CR Vasco da Gama vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CR Vasco da Gama vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Sao Januario.
- CR Vasco da Gama 27 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep | EC Bahia | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | Ceará SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | SC Recife | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Aug | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 24 Aug | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CR Vasco da Gama | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #5 |
| 31 | Points | 46 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 8 / 7 / 12 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 34 | Scored | 43 |
| 41 | Conceded | 35 |
| -7 | GD | +8 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 30% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season
CR Vasco da Gama this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CR Vasco da Gama are 16th (31 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/6
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CR Vasco da Gama
| Carlos Gomez | 5 G | 3 A |
| Thiago Mendes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Cauan Lucas | 3 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CR Vasco da Gama and EC Bahia get this one started.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. CR Vasco da Gama is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Jose Rodriguez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CR Vasco da Gama so far.
- 15' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Eduardo Varjao will be considering his options from the bench.
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' EC Bahia have won 359 goals from 333 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 31' Brilliant from the ! Mateo Sanabria makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 31.
- 36' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 39' Another substitution for CR Vasco da Gama to replace Lucas Freitas by David on 39 minute.
- 44' Controversy at the stadium! Gilberto argues furiously but the card stands.
- 44' Nicolas Acevedo is replacing Willian Jose for the EC Bahia side.
- 46' Philippe Coutinho makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and CR Vasco da Gama are in front.
- 46' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Gilberto is replaced by Santiago Arias on 46 minute.
- 51' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 56' Argentina international Santiago Ramos has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 60' Jose Rodriguez puts CR Vasco da Gama on the lead.
- 63' That looks like a foul for a card for Mateo Sanabria.
- 67' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Everton Ribeiro exits the field as Rodrigo Nestor enters on 67.
- 72' Both keepers have barely been tested. CR Vasco da Gama and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 76' Brilliant from the ! Luciano Juba makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 76.
- 76' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Mateo Sanabria is withdrawn and Iago Borduchi gets his opportunity.
- 81' Michel Araujo, a Uruguay , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 82' The whistle greets Nuno Moreira as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Oliveira.
- 85' Tucurui has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hugo Moura on 85 minute.
- 90' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for EC Bahia.
Lineups
CR Vasco da Gama Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
25
Hugo Moura ↓ Tucurui 85'
-
43
Lucas Freitas ↓ David 39'
- 46
- 2
- 99
- 96
-
17
Nuno Moreira ↓ Lucas Oliveira 82'
-
11
Carlos Gomez ↓ Benjamin Garre 85'
- 1
- 88
Bench
-
7
David ↑ 39'
- 12
- 13
-
15
Benjamin Garre ↑ 85'
-
29
Lucas Oliveira ↑ 82'
-
9
Matheus Franca ↑ 82'
- 18
- 22
-
85
Tucurui ↑ 85'
- 14
- 70
Coach
Fernando Diniz
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 10
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Santiago Arias 46'
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 44'
- 21
- 46
-
15
Michel Araujo ↓ Tiago 67'
- 5
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↓ Iago Borduchi 76'
- 3
Bench
- 8
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 46'
- 1
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 76'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 67'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 44'
- 37
- 66
-
77
Tiago ↑ 67'
- 44
- 83
Coach
Eduardo Varjao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Dimitri Payet | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Ademir Santos | 2 |
| Marrony | 2 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Regis | 1 |
| Nino Paraiba | 1 |
Head to Head
CR Vasco da Gama Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.79
CR Vasco da Gama xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CR Vasco da Gama win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
CR Vasco da Gama or Draw
69%
Draw or EC Bahia
55%
CR Vasco da Gama or EC Bahia
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.9%
Asian Handicap — CR Vasco da Gama
| Handicap | CR Vasco da Gama covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 19% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 17% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

