EC Vitoria vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Anderson Daronco
9 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 11.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 3–4 | L |
| 02 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Fluminense FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #6 |
| 38 | Points | 53 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 8 / 16 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 9 |
| 35 | Scored | 50 |
| 51 | Conceded | 45 |
| -16 | GD | +5 |
| 1.12 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 29% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Barradao!
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' EC Vitória currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 342 games and scored 373 goals.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' Ronald is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 35' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Vitória and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 50' A quiet spell here at Barradao. EC Vitória seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 55' Brazil international David Duarte has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 60' Iago Borduchi, a Brazil defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 65' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Jean Lucas scoring 1 goals.
- 70' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 75' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 80' With 1 assists to his name this season, Gabriel Baralhas is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitória.
- 85' It looks surprising EC Vitória does not make any changes. Raul Caceres has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 90' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitória must find a spark to ignite this game.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for EC Bahia.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 79
- 27
- 43
- 13
- 3
- 8
- 44
- 1
- 4
Bench
- 77
- 23
- 6
- 11
- 31
- 29
- 12
- 21
- 19
- 10
- 66
- 50
Coach
Jair Ventura
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Ruan Pablo 81'
- 13
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Cauly 74'
- 33
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Iago Borduchi 66'
-
5
Rezende ↓ Michel Araujo 74'
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↓ Kayky 66'
- 3
- 77
Bench
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↑ 74'
- 1
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 66'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 74'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 66'
- 66
- 70
- 55
- 44
- 63
-
52
Ruan Pablo ↑ 81'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Lucas Marques | 1 |
| Nilton | 1 |
| Michel Araujo | 1 |
| Tiago Pagnussat | 1 |
| Eric Ramires | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.38
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or EC Bahia 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
66%
Draw or EC Bahia
61%
EC Vitoria or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 19% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.