Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Vitoria vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 1
Full Time
Fri 17 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Dudu 0' Y
Camutanga 45' Y
Ronald 45' Y
Erick 46' Y
Y 75' Cauly
Dudu 90' YR

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Barradao.

Match Details

  • Referee Anderson Daronco
7 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 9.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct EC Bahia H 2–1 W
05 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 3–4 L
02 Oct Ceará SC H 1–0 W
28 Sep Gremio FBPA A 1–3 L
20 Sep Fluminense FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct EC Vitoria A 1–2 L
05 Oct CR Flamengo H 1–0 W
02 Oct Botafogo FR A 1–2 L
28 Sep SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
24 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 1–3 L
20 Sep Ceará SC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

EC Vitoria EC Bahia
#13 Position #5
33 Points 46
28 Played 28
9 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 6
28 Scored 43
42 Conceded 35
-14 GD +8
1.18 PPG 1.64
32% Win % 43%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. EC Vitoria host EC Bahia — let the battle begin!
  • 5' EC Vitoria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' EC Vitoria are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's shape.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Vitoria that had 179 games and scored 131 goals.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' With 2 assists to his name this season, Rodrigo Nestor is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
  • 35' Gabriel Xavier, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jair Ventura will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Vitoria and EC Bahia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 50' David Duarte has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 55' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Jean Lucas scoring 1 goals.
  • 65' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Vitoria and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 70' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 75' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Vitoria in their trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact .
  • 80' Aitor Cantalapiedra has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 85' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 90' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • Full Time. EC Vitoria beats EC Bahia

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.34 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: EC Vitoria or EC Bahia 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria37% Draw27% EC Bahia36%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
65%
Draw or EC Bahia
63%
EC Vitoria or EC Bahia
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria25% Draw46% EC Bahia29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
8%
0 – 1
8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.