Derby County FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Watford FC

Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Watford FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Gavin Ward

6 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC 2025-01-18 Derby County FC 0–2 Watford FC 2024-08-24 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-02-19 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2020-10-16 Derby County FC 0–1 Watford FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Nov	Watford FC	H	2–3	L
08 Nov	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	2–1	W
04 Nov	Hull City AFC	H	2–1	W
01 Nov	Sheffield United FC	A	3–1	W
25 Oct	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–0	W
21 Oct	Norwich City FC	H	1–0	W

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Nov	Derby County FC	A	3–2	W
07 Nov	Bristol City FC	H	1–1	D
04 Nov	Ipswich Town FC	A	1–1	D
01 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	H	3–0	W
25 Oct	Coventry City FC	A	1–3	L
22 Oct	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Watford FC
#23	Position	#20
10	Points	15
15	Played	15
2 / 4 / 9	W / D / L	4 / 3 / 8
14	Scored	13
30	Conceded	23
-16	GD	-10
0.67	PPG	1.00
13%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

1/5

16-30

3/6

31-45

2/7

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/4

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Watford FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

–/6

46-60

2/3

61-75

1/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	3 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	3 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Derby County FC to score. At the same time, Watford FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Derby County FC 2-3 Watford FC.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Joao Pedro	2
Imran Louza	1
Will Hughes	1
William Troost-Ekong	1
Ebou Adams	1
Moussa Sissoko	1
Vakoun Issouf Bayo	1
Edo Kayembe	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC L 2025-11-08 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Derby County FC W 2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC W 2025-11-01 Sheffield United FC 1–3 Derby County FC W 2025-10-25 Derby County FC 1–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2025-10-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Norwich City FC W

Watford FC Form

2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC W 2025-11-07 Watford FC 1–1 Bristol City FC D 2025-11-04 Ipswich Town FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2025-11-01 Watford FC 3–0 Middlesbrough FC W 2025-10-25 Coventry City FC 3–1 Watford FC L 2025-10-22 Watford FC 2–1 West Bromwich Albion FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.29 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.48 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Derby County FC or Watford FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC32% Draw28% Watford FC40%

Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.77

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

60%

Draw or Watford FC

68%

Derby County FC or Watford FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC24% Draw46% Watford FC30%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

12.9%

1 – 2

8.5%

0 – 1

8.4%

0 – 0

8.2%

2 – 1

7.4%

1 – 0

7.1%

0 – 2

6.8%

2 – 2

5.5%

2 – 0

5.1%

1 – 3

4.2%

0 – 3

3.3%

3 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	17%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	20%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.