EC Bahia vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Grêmio FBPA | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 0–4 | L |
| 16 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Oct | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | EC Vitoria | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | Botafogo FR | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Grêmio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #16 |
| 26 | Points | 21 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 6 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 20 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| +2 | GD | -3 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 41% | Win % | 28% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! EC Bahia vs Grêmio FBPA — let the football do the talking.
- 4' Goal! Iago Borduchi scores his 8 goal in 330 matches.
- 9' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Grêmio FBPA winning 0% of all matches.
- 10' Willian Jose is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 15' Cristian Pavon, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 18' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Marcos Rocha has done his job and it is now time for Camilo to step up.
- 23' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 23 minutes.
- 28' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 33' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 43' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Alexander Aravena is replaced by Francis Amuzu on 46 minute.
- 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 56' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past Grêmio FBPA's compact .
- 57' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. David Duarte makes it 3-0.
- 62' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and Grêmio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 63' Cristian Pavon makes way for Cristian Olivera at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- 64' Poor challenge from Camilo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 68' The whistle greets Ademir Santos as he departs to be replaced by Mateo Sanabria.
- 73' Grêmio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Grêmio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 74' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Michel Araujo exits the field as Cauly enters on 74.
- 79' Joao Lucas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Erick Noriega on 79 minute.
- 80' Iago Borduchi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 80.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Ruan Pablo. He replaces Willian Jose on 82 minute.
- 85' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for EC Bahia and Grêmio FBPA (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 68'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Mateo Sanabria 68'
- 2
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Ruan Pablo 82'
- 25
- 33
- 21
-
15
Michel Araujo ↓ Cauly 74'
- 26
- 77
Bench
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↑ 74'
- 13
- 1
- 14
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 68'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 68'
- 5
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↑ 68'
- 3
- 66
-
52
Ruan Pablo ↑ 82'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 6
- 23
-
14
Marcos Rocha ↓ Camilo 18'
- 95
- 7
- 8
-
19
Erick Noriega ↓ Joao Lucas 79'
- 12
- 53
- 16
Bench
- 21
-
10
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 63'
-
9
Francis Amuzu ↑ 46'
- 25
-
2
Joao Lucas ↑ 79'
-
15
Camilo ↑ 18'
- 3
-
99
Cristian Olivera ↑ 63'
- 65
- 31
- 40
- 30
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Juninho Capixaba | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Luis Suarez | 1 |
| Anderson Martins | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
85%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
39%
EC Bahia or Grêmio FBPA
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.4%
2 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
10.8%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
8%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
3%
4 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 25% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.