Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Santos FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 1
Full Time
Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Urbano Caldeira HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Santos FC vs Gremio FBPASerie A at Urbano Caldeira.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
28 Sep RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
21 Sep Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
14 Sep CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
31 Aug Fluminense FC H 0–0 D
24 Aug EC Bahia A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Santos FC A 1–1 D
28 Sep EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
24 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
21 Sep SC Internacional A 3–2 W
13 Sep Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Santos FC Gremio FBPA
#13 Position #15
29 Points 28
24 Played 24
7 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 7 / 7 / 10
34 Scored 27
36 Conceded 32
-2 GD -5
1.21 PPG 1.17
29% Win % 29%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Santos FC are 13th (29 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Santos FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
6/3
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/4
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 8 G 2 A
Neymar 6 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Santos FC welcome Grêmio FBPA for this crunch clash at Urbano Caldeira.
  • 5' Ze Rafael, a Brazil , has 4 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' Grêmio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Grêmio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 17' The referee shows Santos FC player a card on 17.
  • 22' Over 22 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 27' Francis Amuzu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 37' The referee calls foul for Arthur. He receives a card.
  • 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Grêmio FBPA that had 328 games and scored 385 goals.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Tiquinho Soares. He replaces Joao Schmidt on 46 minute.
  • 51' Alysson was booked on 51.
  • 56' Edenilson does the damage! The net is bulging and Gremio FBPA surge ahead!
  • 59' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Franco Cristaldo is hanging Edenilson on the field on 59 minute.
  • 64' Arthur makes way for Alex Santana at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 69' Santos FC make a change. Mayke trudges off to be replaced by Igor Vinicius on 69 minutes.
  • 72' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gonzalo Escobar on 72 minutes.
  • 77' Igor Vinicius catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 77.
  • 78' It is a substitution in Santos FC team. Benjamin Rollheiser is replaced by Robson Junior on 78 minute.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Alysson as he leaves the pitch. Alexander Aravena steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 82' Alex Santana has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
  • 87' The 27-year-old Wagner Leonardo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 89' Against the run of play, Lautaro Diaz has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' Santos FC make a change. Gonzalo Escobar trudges off to be replaced by Souza on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31 Santos FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Santos FC or Gremio FBPA 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Santos FC41% Draw29% Gremio FBPA30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Santos FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
59%
Santos FC or Gremio FBPA
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Santos FC28% Draw50% Gremio FBPA22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Santos FC

Handicap Santos FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Santos FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.