Millwall FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 8 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
- Assistant 2 Matthew Smith
5 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 6.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Burnley FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Derby County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Oct | Cardiff City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Oct | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Oct | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Burnley FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #24 |
| 11 | Points | 4 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 3 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 0 / 4 / 4 |
| 15 | Scored | 9 |
| 15 | Conceded | 17 |
| +0 | GD | -8 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 0.50 |
| 38% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Burnley FC are 24th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Burnley FC
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Millwall FC vs Burnley FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Scott Parker will be considering his options from the bench.
- 21' It’s gonna be a card for Jake Cooper.
- 23' Joe Bryan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 23.
- 28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andreas Hountondji suffering a number of foals already.
- 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Burnley FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 48' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 52' The deadlock is broken! Jake Cooper gets on the scoresheet on 52 minutes.
- 57' Japhet Tanganga needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
- 62' Over 62 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 63' Bashir Humphreys makes way for Jeremy Sarmiento at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
- 64' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Andreas Hountondji is replaced by Jay Rodriguez.
- 69' The 31-year-old Connor Roberts has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 73' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Joe Bryan by Dan McNamara on 73 minute.
- 76' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Femi Azeez by Ryan Wintle on 76 minute.
- 77' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Romain Esse exits the field as Duncan Watmore enters on 77.
- 82' Burnley FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 87' It is a cagey affair so far. Millwall FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Burnley FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 88' Burnley FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Hannibal Mejbri was booked on 90.
- 90' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. George Honeyman is withdrawn and Shaun Hutchinson gets his opportunity.
- 1-0 the final result. Burnley FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 18
- 5
- 39
-
15
Joe Bryan ↓ Dan McNamara 73'
- 23
- 24
- 6
- 1
-
11
Femi Azeez ↓ Ryan Wintle 76'
-
25
Romain Esse ↓ Duncan Watmore 77'
Bench
-
4
Shaun Hutchinson ↑ 90'
-
19
Duncan Watmore ↑ 77'
- 13
-
14
Ryan Wintle ↑ 76'
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 73'
-
21
Josh Coburn ↑ 76'
- 22
- 26
- 16
Coach
Neil Harris
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 14
- 24
- 37
- 11
- 1
- 5
- 6
- 30
- 12
-
29
Josh Laurent ↓ Hannibal Mejbri 63'
Bench
-
9
Jay Rodriguez ↑ 64'
- 16
- 32
- 3
-
28
Hannibal Mejbri ↑ 63'
- 39
-
7
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 63'
- 23
- 48
Coach
Scott Parker
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ashley Barnes | 2 |
| Josh Brownhill | 2 |
| Jay Rodriguez | 1 |
| Vitinho | 1 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
| Mihailo Ivanovic | 1 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.98
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Burnley FC
44%
Millwall FC or Burnley FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 22% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

