Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 1
Full Time
Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Estadio Nilton Santos HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct EC Bahia H 2–1 W
28 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–2 L
24 Sep Gremio FBPA A 1–1 D
20 Sep CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
17 Sep Mirassol FC H 3–3 D
14 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Botafogo FR A 1–2 L
28 Sep SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
24 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 1–3 L
20 Sep Ceará SC A 1–1 D
15 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 1–2 L
31 Aug Mirassol FC A 1–5 L

Season Stats

Botafogo FR EC Bahia
#12 Position #5
35 Points 46
28 Played 28
9 / 8 / 11 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 6
41 Scored 43
45 Conceded 35
-4 GD +8
1.25 PPG 1.64
32% Win % 43%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Botafogo FR are 12th (35 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
2/4
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
4/3
76+
8/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 9 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Botafogo FR to score. At the same time, EC Bahia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Jeffinho is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
  • 10' Botafogo FR are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' Mateo Sanabria is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Botafogo FR tonight.
  • 19' Jose Guilherme is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luciano Juba at the 19 minute mark.
  • 24' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 27' Magnificent from Santiago Rodriguez! That is 29 goals in 293 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 32' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Santiago Arias gets a card.
  • 45' That is a card for Botafogo FR. Cuiabano will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' The Brazil Jeffinho breaks the deadlock on 46 minutes. 2-0!
  • 46' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Everton Ribeiro is replaced by Rodrigo Nestor.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Botafogo FR and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 54' The supporters are chanting for Michel Araujo. He replaces Santiago Ramos on 54 minute.
  • 55' Magnificent from Rodrigo Nestor! That is 10 goals in 377 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 59' That looks like a foul for a card for Mateo Sanabria.
  • 64' Fresh legs for Botafogo FR! David Loiola comes on to replace Cuiabano.
  • 65' EC Bahia ring the changes. Willian Jose has done his job and it is now time for Ademir Santos to step up.
  • 70' Rodrigo Nestor has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 70.
  • 72' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alexander Barboza on 72 minutes.
  • 74' Time for substitution for Botafogo FR. Vitinho is replaced by Mateo Ponte.
  • 75' Botafogo FR ring the changes. Jeffinho has done his job and it is now time for Artur Guimaraes to step up.
  • 76' That is a card for EC Bahia. Luciano Juba will be fuming at that decision.
  • 80' Another substitution for Botafogo FR to replace Kaio Pantaleao by Gabriel Henrique on 80 minute.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Newton is replaced by Allan on 81 minute.
  • 86' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 87' The referee calls foul for Allan. He receives a card.
  • 89' The referee shows Botafogo FR player a card on 89.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Gabriel Xavier argues furiously but the card stands.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR48% Draw25% EC Bahia27%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
72%
Draw or EC Bahia
52%
Botafogo FR or EC Bahia
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR33% Draw43% EC Bahia24%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.