Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Bahia vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
EC Bahia
1 – 0
Full Time
Ceará SC
Mon 21 Apr 2025 · 23:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 40' Lucas Mugni
Ademir Santos 49' Y
Everton Ribeiro 64' Y
Y 76' Rafael Ramos
Y 84' Fernando Sobral
Y 90' Fabiano Silva

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

4
3
3
EC Bahia 10 games · Avg 2.0 goals Ceará SC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-21 EC Bahia 1–0 Ceará SC 2021-10-27 EC Bahia 1–1 Ceará SC 2021-06-17 Ceará SC 1–2 EC Bahia 2020-12-05 EC Bahia 0–2 Ceará SC 2020-08-23 Ceará SC 2–0 EC Bahia

Recent Form

EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Ceará SC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–3 L
13 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Santos FC A 2–2 D
30 Mar SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
14 Mar CA Boston River H 1–0 W
Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr EC Bahia A 0–1 L
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
12 Apr EC Juventude A 1–2 L
05 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
31 Mar RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
13 Nov EC Juventude H 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. EC Bahia is hosting Ceará SC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Ceará SC have won 233 goals from 238 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' Ceará SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Ceará SC is showing some good football. However, Ceará SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leo Condé will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' Ceara SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 40.
  • 44' Ceara SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Guilherme Luiz is hanging Aylon on the field on 44 minute.
  • 46' Erick gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Luciano Rodriguez and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 49' The referee calls foul for Ademir Santos. He receives a card.
  • 54' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 59' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Rodrigo Nestor departs to be replaced by Everton Ribeiro.
  • 64' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Everton Ribeiro gets a card.
  • 69' Luciano Rodriguez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Yellow cards this season.
  • 74' Fresh legs for Ceara SC! Romulo comes on to replace Lucas Mugni.
  • 76' Controversy at the stadium! Rafael Ramos argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 81' Ceará SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 82' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Ademir Santos by Ruan Pablo on 82 minute.
  • 84' That looks like a foul for a card for Fernando Sobral.
  • 89' It’s high time Leo Condé made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Fabiano Silva on 90 minutes earns him a card. Ceara SC will be frustrated.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Ceara SC — Pedro Henrique on, Fernando Sobral off on 90 minutes.
  • With this win, EC Bahia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Gilberto 3
Luiz Otavio 2
Vinicius 1
Gilberto 1
Saulo da Silva 1
Lucas Fonseca 1
Rodriguinho 1
Gilberto 1

Head to Head

2025-04-21 EC Bahia 1–0 Ceará SC 2021-10-27 EC Bahia 1–1 Ceará SC 2021-06-17 Ceará SC 1–2 EC Bahia 2020-12-05 EC Bahia 0–2 Ceará SC 2020-08-23 Ceará SC 2–0 EC Bahia

EC Bahia Form

2025-04-21 EC Bahia 1–0 Ceará SC W 2025-04-18 Cruzeiro EC 3–0 EC Bahia L 2025-04-13 EC Bahia 1–1 Mirassol FC D 2025-04-06 Santos FC 2–2 EC Bahia D 2025-03-30 EC Bahia 1–1 SC Corinthians Paulista D 2025-03-14 EC Bahia 1–0 CA Boston River W

Ceará SC Form

2025-04-21 EC Bahia 1–0 Ceará SC L 2025-04-16 Ceará SC 2–1 CR Vasco da Gama W 2025-04-12 EC Juventude 2–1 Ceará SC L 2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Gremio FBPA W 2025-03-31 RB Bragantino 2–2 Ceará SC D 2022-11-13 Ceará SC 4–1 EC Juventude W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia43% Draw30% Ceará SC27%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or Ceará SC
57%
EC Bahia or Ceará SC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia28% Draw52% Ceará SC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.