Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Gremio FBPA
2 – 0
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Thu 16 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Gonzalo Tapia
Y 64' Mailton dos Santos
Y 75' Luciano
Dodi 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 25 52
2 CR Flamengo 24 48
3 CA Paranaense 25 45
4 Fluminense FC 25 42
5 EC Bahia 25 40
6 Cruzeiro EC 25 39
7 Coritiba FBC 25 37
8 CA Mineiro 24 36
9 RB Bragantino 24 35
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 25 32
11 Sao Paulo FC 24 30
12 Botafogo FR 24 30
13 Santos FC 24 29
14 EC Vitoria 25 29
15 Gremio FBPA 24 28
16 SC Internacional 25 25
17 Mirassol FC 24 25
18 CR Vasco da Gama 24 25
19 Clube do Remo 25 23
20 Chapecoense AF 24 14

Head-to-Head

8
4
6
Gremio FBPA 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W
04 Oct RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
02 Oct Santos FC A 1–1 D
28 Sep EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
24 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
21 Sep SC Internacional A 3–2 W
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Gremio FBPA A 0–2 L
05 Oct SE Palmeiras H 2–3 L
02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Sao Paulo FC
#15 Position #11
28 Points 30
24 Played 24
7 / 7 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 6 / 10
27 Scored 29
32 Conceded 28
-5 GD +1
1.17 PPG 1.25
29% Win % 33%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
21% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 11th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 7 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Gremio FBPA gets underway.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Gremio FBPA and Sao Paulo FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gremio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 13' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Patryck comes on to replace Wendell.
  • 18' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 21' Gonzalo Tapia is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
  • 26' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rodrigo Huendra suffering a number of foals already.
  • 29' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cristian Pavon is hanging Alysson on the field on 29 minute.
  • 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' Gremio FBPA is taking the lead after the goal scored by Carlos Vinicius on 39.
  • 44' Over 44 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Alan Franco has done his job and it is now time for Lucas Moura to step up.
  • 51' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' Brilliant from the ! Carlos Vinicius makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 56.
  • 61' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 64' Poor challenge from Mailton dos Santos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 66' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Rodrigo Huendra is replaced by Ferreira on 66 minute.
  • 67' Cristian Olivera has so much to prove this time. He replaces Carlos Vinicius on 67 minute.
  • 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luciano on 75.
  • 80' Luciano makes way for Emiliano Rigoni at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 84' Arthur makes way for Gustavo Martins at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 89' Francis Amuzu, a Belgium forward, has 24 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Dodi gets a card.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Gremio FBPA 2-0 Sao Paulo FC.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Luciano 2
Franco Cristaldo 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Luciano 2
Everton 2
Diego Souza 1
Thiago Santos 1

Head to Head

2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-10-04 RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2025-10-02 Santos FC 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-09-28 Gremio FBPA 3–1 EC Vitoria W 2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR D 2025-09-21 SC Internacional 2–3 Gremio FBPA W

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-10-05 Sao Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras L 2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-09-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-09-21 Santos FC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-09-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA45% Draw28% Sao Paulo FC27%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
73%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
55%
Gremio FBPA or Sao Paulo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA28% Draw51% Sao Paulo FC21%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.