CR Flamengo vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CR Flamengo vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Maracana.
- CR Flamengo 34 games · 76 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Apr | EC Juventude | H | 6–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CR Flamengo | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #6 |
| 76 | Points | 53 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 23 / 7 / 4 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 9 |
| 71 | Scored | 50 |
| 29 | Conceded | 45 |
| +42 | GD | +5 |
| 2.24 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 68% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
32%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season
CR Flamengo this season
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CR Flamengo are 1st (76 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CR Flamengo
0-15
8/3
16-30
6/2
31-45
9/2
46-60
8/5
61-75
9/2
76+
12/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CR Flamengo
| Pedro | 20 G | 7 A |
| Samuel Lino | 12 G | 9 A |
| Jorge Carrascal | 7 G | 9 A |
| Lucas Paqueta | 7 G | 1 A |
| Gonzalo Plata | 4 G | 3 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Maracana!
- 5' CR Flamengo has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 8' What a moment for Giorgian De Arrascaeta! That strike on 8 puts his side firmly in control.
- 13' Cauly needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' The whistle greets Allan as he departs to be replaced by Luiz Araujo.
- 20' Santiago Ramos has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' Rodrigo Nestor is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CR Flamengo so far.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 39' Another change for CR Flamengo made on 39 minute. Erick Pulgar leaves to be changed by Evertton.
- 44' CR Flamengo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 49' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 54' The home supporters are growing impatient. CR Flamengo must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 59' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 62' EC Bahia ring the changes. Kayky has done his job and it is now time for Cauly to step up.
- 67' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 72' CR Flamengo is showing some good football. However, CR Flamengo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 77' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CR Flamengo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 81' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Willian Jose comes on to replace Luciano Rodriguez.
- 86' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 87' Gerson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
- 90' Santiago Ramos catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- Another three points for CR Flamengo.
Lineups
CR Flamengo Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Giorgian De Arrascaeta ↓ Pedro 81'
- 3
- 4
-
29
Allan ↓ Luiz Araujo 15'
- 26
-
5
Erick Pulgar ↓ Evertton 39'
- 8
- 2
-
27
Bruno Henrique ↓ Everton 81'
- 1
- 30
Bench
-
11
Everton ↑ 81'
- 6
-
9
Pedro ↑ 81'
- 13
-
7
Luiz Araujo ↑ 15'
- 23
- 25
- 20
- 43
-
52
Evertton ↑ 39'
-
64
Yan ↑ 81'
- 61
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Everton Ribeiro 62'
- 22
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Tiago 81'
- 21
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Erick 62'
- 26
- 37
- 5
- 3
- 9
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 62'
-
8
Cauly ↑ 62'
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 81'
- 1
- 33
- 15
-
77
Tiago ↑ 81'
-
16
Erick ↑ 62'
- 83
- 52
- 71
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Barbosa | 8 |
| Pedro | 5 |
| Gilberto | 5 |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 4 |
| Lucas Paqueta | 3 |
| Vitinho | 2 |
| Bruno Henrique | 2 |
| David Luiz | 2 |
Head to Head
CR Flamengo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.24
CR Flamengo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
CR Flamengo to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CR Flamengo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
CR Flamengo or Draw
90%
Draw or EC Bahia
30%
CR Flamengo or EC Bahia
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: CR Flamengo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.1%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.5%
4 – 0
5.8%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.7%
5 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — CR Flamengo
| Handicap | CR Flamengo covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -2 | 28% | 22% | 50% |
| -1.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| -1 | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| -0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +0.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.