Thursday , 1 October 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Tue 22 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC St Andrew's Ground 25,793 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tomoki Iwata 3' 1–0
Jay Stansfield pen 86' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC — League One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
  • Assistant 2 James Wilson
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
19 Oct Burton Albion FC H 2–1 W
05 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–2 D
01 Oct Northampton Town FC A 4–2 W
28 Sep Crawley Town FC A 2–0 W
21 Sep Reading FC H 5–2 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Birmingham City FC host Bolton Wanderers FC — let the battle begin!
  • 3' GOAL! Tomoki Iwata fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 8' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bolton Wanderers FC that had 326 games and scored 394 goals.
  • 13' Birmingham City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 18' That looks like a foul for a card for Kyle Dempsey.
  • 20' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Emil Hansson has done his job and it is now time for Marc Leonard to step up.
  • 24' That looks like a foul for a card for Josh Dacres-Cogley.
  • 29' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 34' Christoph Klarer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 39' That looks like a foul for a card for Jay Matete.
  • 44' Bolton Wanderers FC is showing some good football. However, Bolton Wanderers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' Bolton Wanderers FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. John McAtee is hanging Kyle Dempsey on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 57' It is a substitution in Bolton Wanderers FC team. Scott Arfield is replaced by Victor Adeboyejo on 57 minute.
  • 62' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 65' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Ethan Laird has done his job and it is now time for Taylor Gardner-Hickman to step up.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Randell Williams as he leaves the pitch. Will Forrester steps in for Bolton Wanderers FC.
  • 74' The energy levels are beginning to show. Chris Davies might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 78' John McAtee was booked on 78.
  • 83' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 86' Jay Stansfield does the damage! The net is bulging and Birmingham City FC surge ahead!
  • 87' Controversy at the stadium! Christoph Klarer argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 87' Lyndon Dykes has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keshi Anderson on 87 minute.
  • The final score is 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Birmingham City FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC45% Draw29% Bolton Wanderers FC26%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
55%
Birmingham City FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC30% Draw50% Bolton Wanderers FC20%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.