Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Gremio FBPA
2 – 0
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Thu 16 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Gonzalo Tapia
Y 64' Mailton dos Santos
Y 75' Luciano
Dodi 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

8
4
6
Gremio FBPA 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W
04 Oct RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
02 Oct Santos FC A 1–1 D
28 Sep EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
24 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
21 Sep SC Internacional A 3–2 W
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Gremio FBPA A 0–2 L
05 Oct SE Palmeiras H 2–3 L
02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Sao Paulo FC
#18 Position #10
31 Points 39
30 Played 30
7 / 10 / 13 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 13
32 Scored 35
40 Conceded 35
-8 GD +0
1.03 PPG 1.30
23% Win % 37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 10th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
6/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 1 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Gremio FBPA have kicked off against São Paulo FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Gremio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 13' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Wendell exits the field as Patryck enters on 13.
  • 18' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mano Menezes will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 21' The referee calls foul for Gonzalo Tapia. He receives a card.
  • 26' Erick Noriega has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 29' Gremio FBPA make a change. Alysson trudges off to be replaced by Cristian Pavon on 29 minutes.
  • 34' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gremio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 39' What composure from Carlos Vinicius! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 44' Gabriel Chapeco has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 28 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 46' Lucas Moura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alan Franco on 46 minute.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' GOAL! Carlos Vinicius fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 61' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 64' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 66' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 66 minute. Rodrigo Huendra leaves to be changed by Ferreira.
  • 67' Gremio FBPA make a change. Carlos Vinicius trudges off to be replaced by Cristian Olivera on 67 minutes.
  • 72' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gremio FBPA that had 336 games and scored 393 goals.
  • 75' Luciano picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 80' The whistle greets Luciano as he departs to be replaced by Emiliano Rigoni.
  • 84' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gustavo Martins is hanging Arthur on the field on 84 minute.
  • 89' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Dodi on 90 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for São Paulo FC.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Everton 2
Luciano 2
Franco Cristaldo 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Luciano 2
Lucas Moura 1
Igor Gomes 1

Head to Head

2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-10-04 RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2025-10-02 Santos FC 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-09-28 Gremio FBPA 3–1 EC Vitoria W 2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR D 2025-09-21 SC Internacional 2–3 Gremio FBPA W

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-10-05 Sao Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras L 2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-09-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-09-21 Santos FC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-09-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA45% Draw29% Sao Paulo FC26%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
73%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
55%
Gremio FBPA or Sao Paulo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA28% Draw51% Sao Paulo FC21%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.