EC Vitoria vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Anderson Daronco
7 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 9.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 3–4 | L |
| 02 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Fluminense FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #5 |
| 33 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 9 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 28 | Scored | 43 |
| 42 | Conceded | 35 |
| -14 | GD | +8 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 32% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. EC Vitoria host EC Bahia — let the battle begin!
- 5' EC Vitoria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' EC Vitoria are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's shape.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Vitoria that had 179 games and scored 131 goals.
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' With 2 assists to his name this season, Rodrigo Nestor is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
- 35' Gabriel Xavier, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jair Ventura will be considering his options from the bench.
- 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Vitoria and EC Bahia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 50' David Duarte has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 55' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 60' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Jean Lucas scoring 1 goals.
- 65' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Vitoria and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 70' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 75' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Vitoria in their trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact .
- 80' Aitor Cantalapiedra has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 85' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 90' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- Full Time. EC Vitoria beats EC Bahia
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 79
- 27
- 43
- 13
- 3
- 8
- 44
- 1
- 4
Bench
- 77
- 23
- 6
- 11
- 31
- 29
- 12
- 21
- 19
- 10
- 66
- 50
Coach
Jair Ventura
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Ruan Pablo 81'
- 13
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Cauly 74'
- 33
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Iago Borduchi 66'
-
5
Rezende ↓ Michel Araujo 74'
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↓ Kayky 66'
- 3
- 77
Bench
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↑ 74'
- 1
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 66'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 74'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 66'
- 66
- 70
- 55
- 44
- 63
-
52
Ruan Pablo ↑ 81'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Alejo Veliz | 1 |
| Lucas Marques | 1 |
| Nilton | 1 |
| Michel Araujo | 1 |
| Tiago Pagnussat | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.34
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or EC Bahia 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
65%
Draw or EC Bahia
63%
EC Vitoria or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
8%
0 – 1
8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 20% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

