Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 21 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | Fluminense FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Mirassol FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #5 |
| 30 | Points | 33 |
| 21 | Played | 22 |
| 8 / 6 / 7 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 5 |
| 35 | Scored | 29 |
| 33 | Conceded | 25 |
| +2 | GD | +4 |
| 1.43 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 38% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Botafogo FR are 10th (30 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 7 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio Nilton Santos!
- 5' Botafogo FR have won 353 goals from 344 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Kaio Pantaleao has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 312 appearances.
- 19' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Luciano Juba is replaced by Jose Guilherme.
- 24' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 27' Botafogo FR is taking the lead after the goal scored by Santiago Rodriguez on 27.
- 32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 37' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' That is a card for EC Bahia. Santiago Arias will be fuming at that decision.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Cuiabano.
- 46' Magnificent from Jeffinho! That is 5 goals in 424 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Everton Ribeiro is replaced by Rodrigo Nestor.
- 51' Jean Lucas is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Botafogo FR tonight.
- 54' The whistle greets Santiago Ramos as he departs to be replaced by Michel Araujo.
- 55' A stunning finish from Rodrigo Nestor — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 59' Poor challenge from Mateo Sanabria. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 64' David Loiola has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cuiabano on 64 minute.
- 65' Ademir Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Willian Jose on 65 minute.
- 70' Controversy at the stadium! Rodrigo Nestor argues furiously but the card stands.
- 72' Alexander Barboza has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 72.
- 74' Mateo Ponte has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vitinho on 74 minute.
- 75' Fresh legs for Botafogo FR! Artur Guimaraes comes on to replace Jeffinho.
- 76' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Luciano Juba gets a card.
- 80' A change in the Botafogo FR ranks — Kaio Pantaleao exits the field as Gabriel Henrique enters on 80.
- 81' Fresh legs for Botafogo FR! Allan comes on to replace Newton.
- 86' Vitinho has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 87' Controversy at the stadium! Allan argues furiously but the card stands.
- 89' Poor challenge from David Loiola. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gabriel Xavier on 90 minutes.
- The points are shared — Botafogo FR 2-1 EC Bahia. Honours even.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 98
- 10
- 31
-
2
Vitinho ↓ Mateo Ponte 74'
- 20
- 17
- 23
- 24
-
47
Jeffinho ↓ Artur Guimaraes 75'
-
6
Cuiabano ↓ David Loiola 64'
- 28
Bench
-
7
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 75'
-
25
Allan ↑ 81'
- 39
- 1
-
57
David Loiola ↑ 64'
- 9
-
4
Mateo Ponte ↑ 74'
- 32
- 58
- 37
-
26
Gabriel Henrique ↑ 80'
Coach
Davide Ancelotti
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 10
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Ademir Santos 65'
- 13
-
21
Santiago Ramos ↓ Michel Araujo 54'
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Jose Guilherme 19'
- 37
- 5
- 23
- 3
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 65'
- 2
- 8
- 1
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 46'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 54'
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↑ 19'
-
77
Tiago ↑ 46'
- 55
- 44
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jeffinho | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Vitor Jacare | 2 |
| Diego Costa | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Regis | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Botafogo FR win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
75%
Draw or EC Bahia
50%
Botafogo FR or EC Bahia
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Botafogo FR win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

