CR Flamengo vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CR Flamengo vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Maracana.
- CR Flamengo 28 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Apr | EC Juventude | H | 6–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CR Flamengo | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #5 |
| 60 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 18 / 6 / 4 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 55 | Scored | 43 |
| 23 | Conceded | 35 |
| +32 | GD | +8 |
| 2.14 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 64% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season
CR Flamengo this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CR Flamengo are 1st (60 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CR Flamengo
0-15
7/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CR Flamengo
| Pedro | 16 G | 6 A |
| Samuel Lino | 9 G | 7 A |
| Jorge Carrascal | 5 G | 7 A |
| Lucas Paqueta | 5 G | |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' CR Flamengo have kicked off against EC Bahia. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 8' A goal from the Uruguay international Giorgian De Arrascaeta! He fires home on 8 to make it 1-0!
- 13' With 2 assists to his name this season, Erick is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 15' Luiz Araujo gets the nod from CR Flamengo. He replaces Allan and will look to change the dynamic.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with CR Flamengo winning 100% of all matches.
- 25' CR Flamengo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' CR Flamengo currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 39' It is a substitution in CR Flamengo team. Erick Pulgar is replaced by Evertton on 39 minute.
- 44' It looks like no one’s ball. CR Flamengo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 49' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 333 games and scored 359 goals.
- 54' It looks surprising CR Flamengo does not make any changes. Everton Ribeiro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 59' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CR Flamengo and EC Bahia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 62' The crowd applauds Kayky as he leaves the pitch. Cauly steps in for EC Bahia.
- 67' Uruguay international Luciano Rodriguez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 72' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 77' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 81' Willian Jose is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luciano Rodriguez at the 81 minute mark.
- 86' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gerson on 87.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Santiago Ramos.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for CR Flamengo and EC Bahia (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
CR Flamengo Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Giorgian De Arrascaeta ↓ Pedro 81'
- 3
- 4
-
29
Allan ↓ Luiz Araujo 15'
- 26
-
5
Erick Pulgar ↓ Evertton 39'
- 8
- 2
-
27
Bruno Henrique ↓ Everton 81'
- 1
- 30
Bench
-
11
Everton ↑ 81'
- 6
-
9
Pedro ↑ 81'
- 13
-
7
Luiz Araujo ↑ 15'
- 23
- 25
- 20
- 43
-
52
Evertton ↑ 39'
-
64
Yan ↑ 81'
- 61
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Everton Ribeiro 62'
- 22
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Tiago 81'
- 21
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Erick 62'
- 26
- 37
- 5
- 3
- 9
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 62'
-
8
Cauly ↑ 62'
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 81'
- 1
- 33
- 15
-
77
Tiago ↑ 81'
-
16
Erick ↑ 62'
- 83
- 52
- 71
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Barbosa | 8 |
| Pedro | 5 |
| Gilberto | 5 |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 4 |
| David Luiz | 2 |
| Lucas Paqueta | 2 |
| Vitinho | 2 |
| Bruno Henrique | 2 |
Head to Head
CR Flamengo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.11
CR Flamengo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
CR Flamengo to win 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CR Flamengo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
CR Flamengo or Draw
89%
Draw or EC Bahia
31%
CR Flamengo or EC Bahia
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: CR Flamengo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
6.2%
4 – 0
5.1%
4 – 1
3.4%
0 – 1
3.3%
2 – 2
2.7%
1 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — CR Flamengo
| Handicap | CR Flamengo covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 22% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 24% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.