CR Vasco da Gama vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CR Vasco da Gama vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Sao Januario.
- CR Vasco da Gama 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep | EC Bahia | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | Ceará SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | SC Recife | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Aug | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 24 Aug | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CR Vasco da Gama | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #6 |
| 20 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 5 / 5 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 25 |
| 29 | Conceded | 23 |
| -7 | GD | +2 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 28% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season
CR Vasco da Gama this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CR Vasco da Gama are 17th (20 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CR Vasco da Gama
| Thiago Mendes | 3 G | 1 A |
| Cauan Lucas | 3 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Sao Januario as CR Vasco da Gama face off against EC Bahia in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Luciano Juba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CR Vasco da Gama so far.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. CR Vasco da Gama in their trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact .
- 25' Everton Ribeiro has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fernando Diniz might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 31' Mateo Sanabria has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 31 minutes.
- 36' Jean Lucas is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
- 39' It is a substitution in CR Vasco da Gama team. Lucas Freitas is replaced by David on 39 minute.
- 44' The referee has no hesitation. Gilberto is booked for EC Bahia — card on 44.
- 44' The crowd applauds Willian Jose as he leaves the pitch. Nicolas Acevedo steps in for EC Bahia.
- 46' Philippe Coutinho is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 46' EC Bahia make a change. Gilberto trudges off to be replaced by Santiago Arias on 46 minutes.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CR Vasco da Gama and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 60' What composure from Jose Rodriguez! The Uruguay international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 63' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
- 67' Everton Ribeiro makes way for Rodrigo Nestor at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 72' Nuno Moreira is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CR Vasco da Gama tonight.
- 76' Goal! Luciano Juba scores his 17 goal in 240 matches.
- 76' Iago Borduchi is replacing Mateo Sanabria for the EC Bahia side.
- 81' Brazil international Willian Jose has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 82' Another substitution for CR Vasco da Gama to replace Nuno Moreira by Lucas Oliveira on 82 minute.
- 85' The CR Vasco da Gama bench stirs into life. Hugo Moura is withdrawn and Tucurui gets his opportunity.
- 90' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for CR Vasco da Gama players.
Lineups
CR Vasco da Gama Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
25
Hugo Moura ↓ Tucurui 85'
-
43
Lucas Freitas ↓ David 39'
- 46
- 2
- 99
- 96
-
17
Nuno Moreira ↓ Lucas Oliveira 82'
-
11
Carlos Gomez ↓ Benjamin Garre 85'
- 1
- 88
Bench
-
7
David ↑ 39'
- 12
- 13
-
15
Benjamin Garre ↑ 85'
-
29
Lucas Oliveira ↑ 82'
-
9
Matheus Franca ↑ 82'
- 18
- 22
-
85
Tucurui ↑ 85'
- 14
- 70
Coach
Fernando Diniz
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 10
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Santiago Arias 46'
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 44'
- 21
- 46
-
15
Michel Araujo ↓ Tiago 67'
- 5
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↓ Iago Borduchi 76'
- 3
Bench
- 8
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 46'
- 1
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 76'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 67'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 44'
- 37
- 66
-
77
Tiago ↑ 67'
- 44
- 83
Coach
Eduardo Varjao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 2 |
| Marrony | 2 |
| Dimitri Payet | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Yago Pikachu | 1 |
| Pablo Vegetti | 1 |
Head to Head
CR Vasco da Gama Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.83
CR Vasco da Gama xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CR Vasco da Gama win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
CR Vasco da Gama or Draw
70%
Draw or EC Bahia
54%
CR Vasco da Gama or EC Bahia
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.9%
Asian Handicap — CR Vasco da Gama
| Handicap | CR Vasco da Gama covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 19% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 17% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

