Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Sao Paulo FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Sun 18 May 2025 · 00:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 4' Mathias Villasanti
Pablo Maia 30' Y
Luciano 45' Y
Y 64' Jemerson
Y 65' Dodi
Y 79' Tiago Volpi
Oscar 86' Y
Rafael Monteiro 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 25 52
2 CR Flamengo 24 48
3 CA Paranaense 25 45
4 Fluminense FC 25 42
5 EC Bahia 25 40
6 Cruzeiro EC 25 39
7 Coritiba FBC 25 37
8 CA Mineiro 24 36
9 RB Bragantino 24 35
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 25 32
11 Sao Paulo FC 24 30
12 Botafogo FR 24 30
13 Santos FC 24 29
14 EC Vitoria 25 29
15 Gremio FBPA 24 28
16 SC Internacional 25 25
17 Mirassol FC 24 25
18 CR Vasco da Gama 24 25
19 Clube do Remo 25 23
20 Chapecoense AF 24 14

Head-to-Head

6
4
8
Sao Paulo FC 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
11 May SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
03 May Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Ceará SC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Santos FC H 2–1 W
16 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
10 May RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
04 May Santos FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
20 Apr SC Internacional H 1–1 D
16 Apr Mirassol FC A 1–4 L

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC Gremio FBPA
#11 Position #15
30 Points 28
24 Played 24
8 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 7 / 10
29 Scored 27
28 Conceded 32
+1 GD -5
1.25 PPG 1.17
33% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Sao Paulo FC are 11th (30 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 7 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Morumbi. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 4' The referee calls foul for Mathias Villasanti. He receives a card.
  • 9' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 9 minute. Marcos Antonio leaves to be changed by Pablo Maia.
  • 14' It is a cagey affair so far. Sao Paulo FC in their trying to find a way past Gremio FBPA's compact .
  • 19' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 24' Andre Silva needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 23 Yellow cards this season.
  • 29' Brazil international Ronald has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' Controversy at the stadium! Pablo Maia argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 35' Robert Arboleda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gremio FBPA tonight.
  • 37' What a moment for Alexander Aravena! That strike on 37 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Zubeldía will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Luciano has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Pablo Maia is replaced by Lucca Marques on 46 minute.
  • 49' Robert Arboleda has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
  • 54' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 59' Sao Paulo FC have won 407 goals from 373 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 62' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Joao Pedro exits the field as Ronald enters on 62.
  • 64' The referee has no hesitation. Jemerson is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 64.
  • 65' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Dodi gets a card.
  • 70' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mano Menezes might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Alexander Aravena is replaced by Francis Amuzu on 73 minute.
  • 78' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 79' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Tiago Volpi gets a card.
  • 84' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sao Paulo FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 85' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Andre Silva makes it 2-1.
  • 86' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Oscar will be fuming at that decision.
  • 86' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matias Arezo is hanging Miguel Monsalve on the field on 86 minute.
  • 88' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Lucas Ferreira by Cedric on 88 minute.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Rafael Monteiro.
  • 90' Damian Bobadilla has so much to prove this time. He replaces Oscar on 90 minute.
  • With this win, Sao Paulo FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Everton 2
Luciano 2
Franco Cristaldo 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Luciano 2
Lucas Moura 1
Igor Gomes 1

Head to Head

2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC D 2025-04-26 Ceará SC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D 2025-04-20 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Santos FC W 2025-04-16 Botafogo FR 2–2 Sao Paulo FC D

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-05-10 Gremio FBPA 1–1 RB Bragantino D 2025-05-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC W 2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-04-20 Gremio FBPA 1–1 SC Internacional D 2025-04-16 Mirassol FC 4–1 Gremio FBPA L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.58 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC52% Draw26% Gremio FBPA22%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
48%
Sao Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC35% Draw48% Gremio FBPA17%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.