Saturday , 14 November 2026

Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 1
Full Time
Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Estadio Nilton Santos HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct EC Bahia H 2–1 W
28 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–2 L
24 Sep Gremio FBPA A 1–1 D
20 Sep CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
17 Sep Mirassol FC H 3–3 D
14 Sep São Paulo FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Botafogo FR A 1–2 L
28 Sep SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
24 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 1–3 L
20 Sep Ceará SC A 1–1 D
15 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 1–2 L
31 Aug Mirassol FC A 1–5 L

Season Stats

Botafogo FR EC Bahia
#11 Position #6
42 Points 53
34 Played 34
11 / 9 / 14 W / D / L 14 / 11 / 9
46 Scored 50
53 Conceded 45
-7 GD +5
1.24 PPG 1.56
32% Win % 41%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
32% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Botafogo FR are 11th (42 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
6/6
16-30
3/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/4
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 10 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 6 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G 1 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 11 G 2 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 4 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Botafogo FR and EC Bahia has kicked off!
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Botafogo FR is showing some good football. However, Botafogo FR are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Botafogo FR seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 19' Another change for EC Bahia made on 19 minute. Luciano Juba leaves to be changed by Jose Guilherme.
  • 24' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Botafogo FR side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 27' GOAL! Santiago Rodriguez fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' Santiago Arias has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Cuiabano on 45.
  • 46' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jeffinho makes it 2-0.
  • 46' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Everton Ribeiro is replaced by Rodrigo Nestor on 46 minute.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 54' Another change for EC Bahia made on 54 minute. Santiago Ramos leaves to be changed by Michel Araujo.
  • 55' A goal from the Brazil international Rodrigo Nestor! He fires home on 55 to make it 2-1!
  • 59' A moment of madness from Mateo Sanabria on 59 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
  • 64' Botafogo FR ring the changes. Cuiabano has done his job and it is now time for David Loiola to step up.
  • 65' EC Bahia make a change. Willian Jose trudges off to be replaced by Ademir Santos on 65 minutes.
  • 70' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 70.
  • 72' Alexander Barboza is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
  • 74' Botafogo FR ring the changes. Vitinho has done his job and it is now time for Mateo Ponte to step up.
  • 75' Botafogo FR ring the changes. Jeffinho has done his job and it is now time for Artur Guimaraes to step up.
  • 76' Poor challenge from Luciano Juba. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 80' Another substitution for Botafogo FR to replace Kaio Pantaleao by Gabriel Henrique on 80 minute.
  • 81' A change in the Botafogo FR ranks — Newton exits the field as Allan enters on 81.
  • 86' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 87' Allan was booked on 87.
  • 89' The referee calls foul for David Loiola. He receives a card.
  • 90' Gabriel Xavier has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Botafogo FR players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.73 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR48% Draw25% EC Bahia27%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
73%
Draw or EC Bahia
52%
Botafogo FR or EC Bahia
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR34% Draw44% EC Bahia22%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.