EC Bahia vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Ceará SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #13 |
| 46 | Points | 33 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 13 |
| 43 | Scored | 28 |
| 35 | Conceded | 42 |
| +8 | GD | -14 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 43% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — EC Bahia and EC Vitória get this one started.
- 5' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 10' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Vitória's shape.
- 12' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ronald on 12 minutes.
- 17' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 22' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 23' The Brazil Erick breaks the deadlock on 23 minutes. 1-0!
- 28' It looks surprising EC Vitória does not make any changes. Osvaldo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' Erick is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gabriel Baralhas at the 33 minute mark.
- 38' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Vitória backline.
- 40' Claudinho catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 40.
- 41' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Erick on 41 minutes.
- 46' Gustavo Mosquito is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wellington Rato at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Luciano Juba has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 5 goals this season.
- 53' The referee calls foul for Gilberto. He receives a card.
- 54' Assisted by Osvaldo with the perfectly-timed delivery and Renato Kayzer makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 55' Nicolas Acevedo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Caio Alexandre on 55 minute.
- 59' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Erick on 59 minutes.
- 63' It’s gonna be a card for Osvaldo.
- 65' The crowd applauds Everton Ribeiro as he leaves the pitch. Michel Araujo steps in for EC Bahia.
- 66' GOAL! Michel Araujo fires home to make it 2-1!
- 68' The crowd applauds Osvaldo as he leaves the pitch. Janderson Costa steps in for EC Vitoria.
- 71' Joao Pedro Pepe was booked on 71.
- 76' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and EC Vitória are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 78' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Willian Jose on, Erick off on 78 minutes.
- 83' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Carlos Eduardo on, Claudinho off on 83 minutes.
- 88' The referee calls foul for Nicolas Acevedo. He receives a card.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — EC Bahia 2-1 EC Vitória.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 65'
- 2
- 22
- 8
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
-
16
Erick ↓ Willian Jose 78'
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Tiago 46'
Bench
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 78'
- 1
- 25
-
14
Erick ↑ 55'
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 65'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 55'
- 37
- 3
-
77
Tiago ↑ 46'
- 83
- 52
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 83
- 79
- 43
- 5
-
11
Osvaldo ↓ Janderson Costa 68'
- 8
- 10
-
44
Gabriel Baralhas ↓ Erick 33'
- 1
-
2
Claudinho ↓ Carlos Eduardo 83'
Bench
-
33
Erick ↑ 33'
- 77
-
6
Joao Pedro Pepe ↑ 68'
- 3
- 38
-
7
Gustavo Mosquito ↑ 46'
- 35
- 22
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 83'
-
39
Janderson Costa ↑ 68'
- 99
- 66
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Everaldo | 1 |
| Lucas Marques | 1 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 1 |
| Tiago Pagnussat | 1 |
| Everton Ribeiro | 1 |
| Ze Rafael | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.93
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
84%
Draw or EC Vitoria
39%
EC Bahia or EC Vitoria
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
11.1%
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 24% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.