Saturday , 14 November 2026

EC Bahia vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
EC Bahia
1 – 0
Full Time
Ceará SC
Mon 21 Apr 2025 · 23:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 40' Lucas Mugni
Ademir Santos 49' Y
Everton Ribeiro 64' Y
Y 76' Rafael Ramos
Y 84' Fernando Sobral
Y 90' Fabiano Silva

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 35 51
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 Sao Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 35 41
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

4
3
3
EC Bahia 10 games · Avg 2.0 goals Ceará SC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-21 EC Bahia 1–0 Ceará SC 2021-10-27 EC Bahia 1–1 Ceará SC 2021-06-17 Ceará SC 1–2 EC Bahia 2020-12-05 EC Bahia 0–2 Ceará SC 2020-08-23 Ceará SC 2–0 EC Bahia

Recent Form

EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Ceará SC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–3 L
13 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Santos FC A 2–2 D
30 Mar SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
14 Mar CA Boston River H 1–0 W
Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr EC Bahia A 0–1 L
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
12 Apr EC Juventude A 1–2 L
05 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
31 Mar RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
13 Nov EC Juventude H 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 11 G 2 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 4 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Bahia welcome Ceará SC for this crunch clash at Arena Fonte Nova.
  • 5' Matheus Araujo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Ceará SC backline.
  • 15' Ceará SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' Portugal international Rafael Ramos has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' Lucas Mugni has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
  • 44' A tactical swap from Ceara SC — Guilherme Luiz on, Aylon off on 44 minutes.
  • 46' Erick gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Luciano Rodriguez and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 49' That is a card for EC Bahia. Ademir Santos will be fuming at that decision.
  • 54' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leo Condé will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 59' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Everton Ribeiro is hanging Rodrigo Nestor on the field on 59 minute.
  • 64' That looks like a foul for a card for Everton Ribeiro.
  • 69' Guilherme Luiz has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 74' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Lucas Mugni is replaced by Romulo on 74 minute.
  • 76' Ceara SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
  • 81' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 82' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Ademir Santos by Ruan Pablo on 82 minute.
  • 84' Fernando Sobral has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 84.
  • 89' Luciano Rodriguez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Fabiano Silva.
  • 90' Ceara SC ring the changes. Fernando Sobral has done his job and it is now time for Pedro Henrique to step up.
  • Ceará SC will have plenty to reflect on. EC Bahia were simply the better side today.

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Gilberto 3
Luiz Otavio 2
Ze Rafael 1
Stiven Mendoza 1
Edigar Junio 1
Everton Ribeiro 1
Lourenco 1
Artur 1

Head to Head

2025-04-21 EC Bahia 1–0 Ceará SC 2021-10-27 EC Bahia 1–1 Ceará SC 2021-06-17 Ceará SC 1–2 EC Bahia 2020-12-05 EC Bahia 0–2 Ceará SC 2020-08-23 Ceará SC 2–0 EC Bahia

EC Bahia Form

2025-04-21 EC Bahia 1–0 Ceará SC W 2025-04-18 Cruzeiro EC 3–0 EC Bahia L 2025-04-13 EC Bahia 1–1 Mirassol FC D 2025-04-06 Santos FC 2–2 EC Bahia D 2025-03-30 EC Bahia 1–1 SC Corinthians Paulista D 2025-03-14 EC Bahia 1–0 CA Boston River W

Ceará SC Form

2025-04-21 EC Bahia 1–0 Ceará SC L 2025-04-16 Ceará SC 2–1 CR Vasco da Gama W 2025-04-12 EC Juventude 2–1 Ceará SC L 2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Gremio FBPA W 2025-03-31 RB Bragantino 2–2 Ceará SC D 2022-11-13 Ceará SC 4–1 EC Juventude W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia43% Draw30% Ceará SC27%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or Ceará SC
57%
EC Bahia or Ceará SC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia28% Draw52% Ceará SC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.