EC Bahia vs Botafogo FR, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Botafogo FR — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Botafogo FR 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Botafogo FR | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #12 |
| 26 | Points | 22 |
| 17 | Played | 17 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 31 |
| 23 | Conceded | 31 |
| +2 | GD | +0 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 41% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Botafogo FR are 12th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 7 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Arena Fonte Nova. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 9' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Caio Alexandre.
- 14' Cauly needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 8 Yellow cards this season.
- 19' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 24' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Renato Paiva will be considering his options from the bench.
- 29' Botafogo FR is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 31' Erick picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 36' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 39' Against the run of play, Cauly has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' Newton has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Botafogo FR winning 0% of all matches.
- 55' Gonzalo Mastriani has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 380 appearances.
- 57' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Patrick de Paula is replaced by Alex Telles on 57 minute.
- 62' Nicolas Acevedo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Caio Alexandre at the 62 minute mark.
- 63' EC Bahia ring the changes. Luciano Rodriguez has done his job and it is now time for Willian Jose to step up.
- 68' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 70' The whistle greets Gonzalo Mastriani as he departs to be replaced by Rwan Seco.
- 75' Botafogo FR started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 75.
- 79' Another change for EC Bahia made on 79 minute. Artur Guimaraes leaves to be changed by Michel Araujo.
- 83' Botafogo FR receives a card for a hard tackle on 83.
- 83' Jeffinho gets the nod from Botafogo FR. He replaces Erick and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! John argues furiously but the card stands.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Ademir Santos 62'
- 22
- 8
- 14
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
- 9
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 62'
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 63'
- 1
- 25
- 11
- 15
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 62'
- 37
- 5
- 3
- 77
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 12
-
2
Vitinho ↓ Mateo Ponte 70'
-
6
Patrick de Paula ↓ Alex Telles 57'
- 17
-
39
Gonzalo Mastriani ↓ Rwan Seco 70'
- 57
- 66
- 28
- 32
- 99
Bench
- 21
- 25
-
13
Alex Telles ↑ 57'
- 5
- 33
-
9
Rwan Seco ↑ 70'
- 24
- 47
- 18
-
4
Mateo Ponte ↑ 70'
- 63
Coach
Renato Paiva
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Elber | 2 |
| Jeffinho | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Vitor Jacare | 2 |
| Diego Costa | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Agustin Allione | 1 |
| Rafael Ratao | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.64
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Botafogo FR xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
75%
Draw or Botafogo FR
50%
EC Bahia or Botafogo FR
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Botafogo FR covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.