1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FC Union Berlin 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
17 games this season
🟨 1.2/game
⚽ 6.8 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 May | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 3–4 | L |
| 19 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 May | 1. FC Koln | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 1. FC Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #11 |
| 40 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 10 / 9 / 15 |
| 44 | Scored | 44 |
| 53 | Conceded | 58 |
| -9 | GD | -14 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
21%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
1. FC Union Berlin this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin has kicked off!
- 5' The travelling 1. FC Union Berlin supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 7' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 7.
- 12' Supporters expect more eagerness from Phillip Tietz, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 17' Sheraldo Becker has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 22' 1. FC Union Berlin is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 32' 1. FC Union Berlin started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
- 37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with 1. FC Union Berlin winning 50% of all matches.
- 38' Andrej Ilic puts 1. FC Union Berlin on the lead.
- 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Danilho Doekhi made 282 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 48' GOAL! Sheraldo Becker scores on 48. Assisted by Paul Nebel
- 53' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 57' Phillip Tietz puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 on the lead.
- 62' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 62 minutes.
- 67' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Carl Klaus has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 75' Jae-sung Lee is having his name booked by the referee on 75.
- 80' That looks like a foul for a card for Derrick Kohn.
- 85' It’s high time Marie-Louise Eta made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 88' What a strike from Oliver Burke! The score is 2-2.
- With this win, 1. FC Union Berlin is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 23
- 19
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 10
- 4
- 21
- 20
- 8
- 6
Bench
- 15
- 33
- 30
- 11
- 24
- 44
- 22
- 7
- 48
Coach
Urs Fischer
1. FC Union Berlin Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 5
- 8
- 28
- 4
- 25
- 15
- 23
- 6
- 9
- 10
Bench
- 21
- 18
- 11
- 33
- 13
- 39
- 14
- 34
- 48
Coach
Marie-Louise Eta
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Taiwo Awoniyi | 4 |
| Kevin Behrens | 4 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 2 |
| Daniel Brosinski | 2 |
| Sebastian Andersson | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Marvin Friedrich | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2026-05-10
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–3
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2026-05-03
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2026-04-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
3–4
FC Bayern München
L
2026-04-19
Borussia Monchengladbach
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2026-04-12
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–1
SC Freiburg
L
2026-04-04
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
1. FC Union Berlin Form
2026-05-10
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–3
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2026-05-02
1. FC Union Berlin
2–2
1. FC Koln
D
2026-04-24
RB Leipzig
3–1
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2026-04-18
1. FC Union Berlin
1–2
VfL Wolfsburg
L
2026-04-11
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
3–1
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2026-04-05
1. FC Union Berlin
1–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Union Berlin 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FC Union Berlin win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
62%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
65%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Union Berlin
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
1 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | 1. FC Union Berlin covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 19% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

