EC Bahia vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A .
- EC Bahia 25 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 May | SC Internacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul | EC Bahia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jun | Coritiba FBC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Jun | America FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Jun | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 May | CA Paranaense | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #15 |
| 40 | Points | 28 |
| 25 | Played | 24 |
| 10 / 10 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 37 | Scored | 27 |
| 30 | Conceded | 32 |
| +7 | GD | -5 |
| 1.60 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 40% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
EC Bahia are 5th (40 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/4
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Jean Lucas | 3 G | 3 A |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for EC Bahia to score. At the same time, Gremio FBPA does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gremio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 9' Franco Cristaldo does the damage! The net is bulging and Gremio FBPA surge ahead!
- 14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gustavo Martins suffering a number of foals already.
- 19' Gabriel Chapeco is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 20' What composure from Vinicius Mingotti! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 25' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gremio FBPA's shape.
- 32' Poor challenge from Joao Pedro. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 37' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Nicolas Acevedo gets a Yellow card.
- 42' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 47' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 52' Kanu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 57' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gremio FBPA that had 328 games and scored 385 goals.
- 62' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 65' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Ademir Santos comes on to replace Kayky.
- 67' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Walter Kannemann gets a Yellow card.
- 68' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cuiabano is hanging Franco Cristaldo on the field on 68 minute.
- 69' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Thaciano.
- 74' Gremio FBPA are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 75' Vina is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luis Suarez at the 75 minute mark.
- 76' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Rezende by Diego Rosa on 76 minute.
- 81' Ferreira, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 86' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 90' Gustavo Martins puts Gremio FBPA on the lead.
- 90' Poor challenge from Cicinho. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 90' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Felipe Carballo departs to be replaced by Ferreira.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Gremio FBPA to claim maximum points.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
21
Vinicius Mingotti ↓ Everaldo 75'
- –
-
–
Kayky ↓ Ademir Santos 65'
-
–
Rezende ↓ Diego Rosa 76'
- –
Bench
-
–
Ademir Santos ↑ 65'
- –
-
–
Everaldo ↑ 75'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
17
Diego Rosa ↑ 76'
- –
- –
- –
- –
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- –
-
8
Luis Suarez ↓ Vina 76'
- –
-
–
Franco Cristaldo ↓ Cuiabano 68'
- 21
- –
- 34
- –
-
8
Felipe Carballo ↓ Ferreira 90'
- 39
Bench
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Franco Cristaldo | 1 |
| Iago Borduchi | 1 |
| Maicon | 1 |
| Darlan Mendes | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Gremio FBPA 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
65%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
63%
EC Bahia or Gremio FBPA
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

