EC Bahia vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | CA Boston River | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | EC Juventude | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | RB Bragantino | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 4–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! EC Bahia vs Ceará SC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The 29-year-old Willian Machado has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Aylon is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' The travelling Ceará SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Leo Condé might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 40' Lucas Mugni is having his name booked by the referee on 40.
- 44' Time for substitution for Ceara SC. Aylon is replaced by Guilherme Luiz.
- 46' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Luciano Rodriguez by Erick on 46 minute.
- 49' Poor challenge from Ademir Santos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 54' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leo Condé will be considering his options from the bench.
- 59' Everton Ribeiro gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Rodrigo Nestor and will look to change the dynamic.
- 64' Controversy at the stadium! Everton Ribeiro argues furiously but the card stands.
- 69' Ceará SC is showing some good football. However, Ceará SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 74' Another change for Ceara SC made on 74 minute. Lucas Mugni leaves to be changed by Romulo.
- 76' Controversy at the stadium! Rafael Ramos argues furiously but the card stands.
- 81' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 82' Another change for EC Bahia made on 82 minute. Ademir Santos leaves to be changed by Ruan Pablo.
- 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Fernando Sobral.
- 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fabiano Silva made 428 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 90' Fabiano Silva is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 90' The whistle greets Fernando Sobral as he departs to be replaced by Pedro Henrique.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Ruan Pablo 82'
- 2
- 22
- 8
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↓ Luciano Juba 59'
- 14
- 11
- 33
- 21
- 26
-
9
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Erick 46'
Bench
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 59'
- 1
- 19
-
46
Luciano Juba ↑ 59'
- 37
- 5
-
77
Tiago ↑ 59'
-
16
Erick ↑ 46'
- 83
-
52
Ruan Pablo ↑ 82'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Ceará SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Aylon ↓ Guilherme Luiz 44'
- 16
- 3
- 2
-
10
Lucas Mugni ↓ Romulo 74'
- 88
- 9
- 70
- 20
- 27
- 23
Bench
- 40
- 33
- 97
- 18
-
7
Pedro Henrique ↑ 90'
-
8
Matheus Araujo ↑ 74'
- 31
- 99
-
19
Romulo ↑ 74'
-
80
Guilherme Luiz ↑ 44'
Coach
Leo Condé
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Luiz Otavio | 2 |
| Lourenco | 1 |
| Artur | 1 |
| Willian Jose | 1 |
| Mateus Goncalves | 1 |
| Cleber | 1 |
| Lucas Fonseca | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Ceará SC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or Ceará SC
57%
EC Bahia or Ceará SC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Ceará SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.