Sunday , 16 August 2026

EC Bahia vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 0
Full Time
Mon 21 Apr 2025 · 23:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Ceará SCSerie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Ceará SC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–3 L
13 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Santos FC A 2–2 D
30 Mar SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
14 Mar CA Boston River H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr EC Bahia A 0–1 L
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
12 Apr EC Juventude A 1–2 L
05 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
31 Mar RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
13 Nov EC Juventude H 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! EC Bahia vs Ceará SC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The 29-year-old Willian Machado has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Aylon is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' The travelling Ceará SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Leo Condé might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' Lucas Mugni is having his name booked by the referee on 40.
  • 44' Time for substitution for Ceara SC. Aylon is replaced by Guilherme Luiz.
  • 46' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Luciano Rodriguez by Erick on 46 minute.
  • 49' Poor challenge from Ademir Santos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 54' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leo Condé will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 59' Everton Ribeiro gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Rodrigo Nestor and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 64' Controversy at the stadium! Everton Ribeiro argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 69' Ceará SC is showing some good football. However, Ceará SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 74' Another change for Ceara SC made on 74 minute. Lucas Mugni leaves to be changed by Romulo.
  • 76' Controversy at the stadium! Rafael Ramos argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 81' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 82' Another change for EC Bahia made on 82 minute. Ademir Santos leaves to be changed by Ruan Pablo.
  • 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Fernando Sobral.
  • 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fabiano Silva made 428 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' Fabiano Silva is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' The whistle greets Fernando Sobral as he departs to be replaced by Pedro Henrique.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia43% Draw30% Ceará SC27%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or Ceará SC
57%
EC Bahia or Ceará SC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia28% Draw52% Ceará SC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
38%
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.