Friday , 16 October 2026

Santos FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 1
Full Time
Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Urbano Caldeira HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Santos FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Urbano Caldeira.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
28 Sep RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
21 Sep Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
14 Sep CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
31 Aug Fluminense FC H 0–0 D
24 Aug EC Bahia A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Santos FC A 1–1 D
28 Sep EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
24 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
21 Sep SC Internacional A 3–2 W
13 Sep Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Santos FC Gremio FBPA
#8 Position #18
42 Points 31
30 Played 30
11 / 9 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
46 Scored 32
45 Conceded 40
+1 GD -8
1.40 PPG 1.03
37% Win % 23%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Santos FC are 8th (42 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Santos FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/3
31-45
8/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
3/4
76+
10/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 14 G 3 A
Neymar 8 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Urbano Caldeira. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Santos FC and Grêmio FBPA.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Grêmio FBPA winning 100% of all matches.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 17' It’s a booking for Santos FC player. Joao Schmidt gets a card.
  • 22' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Erick Noriega made 374 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 27' Grêmio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Grêmio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 32' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Grêmio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 37' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Arthur.
  • 42' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' Tiquinho Soares has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joao Schmidt on 46 minute.
  • 51' Alysson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 51.
  • 56' Magnificent from Edenilson! That is 44 goals in 340 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 59' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Edenilson is replaced by Franco Cristaldo.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Arthur is replaced by Alex Santana on 64 minute.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Mayke as he leaves the pitch. Igor Vinicius steps in for Santos FC.
  • 72' Gonzalo Escobar is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
  • 77' The referee has no hesitation. Igor Vinicius is booked for Santos FC — card on 77.
  • 78' The whistle greets Benjamin Rollheiser as he departs to be replaced by Robson Junior.
  • 79' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 79 minute. Alysson leaves to be changed by Alexander Aravena.
  • 82' That looks like a foul for a card for Alex Santana.
  • 87' Santos FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Grêmio FBPA's shape.
  • 89' What a moment for Lautaro Diaz! That strike on 89 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 90' Santos FC make a change. Gonzalo Escobar trudges off to be replaced by Souza on 90 minutes.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37 Santos FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Santos FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Santos FC43% Draw29% Gremio FBPA28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Santos FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
57%
Santos FC or Gremio FBPA
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Santos FC30% Draw49% Gremio FBPA21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Santos FC

Handicap Santos FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Santos FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.