EC Bahia vs Botafogo FR, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Botafogo FR — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Botafogo FR 21 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Botafogo FR | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #10 |
| 33 | Points | 30 |
| 22 | Played | 21 |
| 8 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 6 / 7 |
| 29 | Scored | 35 |
| 25 | Conceded | 33 |
| +4 | GD | +2 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.43 |
| 36% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
19%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). Botafogo FR are 10th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 7 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Arena Fonte Nova!
- 5' Cuiabano, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 9' A moment of madness from Caio Alexandre on 9 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 14' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Botafogo FR winning 0% of all matches.
- 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 29' Artur Guimaraes has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 31' That looks like a foul for a card for Erick.
- 36' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 39' A stunning finish from Cauly — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 44' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past Botafogo FR's compact .
- 45' Newton was booked on 45.
- 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 55' Uruguay international Mateo Ponte has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 57' The Botafogo FR bench stirs into life. Patrick de Paula is withdrawn and Alex Telles gets his opportunity.
- 62' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Nicolas Acevedo on, Caio Alexandre off on 62 minutes.
- 63' Luciano Rodriguez makes way for Willian Jose at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 68' David Loiola has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 70' Rwan Seco is replacing Gonzalo Mastriani for the Botafogo FR side.
- 75' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 79' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Michel Araujo comes on to replace Artur Guimaraes.
- 83' The referee has no hesitation. Mateo Ponte is booked for Botafogo FR — card on 83.
- 83' The whistle greets Erick as he departs to be replaced by Jeffinho.
- 86' A moment of madness from Ademir Santos on 86 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 90' It’s a booking for Botafogo FR player. John gets a card.
- Full Time. EC Bahia beats Botafogo FR
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Ademir Santos 62'
- 22
- 8
- 14
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
- 9
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 62'
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 63'
- 1
- 25
- 11
- 15
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 62'
- 37
- 5
- 3
- 77
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 12
-
2
Vitinho ↓ Mateo Ponte 70'
-
6
Patrick de Paula ↓ Alex Telles 57'
- 17
-
39
Gonzalo Mastriani ↓ Rwan Seco 70'
- 57
- 66
- 28
- 32
- 99
Bench
- 21
- 25
-
13
Alex Telles ↑ 57'
- 5
- 33
-
9
Rwan Seco ↑ 70'
- 24
- 47
- 18
-
4
Mateo Ponte ↑ 70'
- 63
Coach
Renato Paiva
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Costa | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Jeffinho | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Vitor Jacare | 2 |
| Joao Paulo | 1 |
| Luis Henrique | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Botafogo FR xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
76%
Draw or Botafogo FR
51%
EC Bahia or Botafogo FR
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Botafogo FR covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 23% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.