Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | Fluminense FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Mirassol FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 Sep | São Paulo FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #6 |
| 42 | Points | 53 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 11 / 9 / 14 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 9 |
| 46 | Scored | 50 |
| 53 | Conceded | 45 |
| -7 | GD | +5 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 32% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Botafogo FR are 11th (42 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
6/6
16-30
3/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/4
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 10 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 6 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Botafogo FR and EC Bahia has kicked off!
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Botafogo FR is showing some good football. However, Botafogo FR are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Botafogo FR seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 19' Another change for EC Bahia made on 19 minute. Luciano Juba leaves to be changed by Jose Guilherme.
- 24' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Botafogo FR side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 27' GOAL! Santiago Rodriguez fires home to make it 1-0!
- 32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 40' Santiago Arias has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Cuiabano on 45.
- 46' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jeffinho makes it 2-0.
- 46' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Everton Ribeiro is replaced by Rodrigo Nestor on 46 minute.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 54' Another change for EC Bahia made on 54 minute. Santiago Ramos leaves to be changed by Michel Araujo.
- 55' A goal from the Brazil international Rodrigo Nestor! He fires home on 55 to make it 2-1!
- 59' A moment of madness from Mateo Sanabria on 59 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 64' Botafogo FR ring the changes. Cuiabano has done his job and it is now time for David Loiola to step up.
- 65' EC Bahia make a change. Willian Jose trudges off to be replaced by Ademir Santos on 65 minutes.
- 70' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 70.
- 72' Alexander Barboza is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
- 74' Botafogo FR ring the changes. Vitinho has done his job and it is now time for Mateo Ponte to step up.
- 75' Botafogo FR ring the changes. Jeffinho has done his job and it is now time for Artur Guimaraes to step up.
- 76' Poor challenge from Luciano Juba. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 80' Another substitution for Botafogo FR to replace Kaio Pantaleao by Gabriel Henrique on 80 minute.
- 81' A change in the Botafogo FR ranks — Newton exits the field as Allan enters on 81.
- 86' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 87' Allan was booked on 87.
- 89' The referee calls foul for David Loiola. He receives a card.
- 90' Gabriel Xavier has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Botafogo FR players.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 98
- 10
- 31
-
2
Vitinho ↓ Mateo Ponte 74'
- 20
- 17
- 23
- 24
-
47
Jeffinho ↓ Artur Guimaraes 75'
-
6
Cuiabano ↓ David Loiola 64'
- 28
Bench
-
7
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 75'
-
25
Allan ↑ 81'
- 39
- 1
-
57
David Loiola ↑ 64'
- 9
-
4
Mateo Ponte ↑ 74'
- 32
- 58
- 37
-
26
Gabriel Henrique ↑ 80'
Coach
Davide Ancelotti
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 10
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Ademir Santos 65'
- 13
-
21
Santiago Ramos ↓ Michel Araujo 54'
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Jose Guilherme 19'
- 37
- 5
- 23
- 3
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 65'
- 2
- 8
- 1
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 46'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 54'
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↑ 19'
-
77
Tiago ↑ 46'
- 55
- 44
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jeffinho | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Vitor Jacare | 2 |
| Diego Costa | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Rafael Ratao | 1 |
| Vinicius | 1 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.73
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Botafogo FR win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
73%
Draw or EC Bahia
52%
Botafogo FR or EC Bahia
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Botafogo FR win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 21% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

