EC Bahia vs Botafogo FR, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Botafogo FR — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- Botafogo FR 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | CR Vasco da Gama | 34 | 44 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | São Paulo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Botafogo FR | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #12 |
| 53 | Points | 42 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 11 / 9 / 14 |
| 50 | Scored | 46 |
| 45 | Conceded | 53 |
| +5 | GD | -7 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 41% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). Botafogo FR are 12th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Botafogo FR
0-15
6/6
16-30
3/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/4
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 10 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 6 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Arena Fonte Nova. EC Bahia are looking to make home advantage count against Botafogo FR.
- 5' The 27-year-old Vitinho has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 5 assists is a remarkable return.
- 9' That looks like a foul for a card for Caio Alexandre.
- 14' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 19' Botafogo FR are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 31' That is a card for EC Bahia. Erick will be fuming at that decision.
- 36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 39' The Brazil Cauly breaks the deadlock on 39 minutes. 1-0!
- 44' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 45' That is a card for Botafogo FR. Newton will be fuming at that decision.
- 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 55' David Loiola has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 57' The Botafogo FR bench stirs into life. Patrick de Paula is withdrawn and Alex Telles gets his opportunity.
- 62' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicolas Acevedo is hanging Caio Alexandre on the field on 62 minute.
- 63' The crowd applauds Luciano Rodriguez as he leaves the pitch. Willian Jose steps in for EC Bahia.
- 68' EC Bahia have won 373 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 70' Another change for Botafogo FR made on 70 minute. Gonzalo Mastriani leaves to be changed by Rwan Seco.
- 75' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 79' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Michel Araujo on, Artur Guimaraes off on 79 minutes.
- 83' The referee has no hesitation. Mateo Ponte is booked for Botafogo FR — card on 83.
- 83' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Erick is replaced by Jeffinho on 83 minute.
- 86' That is a card for EC Bahia. Ademir Santos will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Botafogo FR receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- Botafogo FR will have plenty to reflect on. EC Bahia were simply the better side today.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Ademir Santos 62'
- 22
- 8
- 14
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
- 9
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 62'
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 63'
- 1
- 25
- 11
- 15
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 62'
- 37
- 5
- 3
- 77
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 12
-
2
Vitinho ↓ Mateo Ponte 70'
-
6
Patrick de Paula ↓ Alex Telles 57'
- 17
-
39
Gonzalo Mastriani ↓ Rwan Seco 70'
- 57
- 66
- 28
- 32
- 99
Bench
- 21
- 25
-
13
Alex Telles ↑ 57'
- 5
- 33
-
9
Rwan Seco ↑ 70'
- 24
- 47
- 18
-
4
Mateo Ponte ↑ 70'
- 63
Coach
Renato Paiva
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vitor Jacare | 2 |
| Diego Costa | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Jeffinho | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Fessin | 1 |
| Santiago Rodriguez | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
Botafogo FR xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
78%
Draw or Botafogo FR
49%
EC Bahia or Botafogo FR
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Botafogo FR covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 24% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.