CR Vasco da Gama vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CR Vasco da Gama vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Sao Januario.
- CR Vasco da Gama 33 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep | EC Bahia | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | Ceará SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | SC Recife | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Aug | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 24 Aug | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CR Vasco da Gama | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #6 |
| 41 | Points | 53 |
| 33 | Played | 34 |
| 11 / 8 / 14 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 9 |
| 43 | Scored | 50 |
| 50 | Conceded | 45 |
| -7 | GD | +5 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 33% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season
CR Vasco da Gama this season
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CR Vasco da Gama are 13th (41 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/4
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/8
61-75
6/7
76+
11/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CR Vasco da Gama
| Carlos Gomez | 5 G | 3 A |
| Thiago Mendes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Cauan Lucas | 3 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. CR Vasco da Gama get us underway at Sao Januario.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Fernando Diniz will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Carlos Cuesta has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 326 appearances.
- 30' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 31' GOAL! Mateo Sanabria scores on 31.
- 36' A moment of madness from Jean Lucas on 36 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 39' The whistle greets Lucas Freitas as he departs to be replaced by David.
- 44' Gilberto picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 44' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Willian Jose by Nicolas Acevedo on 44 minute.
- 46' The Brazil Philippe Coutinho breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 1-1!
- 46' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Santiago Arias comes on to replace Gilberto.
- 51' Rodrigo Nestor has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 56' CR Vasco da Gama started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 60' What composure from Jose Rodriguez! The Uruguay international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mateo Sanabria on 63.
- 67' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Everton Ribeiro is replaced by Rodrigo Nestor.
- 72' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with EC Bahia winning 50% of all matches.
- 76' Against the run of play, Luciano Juba has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 76' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Mateo Sanabria by Iago Borduchi on 76 minute.
- 81' CR Vasco da Gama currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 82' Lucas Oliveira is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nuno Moreira at the 82 minute mark.
- 85' The whistle greets Hugo Moura as he departs to be replaced by Tucurui.
- 90' Lucas Freitas needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 7 Yellow cards this season.
- The final score is 3-1.
Lineups
CR Vasco da Gama Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
25
Hugo Moura ↓ Tucurui 85'
-
43
Lucas Freitas ↓ David 39'
- 46
- 2
- 99
- 96
-
17
Nuno Moreira ↓ Lucas Oliveira 82'
-
11
Carlos Gomez ↓ Benjamin Garre 85'
- 1
- 88
Bench
-
7
David ↑ 39'
- 12
- 13
-
15
Benjamin Garre ↑ 85'
-
29
Lucas Oliveira ↑ 82'
-
9
Matheus Franca ↑ 82'
- 18
- 22
-
85
Tucurui ↑ 85'
- 14
- 70
Coach
Fernando Diniz
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 10
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Santiago Arias 46'
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 44'
- 21
- 46
-
15
Michel Araujo ↓ Tiago 67'
- 5
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↓ Iago Borduchi 76'
- 3
Bench
- 8
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 46'
- 1
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 76'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 67'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 44'
- 37
- 66
-
77
Tiago ↑ 67'
- 44
- 83
Coach
Eduardo Varjao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Dimitri Payet | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Ademir Santos | 2 |
| Marrony | 2 |
| Luciano Rodriguez | 1 |
| Ze Rafael | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
Head to Head
CR Vasco da Gama Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.86
CR Vasco da Gama xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CR Vasco da Gama win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
CR Vasco da Gama or Draw
71%
Draw or EC Bahia
53%
CR Vasco da Gama or EC Bahia
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — CR Vasco da Gama
| Handicap | CR Vasco da Gama covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 19% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

