Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 28 games · 35 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | Fluminense FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Mirassol FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #5 |
| 35 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 9 / 8 / 11 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 41 | Scored | 43 |
| 45 | Conceded | 35 |
| -4 | GD | +8 |
| 1.25 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 32% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Botafogo FR are 12th (35 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
2/4
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
4/3
76+
8/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 9 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Botafogo FR to score. At the same time, EC Bahia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Jeffinho is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
- 10' Botafogo FR are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' Mateo Sanabria is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Botafogo FR tonight.
- 19' Jose Guilherme is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luciano Juba at the 19 minute mark.
- 24' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 27' Magnificent from Santiago Rodriguez! That is 29 goals in 293 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 32' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 40' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Santiago Arias gets a card.
- 45' That is a card for Botafogo FR. Cuiabano will be fuming at that decision.
- 46' The Brazil Jeffinho breaks the deadlock on 46 minutes. 2-0!
- 46' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Everton Ribeiro is replaced by Rodrigo Nestor.
- 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Botafogo FR and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 54' The supporters are chanting for Michel Araujo. He replaces Santiago Ramos on 54 minute.
- 55' Magnificent from Rodrigo Nestor! That is 10 goals in 377 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 59' That looks like a foul for a card for Mateo Sanabria.
- 64' Fresh legs for Botafogo FR! David Loiola comes on to replace Cuiabano.
- 65' EC Bahia ring the changes. Willian Jose has done his job and it is now time for Ademir Santos to step up.
- 70' Rodrigo Nestor has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 70.
- 72' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alexander Barboza on 72 minutes.
- 74' Time for substitution for Botafogo FR. Vitinho is replaced by Mateo Ponte.
- 75' Botafogo FR ring the changes. Jeffinho has done his job and it is now time for Artur Guimaraes to step up.
- 76' That is a card for EC Bahia. Luciano Juba will be fuming at that decision.
- 80' Another substitution for Botafogo FR to replace Kaio Pantaleao by Gabriel Henrique on 80 minute.
- 81' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Newton is replaced by Allan on 81 minute.
- 86' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 87' The referee calls foul for Allan. He receives a card.
- 89' The referee shows Botafogo FR player a card on 89.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Gabriel Xavier argues furiously but the card stands.
- The final score is 2-1.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 98
- 10
- 31
-
2
Vitinho ↓ Mateo Ponte 74'
- 20
- 17
- 23
- 24
-
47
Jeffinho ↓ Artur Guimaraes 75'
-
6
Cuiabano ↓ David Loiola 64'
- 28
Bench
-
7
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 75'
-
25
Allan ↑ 81'
- 39
- 1
-
57
David Loiola ↑ 64'
- 9
-
4
Mateo Ponte ↑ 74'
- 32
- 58
- 37
-
26
Gabriel Henrique ↑ 80'
Coach
Davide Ancelotti
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 10
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Ademir Santos 65'
- 13
-
21
Santiago Ramos ↓ Michel Araujo 54'
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Jose Guilherme 19'
- 37
- 5
- 23
- 3
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 65'
- 2
- 8
- 1
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 46'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 54'
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↑ 19'
-
77
Tiago ↑ 46'
- 55
- 44
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vitor Jacare | 2 |
| Diego Costa | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Jeffinho | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 1 |
| Edigar Junio | 1 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Botafogo FR win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
72%
Draw or EC Bahia
52%
Botafogo FR or EC Bahia
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Botafogo FR win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

