Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | Fluminense FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Sep | Grêmio FBPA | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Mirassol FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #6 |
| 22 | Points | 26 |
| 17 | Played | 17 |
| 6 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 5 |
| 31 | Scored | 25 |
| 31 | Conceded | 23 |
| +0 | GD | +2 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 35% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Botafogo FR are 12th (22 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 7 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Estadio Nilton Santos. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Botafogo FR and EC Bahia.
- 5' Botafogo FR are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 19' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Luciano Juba is withdrawn and Jose Guilherme gets his opportunity.
- 24' Botafogo FR seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 27' The deadlock is broken! Santiago Rodriguez gets on the scoresheet on 27 minutes.
- 32' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 37' Botafogo FR are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's shape.
- 40' Santiago Arias has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Cuiabano.
- 46' Jeffinho does the damage! The net is bulging and Botafogo FR surge ahead!
- 46' EC Bahia make a change. Everton Ribeiro trudges off to be replaced by Rodrigo Nestor on 46 minutes.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 54' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Santiago Ramos is withdrawn and Michel Araujo gets his opportunity.
- 55' Rodrigo Nestor adds to his 0 season tally! EC Bahia lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 59' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Mateo Sanabria gets a card.
- 64' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Cuiabano is replaced by David Loiola on 64 minute.
- 65' Ademir Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Willian Jose on 65 minute.
- 70' Rodrigo Nestor has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 70.
- 72' Alexander Barboza catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 72.
- 74' The whistle greets Vitinho as he departs to be replaced by Mateo Ponte.
- 75' Botafogo FR make a change. Jeffinho trudges off to be replaced by Artur Guimaraes on 75 minutes.
- 76' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Luciano Juba gets a card.
- 80' Gabriel Henrique gets the nod from Botafogo FR. He replaces Kaio Pantaleao and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' Newton makes way for Allan at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Botafogo FR.
- 86' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 87' Allan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
- 89' The referee does not hesitate — a card for David Loiola on 89 minutes.
- 90' Gabriel Xavier picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- The final score is 2-1.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 98
- 10
- 31
-
2
Vitinho ↓ Mateo Ponte 74'
- 20
- 17
- 23
- 24
-
47
Jeffinho ↓ Artur Guimaraes 75'
-
6
Cuiabano ↓ David Loiola 64'
- 28
Bench
-
7
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 75'
-
25
Allan ↑ 81'
- 39
- 1
-
57
David Loiola ↑ 64'
- 9
-
4
Mateo Ponte ↑ 74'
- 32
- 58
- 37
-
26
Gabriel Henrique ↑ 80'
Coach
Davide Ancelotti
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 10
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Ademir Santos 65'
- 13
-
21
Santiago Ramos ↓ Michel Araujo 54'
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Jose Guilherme 19'
- 37
- 5
- 23
- 3
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 65'
- 2
- 8
- 1
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 46'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 54'
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↑ 19'
-
77
Tiago ↑ 46'
- 55
- 44
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Elber | 2 |
| Jeffinho | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Vitor Jacare | 2 |
| Diego Costa | 2 |
| Kieza | 2 |
| Agustin Allione | 1 |
| Rafael Ratao | 1 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Botafogo FR win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.51
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
74%
Draw or EC Bahia
49%
Botafogo FR or EC Bahia
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Botafogo FR win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

