Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Santos FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Gremio FBPA
1 – 0
Full Time
Santos FC
Sun 4 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 5' Luan Peres
Y 10' Luisao
Igor 36' Y
Martin Braithwaite 48' Y
Walter Kannemann 63' Y
Y 75' Tomas Rincon
Marlon 90' Y
Edenilson 91' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Santos FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

5
4
4
Gremio FBPA 13 games · Avg 2.9 goals Santos FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC 2023-08-20 Santos FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2023-04-16 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC 2021-10-10 Santos FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2021-06-25 Gremio FBPA 2–2 Santos FC

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Santos FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
20 Apr SC Internacional H 1–1 D
16 Apr Mirassol FC A 1–4 L
13 Apr CR Flamengo H 0–2 L
05 Apr Ceará SC A 0–2 L
Santos FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L
27 Apr RB Bragantino H 1–2 L
20 Apr Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
17 Apr CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
13 Apr Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
06 Apr EC Bahia H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Santos FC
#18 Position #8
31 Points 42
30 Played 30
7 / 10 / 13 W / D / L 11 / 9 / 10
32 Scored 46
40 Conceded 45
-8 GD +1
1.03 PPG 1.40
23% Win % 37%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
23% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). Santos FC are 8th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/3
31-45
8/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
3/4
76+
10/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 14 G 3 A
Neymar 8 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Gremio FBPA have kicked off against Santos FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Poor challenge from Luan Peres. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 10' Luisao picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Kevyson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' Gremio FBPA has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 35' Santos FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 36' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Igor.
  • 41' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Gremio FBPA and Santos FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 46' Alysson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Edenilson at the 46 minute mark.
  • 48' Martin Braithwaite is having his name booked by the referee on 48.
  • 53' It looks like no one’s ball. Gremio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 58' Gabriel Bontempo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Santos FC tonight.
  • 61' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Franco Cristaldo is replaced by Miguel Monsalve on 61 minute.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Santos FC team. Benjamin Rollheiser is replaced by Gabriel Bontempo on 62 minute.
  • 63' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Walter Kannemann gets a card.
  • 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gabriel Brazao made 31 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Gustavo Cuellar exits the field as Camilo enters on 70.
  • 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tomas Rincon on 75 minutes.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Gonzalo Escobar as he leaves the pitch. Kevyson steps in for Santos FC.
  • 77' Gremio FBPA is taking the lead after the goal scored by Cristian Olivera on 77.
  • 82' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 83' Santos FC make a change. Luisao trudges off to be replaced by Joao Pedro Chermont on 83 minutes.
  • 88' Gremio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 89' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Martin Braithwaite exits the field as Matias Arezo enters on 89.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Marlon argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Viery comes on to replace Cristian Olivera.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Gremio FBPA players.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

Santos FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Cesar Sampaio

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Diego Souza 4
Everton 3
Marinho 3
Maicon 2
Pepe 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Maicon 2
Gabriel Barbosa 2

Head to Head

2025-05-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC 2023-08-20 Santos FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2023-04-16 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC 2021-10-10 Santos FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2021-06-25 Gremio FBPA 2–2 Santos FC

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-05-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC W 2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-04-20 Gremio FBPA 1–1 SC Internacional D 2025-04-16 Mirassol FC 4–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-04-13 Gremio FBPA 0–2 CR Flamengo L 2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Gremio FBPA L

Santos FC Form

2025-05-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC L 2025-04-27 Santos FC 1–2 RB Bragantino L 2025-04-20 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Santos FC L 2025-04-17 Santos FC 2–0 CA Mineiro W 2025-04-13 Fluminense FC 1–0 Santos FC L 2025-04-06 Santos FC 2–2 EC Bahia D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Santos FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA42% Draw29% Santos FC29%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
71%
Draw or Santos FC
58%
Gremio FBPA or Santos FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA26% Draw51% Santos FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 21% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.