Friday , 16 October 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Sao Paulo FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Sun 18 May 2025 · 00:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 4' Mathias Villasanti
Pablo Maia 30' Y
Luciano 45' Y
Y 64' Jemerson
Y 65' Dodi
Y 79' Tiago Volpi
Oscar 86' Y
Rafael Monteiro 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

6
4
8
Sao Paulo FC 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
11 May SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
03 May Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Ceará SC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Santos FC H 2–1 W
16 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
10 May RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
04 May Santos FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
20 Apr SC Internacional H 1–1 D
16 Apr Mirassol FC A 1–4 L

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC Gremio FBPA
#10 Position #18
39 Points 31
30 Played 30
11 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
35 Scored 32
35 Conceded 40
+0 GD -8
1.30 PPG 1.03
37% Win % 23%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Sao Paulo FC are 10th (39 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
6/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 1 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sao Paulo FC is hosting Gremio FBPA for another epic battle.
  • 4' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Mathias Villasanti will be fuming at that decision.
  • 9' Pablo Maia gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Marcos Antonio and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 14' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 19' Enzo Diaz needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 24' Gremio FBPA are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marlon made 398 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' That looks like a foul for a card for Pablo Maia.
  • 35' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 37' Alexander Aravena is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the forward.
  • 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gremio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Luciano.
  • 46' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Pablo Maia trudges off to be replaced by Lucca Marques on 46 minutes.
  • 49' A goal from the Ecuador international Robert Arboleda! He fires home on 49 to make it 1-1!
  • 54' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 59' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Oscar suffering a number of foals already.
  • 62' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Ronald comes on to replace Joao Pedro.
  • 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jemerson.
  • 65' The referee has no hesitation. Dodi is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 65.
  • 70' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. Gremio FBPA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 73' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Francis Amuzu is hanging Alexander Aravena on the field on 73 minute.
  • 78' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Zubeldía will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tiago Volpi on 79.
  • 84' It looks like no one’s ball. Gremio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 85' Brilliant from the ! Andre Silva makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 85.
  • 86' A moment of madness from Oscar on 86 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Matias Arezo comes on to replace Miguel Monsalve.
  • 88' Cedric gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Lucas Ferreira and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Rafael Monteiro catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' Damian Bobadilla has so much to prove this time. He replaces Oscar on 90 minute.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Everton 2
Luciano 2
Franco Cristaldo 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Luciano 2
Lucas Moura 1
Igor Gomes 1

Head to Head

2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC D 2025-04-26 Ceará SC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D 2025-04-20 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Santos FC W 2025-04-16 Botafogo FR 2–2 Sao Paulo FC D

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-05-10 Gremio FBPA 1–1 RB Bragantino D 2025-05-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC W 2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-04-20 Gremio FBPA 1–1 SC Internacional D 2025-04-16 Mirassol FC 4–1 Gremio FBPA L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.55 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC52% Draw27% Gremio FBPA21%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
48%
Sao Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC35% Draw48% Gremio FBPA17%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.