 22 |
| 17 | Played | 17 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 21 |
| 23 | Conceded | 25 |
| +2 | GD | -4 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 41% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Bahia welcome EC Vitoria for this crunch clash at Arena Fonte Nova.
- 5' Jean Lucas has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 5.
- 10' Marcos Felipe has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 386 appearances.
- 12' Poor challenge from Ronald. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 22' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. David Duarte made 152 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 23' Erick has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 23 minutes.
- 28' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 33' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Gabriel Baralhas is withdrawn and Erick gets his opportunity.
- 38' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' The referee has no hesitation. Claudinho is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 40.
- 41' Poor challenge from Erick. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Wellington Rato by Gustavo Mosquito on 46 minute.
- 51' Cauly has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 53' It’s gonna be a card for Gilberto.
- 54' Renato Kayzer does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Vitoria surge ahead!
- 55' The crowd applauds Caio Alexandre as he leaves the pitch. Nicolas Acevedo steps in for EC Bahia.
- 59' A moment of madness from Erick on 59 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Osvaldo on 63 minutes.
- 65' EC Bahia make a change. Everton Ribeiro trudges off to be replaced by Michel Araujo on 65 minutes.
- 66' Magnificent from Michel Araujo! That is 10 goals in 386 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 68' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Janderson Costa is hanging Osvaldo on the field on 68 minute.
- 71' It’s gonna be a card for Joao Pedro Pepe.
- 76' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 78' Willian Jose has so much to prove this time. He replaces Erick on 78 minute.
- 83' Carlos Eduardo is replacing Claudinho for the EC Vitoria side.
- 88' Nicolas Acevedo was booked on 88.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. EC Bahia take all three points.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 65'
- 2
- 22
- 8
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
-
16
Erick ↓ Willian Jose 78'
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Tiago 46'
Bench
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 78'
- 1
- 25
-
14
Erick ↑ 55'
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 65'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 55'
- 37
- 3
-
77
Tiago ↑ 46'
- 83
- 52
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 83
- 79
- 43
- 5
-
11
Osvaldo ↓ Janderson Costa 68'
- 8
- 10
-
44
Gabriel Baralhas ↓ Erick 33'
- 1
-
2
Claudinho ↓ Carlos Eduardo 83'
Bench
-
33
Erick ↑ 33'
- 77
-
6
Joao Pedro Pepe ↑ 68'
- 3
- 38
-
7
Gustavo Mosquito ↑ 46'
- 35
- 22
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 83'
-
39
Janderson Costa ↑ 68'
- 99
- 66
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Lucas Marques | 1 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 1 |
| Tiago Pagnussat | 1 |
| Everton Ribeiro | 1 |
| Ze Rafael | 1 |
| Luciano Juba | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
81%
Draw or EC Vitoria
43%
EC Bahia or EC Vitoria
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 23% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.