Sunday , 16 August 2026

Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 1
Full Time
Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Estadio Nilton Santos HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs EC BahiaSerie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct EC Bahia H 2–1 W
28 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–2 L
24 Sep Gremio FBPA A 1–1 D
20 Sep CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
17 Sep Mirassol FC H 3–3 D
14 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Botafogo FR A 1–2 L
28 Sep SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
24 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 1–3 L
20 Sep Ceará SC A 1–1 D
15 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 1–2 L
31 Aug Mirassol FC A 1–5 L

Season Stats

Botafogo FR EC Bahia
#10 Position #5
30 Points 33
21 Played 22
8 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 5
35 Scored 29
33 Conceded 25
+2 GD +4
1.43 PPG 1.50
38% Win % 36%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Botafogo FR are 10th (30 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 7 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio Nilton Santos!
  • 5' Botafogo FR have won 353 goals from 344 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Kaio Pantaleao has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 312 appearances.
  • 19' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Luciano Juba is replaced by Jose Guilherme.
  • 24' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 27' Botafogo FR is taking the lead after the goal scored by Santiago Rodriguez on 27.
  • 32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 37' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' That is a card for EC Bahia. Santiago Arias will be fuming at that decision.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Cuiabano.
  • 46' Magnificent from Jeffinho! That is 5 goals in 424 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 46' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Everton Ribeiro is replaced by Rodrigo Nestor.
  • 51' Jean Lucas is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Botafogo FR tonight.
  • 54' The whistle greets Santiago Ramos as he departs to be replaced by Michel Araujo.
  • 55' A stunning finish from Rodrigo Nestor — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 59' Poor challenge from Mateo Sanabria. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 64' David Loiola has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cuiabano on 64 minute.
  • 65' Ademir Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Willian Jose on 65 minute.
  • 70' Controversy at the stadium! Rodrigo Nestor argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 72' Alexander Barboza has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 72.
  • 74' Mateo Ponte has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vitinho on 74 minute.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Botafogo FR! Artur Guimaraes comes on to replace Jeffinho.
  • 76' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Luciano Juba gets a card.
  • 80' A change in the Botafogo FR ranks — Kaio Pantaleao exits the field as Gabriel Henrique enters on 80.
  • 81' Fresh legs for Botafogo FR! Allan comes on to replace Newton.
  • 86' Vitinho has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 87' Controversy at the stadium! Allan argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 89' Poor challenge from David Loiola. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gabriel Xavier on 90 minutes.
  • The points are shared — Botafogo FR 2-1 EC Bahia. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR50% Draw25% EC Bahia25%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
75%
Draw or EC Bahia
50%
Botafogo FR or EC Bahia
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR35% Draw43% EC Bahia22%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
28%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.