EC Bahia vs Botafogo FR, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Botafogo FR — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Botafogo FR 28 games · 35 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Botafogo FR | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #12 |
| 46 | Points | 35 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 9 / 8 / 11 |
| 43 | Scored | 41 |
| 35 | Conceded | 45 |
| +8 | GD | -4 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.25 |
| 43% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). Botafogo FR are 12th (35 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
2/4
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
4/3
76+
8/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 9 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Botafogo FR kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 9' Poor challenge from Caio Alexandre. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 14' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 19' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 24' The 23-year-old Mateo Ponte has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 29' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Botafogo FR winning 0% of all matches.
- 31' Controversy at the stadium! Erick argues furiously but the card stands.
- 36' John has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 39' The deadlock is broken! Cauly gets on the scoresheet on 39 minutes.
- 44' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past Botafogo FR's compact .
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Newton on 45.
- 50' It looks surprising Botafogo FR does not make any changes. Marlon Freitas has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 57' Patrick de Paula makes way for Alex Telles at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from Botafogo FR.
- 62' Nicolas Acevedo is replacing Caio Alexandre for the EC Bahia side.
- 63' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Luciano Rodriguez by Willian Jose on 63 minute.
- 68' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 70' Rwan Seco is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gonzalo Mastriani at the 70 minute mark.
- 75' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jean Lucas, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Fonte Nova with 3 goals in the last 2 games.
- 79' The supporters are chanting for Michel Araujo. He replaces Artur Guimaraes on 79 minute.
- 83' The referee has no hesitation. Mateo Ponte is booked for Botafogo FR — card on 83.
- 83' The Botafogo FR bench stirs into life. Erick is withdrawn and Jeffinho gets his opportunity.
- 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ademir Santos on 86.
- 90' It’s a booking for Botafogo FR player. John gets a card.
- Botafogo FR will have plenty to reflect on. EC Bahia were simply the better side today.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Ademir Santos 62'
- 22
- 8
- 14
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
- 9
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 62'
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 63'
- 1
- 25
- 11
- 15
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 62'
- 37
- 5
- 3
- 77
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 12
-
2
Vitinho ↓ Mateo Ponte 70'
-
6
Patrick de Paula ↓ Alex Telles 57'
- 17
-
39
Gonzalo Mastriani ↓ Rwan Seco 70'
- 57
- 66
- 28
- 32
- 99
Bench
- 21
- 25
-
13
Alex Telles ↑ 57'
- 5
- 33
-
9
Rwan Seco ↑ 70'
- 24
- 47
- 18
-
4
Mateo Ponte ↑ 70'
- 63
Coach
Renato Paiva
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kieza | 2 |
| Vitor Jacare | 2 |
| Diego Costa | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Jeffinho | 2 |
| Rodriguinho | 1 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94
Botafogo FR xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
79%
Draw or Botafogo FR
48%
EC Bahia or Botafogo FR
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Botafogo FR covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.