Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 10 May 2026 · 17:30 UTC MEWA Arena 32,600 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 38' Andrej Ilic
Sheraldo Becker 48' 1–1
1–2 88' Oliver Burke
1–3 90+1' Josip Juranovic

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
17 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 6.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–3 L
03 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
25 Apr FC Bayern München H 3–4 L
19 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–1 D
12 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
02 May 1. FC Koln H 2–2 D
24 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
18 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
11 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
05 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FC Union Berlin
#10 Position #11
40 Points 39
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
44 Scored 44
53 Conceded 58
-9 GD -14
1.18 PPG 1.15
29% Win % 29%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin has kicked off!
  • 5' The travelling 1. FC Union Berlin supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 7' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 7.
  • 12' Supporters expect more eagerness from Phillip Tietz, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 17' Sheraldo Becker has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 22' 1. FC Union Berlin is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 32' 1. FC Union Berlin started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
  • 37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with 1. FC Union Berlin winning 50% of all matches.
  • 38' Andrej Ilic puts 1. FC Union Berlin on the lead.
  • 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Danilho Doekhi made 282 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 48' GOAL! Sheraldo Becker scores on 48. Assisted by Paul Nebel
  • 53' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 57' Phillip Tietz puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 on the lead.
  • 62' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 62 minutes.
  • 67' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Carl Klaus has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 75' Jae-sung Lee is having his name booked by the referee on 75.
  • 80' That looks like a foul for a card for Derrick Kohn.
  • 85' It’s high time Marie-Louise Eta made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 88' What a strike from Oliver Burke! The score is 2-2.
  • With this win, 1. FC Union Berlin is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Union Berlin 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0535% Draw26% 1. FC Union Berlin39%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
62%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
65%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Union Berlin
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw42% 1. FC Union Berlin31%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
1 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 17% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 19% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
19%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.