Monday , 27 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 PLAYOFFS

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 12 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Riley McGree
Ross Stewart 45+1' 1–1
Shea Charles 116' 2–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Middlesbrough FC H 2–1 W
09 May Middlesbrough FC A 0–0 D
02 May Preston North End FC A 3–1 W
28 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 2–2 D
25 Apr Manchester City FC A 1–2 L
21 Apr Bristol City FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Southampton FC A 1–2 L
09 May Southampton FC H 0–0 D
02 May Wrexham AFC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Watford FC H 5–1 W
22 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W
19 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Southampton FC Middlesbrough FC
#7 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Southampton FC are 7th (0 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Southampton FC and Middlesbrough FC.
  • 5' Riley McGree doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 13' That looks like a foul for a card for Riley McGree.
  • 18' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aidan Morris, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 28' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ross Stewart is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Southampton FC.
  • 33' Middlesbrough FC come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 37' Southampton FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 38' Luke Ayling catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
  • 39' Middlesbrough FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 39.
  • 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Finn Azaz suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ross Stewart makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' Finn Azaz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 56.
  • 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Kuryu Matsuki is replaced by Flynn Downes.
  • 71' Nathan Wood-Gordon has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 73' The supporters are chanting for Alan Browne. He replaces Tommy Conway on 73 minute.
  • 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Adilson Malanda.
  • 83' Leo Castledine has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Strelec on 83 minute.
  • 84' The whistle greets Ross Stewart as he departs to be replaced by Cyle Larin.
  • 85' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Leo Scienza by Samuel Edozie on 85 minute.
  • 90' Solomon Brynn is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Middlesbrough FC so far.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Southampton FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 3
0.8 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Southampton FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC38% Draw35% Middlesbrough FC27%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes31% 0% No69%
Avg goals/match: 1.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
62%
Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC
65%

Half-Time Result

Southampton FC20% Draw61% Middlesbrough FC19%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.4%
1 – 0
15%
0 – 1
14.4%
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
2.2%
3 – 0
1.6%
0 – 3
1.5%
3 – 1
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 8% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 21% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 20% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
47%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.