CR Flamengo vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CR Flamengo vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Maracana.
- CR Flamengo 21 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Apr | EC Juventude | H | 6–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CR Flamengo | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #5 |
| 42 | Points | 33 |
| 21 | Played | 22 |
| 12 / 6 / 3 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 5 |
| 39 | Scored | 29 |
| 18 | Conceded | 25 |
| +21 | GD | +4 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 57% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season
CR Flamengo this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CR Flamengo are 2nd (42 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CR Flamengo
0-15
4/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/1
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CR Flamengo
| Pedro | 12 G | 5 A |
| Samuel Lino | 5 G | 7 A |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 3 G | 1 A |
| Lucas Paqueta | 3 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Maracana will turn into a battlefield for CR Flamengo and EC Bahia.
- 5' Brazil international Alex Sandro has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 8' GOAL! Giorgian De Arrascaeta scores on 8. Assisted by Michael
- 13' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Luiz Araujo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Allan on 15 minute.
- 20' Gabriel Xavier has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 25' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CR Flamengo and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 39' Evertton has so much to prove this time. He replaces Erick Pulgar on 39 minute.
- 44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
- 49' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 54' Luciano Rodriguez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 59' CR Flamengo looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Giorgian De Arrascaeta scoring 1 goals.
- 62' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Kayky is replaced by Cauly.
- 67' Guillermo Varela has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 105 appearances.
- 72' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 77' Marcos Felipe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 27 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 81' Willian Jose is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luciano Rodriguez at the 81 minute mark.
- 86' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CR Flamengo that had 385 games and scored 600 goals.
- 87' Gerson was booked on 87.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Santiago Ramos.
- Another three points for CR Flamengo.
Lineups
CR Flamengo Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Giorgian De Arrascaeta ↓ Pedro 81'
- 3
- 4
-
29
Allan ↓ Luiz Araujo 15'
- 26
-
5
Erick Pulgar ↓ Evertton 39'
- 8
- 2
-
27
Bruno Henrique ↓ Everton 81'
- 1
- 30
Bench
-
11
Everton ↑ 81'
- 6
-
9
Pedro ↑ 81'
- 13
-
7
Luiz Araujo ↑ 15'
- 23
- 25
- 20
- 43
-
52
Evertton ↑ 39'
-
64
Yan ↑ 81'
- 61
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Everton Ribeiro 62'
- 22
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Tiago 81'
- 21
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Erick 62'
- 26
- 37
- 5
- 3
- 9
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 62'
-
8
Cauly ↑ 62'
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 81'
- 1
- 33
- 15
-
77
Tiago ↑ 81'
-
16
Erick ↑ 62'
- 83
- 52
- 71
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Barbosa | 8 |
| Pedro | 5 |
| Gilberto | 5 |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 4 |
| David Luiz | 2 |
| Lucas Paqueta | 2 |
| Vitinho | 2 |
| Bruno Henrique | 2 |
Head to Head
CR Flamengo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2
CR Flamengo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.59
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
CR Flamengo to win 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CR Flamengo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
CR Flamengo or Draw
89%
Draw or EC Bahia
32%
CR Flamengo or EC Bahia
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: CR Flamengo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.6%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
9.5%
1 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
5.8%
4 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.6%
1 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — CR Flamengo
| Handicap | CR Flamengo covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 21% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
56%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

