Thursday , 2 July 2026

Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 1
Full Time
Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Estadio Nilton Santos HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs EC BahiaSerie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct EC Bahia H 2–1 W
28 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–2 L
24 Sep Grêmio FBPA A 1–1 D
20 Sep CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
17 Sep Mirassol FC H 3–3 D
14 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Botafogo FR A 1–2 L
28 Sep SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
24 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 1–3 L
20 Sep Ceará SC A 1–1 D
15 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 1–2 L
31 Aug Mirassol FC A 1–5 L

Season Stats

Botafogo FR EC Bahia
#12 Position #6
22 Points 26
17 Played 17
6 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 5
31 Scored 25
31 Conceded 23
+0 GD +2
1.29 PPG 1.53
35% Win % 41%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
35% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Botafogo FR are 12th (22 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 7 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Estadio Nilton Santos. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Botafogo FR and EC Bahia.
  • 5' Botafogo FR are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 19' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Luciano Juba is withdrawn and Jose Guilherme gets his opportunity.
  • 24' Botafogo FR seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 27' The deadlock is broken! Santiago Rodriguez gets on the scoresheet on 27 minutes.
  • 32' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 37' Botafogo FR are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's shape.
  • 40' Santiago Arias has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Cuiabano.
  • 46' Jeffinho does the damage! The net is bulging and Botafogo FR surge ahead!
  • 46' EC Bahia make a change. Everton Ribeiro trudges off to be replaced by Rodrigo Nestor on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 54' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Santiago Ramos is withdrawn and Michel Araujo gets his opportunity.
  • 55' Rodrigo Nestor adds to his 0 season tally! EC Bahia lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 59' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Mateo Sanabria gets a card.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Cuiabano is replaced by David Loiola on 64 minute.
  • 65' Ademir Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Willian Jose on 65 minute.
  • 70' Rodrigo Nestor has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 70.
  • 72' Alexander Barboza catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 72.
  • 74' The whistle greets Vitinho as he departs to be replaced by Mateo Ponte.
  • 75' Botafogo FR make a change. Jeffinho trudges off to be replaced by Artur Guimaraes on 75 minutes.
  • 76' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Luciano Juba gets a card.
  • 80' Gabriel Henrique gets the nod from Botafogo FR. He replaces Kaio Pantaleao and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' Newton makes way for Allan at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Botafogo FR.
  • 86' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 87' Allan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
  • 89' The referee does not hesitate — a card for David Loiola on 89 minutes.
  • 90' Gabriel Xavier picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR51% Draw23% EC Bahia26%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
74%
Draw or EC Bahia
49%
Botafogo FR or EC Bahia
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR37% Draw40% EC Bahia23%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 20% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
24%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.