Gremio FBPA vs Botafogo FR, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025

Gremio FBPA

1 – 1

Full Time

Botafogo FR

Wed 24 Sep 2025 · 22:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'

Marcos Rocha 33' Y

Y 83' Marlon Freitas

Y 89' Alexander Barboza

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Botafogo FR — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Botafogo FR 30 games · 36 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	30	64
2	SE Palmeiras	30	63
3	CA Paranaense	30	53
4	Fluminense FC	30	51
5	EC Bahia	30	49
6	Cruzeiro EC	30	48
7	CA Mineiro	30	47
8	Santos FC	30	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	40
10	Sao Paulo FC	30	39
11	Coritiba FBC	30	39
12	Botafogo FR	30	36
13	EC Vitoria	30	36
14	CR Vasco da Gama	29	35
15	Mirassol FC	30	33
16	SC Internacional	30	32
17	SC Corinthians Paulista	30	32
18	Gremio FBPA	30	31
19	Clube do Remo	30	25
20	Chapecoense AF	29	18

Head-to-Head

Gremio FBPA 14 games · Avg 3.9 goals Botafogo FR

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR 2024-09-29 Botafogo FR 0–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-06-16 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Botafogo FR 2023-11-09 Botafogo FR 3–4 Gremio FBPA 2023-07-09 Gremio FBPA 0–2 Botafogo FR

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Sep	Botafogo FR	H	1–1	D
21 Sep	SC Internacional	A	3–2	W
13 Sep	Mirassol FC	H	0–1	L
31 Aug	CR Flamengo	A	1–1	D
24 Aug	Ceará SC	H	0–0	D
17 Aug	CA Mineiro	A	3–1	W

Botafogo FR

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Sep	Gremio FBPA	A	1–1	D
20 Sep	CA Mineiro	H	1–0	W
17 Sep	Mirassol FC	H	3–3	D
14 Sep	Sao Paulo FC	A	0–1	L
30 Aug	RB Bragantino	H	4–1	W
24 Aug	EC Juventude	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA		Botafogo FR
#18	Position	#12
31	Points	36
30	Played	30
7 / 10 / 13	W / D / L	9 / 9 / 12
32	Scored	43
40	Conceded	48
-8	GD	-5
1.03	PPG	1.20
23%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

17% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). Botafogo FR are 12th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/7

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Botafogo FR

0-15

5/5

16-30

2/5

31-45

5/4

46-60

5/4

61-75

4/3

76+

8/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

10 G

1 A

Botafogo FR

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira	10 G	2 A
Arthur Cabral	7 G	1 A
Edenilson	4 G	2 A
Matheus Martins	4 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Gremio FBPA and Botafogo FR get this one started.
5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Davide Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
15' Marcos Rocha, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
25' Botafogo FR is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
26' The Botafogo FR bench stirs into life. Alex Telles is withdrawn and Cuiabano gets his opportunity.
31' A quiet spell here at Arena do Gremio. Botafogo FR seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
33' A moment of madness from Marcos Rocha on 33 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
38' Botafogo FR fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
43' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Gremio FBPA and Botafogo FR are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
46' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 46 minute. Erick Noriega leaves to be changed by Alex Santana.
51' Newton has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 32 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
53' Cuiabano puts Botafogo FR on the lead.
58' Gremio FBPA have won 393 goals from 336 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
63' Marlon has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
64' Mateo Ponte has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jeffinho on 64 minute.
67' Cristian Olivera gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Edenilson and will look to change the dynamic.
70' Franco Cristaldo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Willian at the 70 minute mark.
75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
78' The crowd applauds Andre as he leaves the pitch. Jardiel steps in for Gremio FBPA.
83' Botafogo FR player sees a card in front of him.
88' Kaio Pantaleao is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gremio FBPA tonight.
89' Alexander Barboza is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
90' What a strike from Tiago Volpi! The score is 1-1.
will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

Botafogo FR Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1
Raul
57
David Loiola
6
Cuiabano ↑ 26'
4
Mateo Ponte ↑ 64'
26
Gabriel Henrique

Coach Davide Ancelotti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luis Suarez	3
Cuiabano	3
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira	2
Jean Pyerre	2
Junior Santos	2
Pepe	2
Alisson	2
Jael	2

Head to Head

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR D 2025-09-21 SC Internacional 2–3 Gremio FBPA W 2025-09-13 Gremio FBPA 0–1 Mirassol FC L 2025-08-31 CR Flamengo 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-08-24 Gremio FBPA 0–0 Ceará SC D 2025-08-17 CA Mineiro 1–3 Gremio FBPA W

Botafogo FR Form

2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR D 2025-09-20 Botafogo FR 1–0 CA Mineiro W 2025-09-17 Botafogo FR 3–3 Mirassol FC D 2025-09-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR L 2025-08-30 Botafogo FR 4–1 RB Bragantino W 2025-08-24 EC Juventude 1–3 Botafogo FR W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.2 Gremio FBPA xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.31 Botafogo FR xG

I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Botafogo FR 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Gremio FBPA35% Draw29% Botafogo FR36%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.51

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw

65%

Draw or Botafogo FR

65%

Gremio FBPA or Botafogo FR

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Gremio FBPA24% Draw49% Botafogo FR27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

10.2%

0 – 1

9.5%

1 – 0

8.6%

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 1

7.4%

0 – 2

6.8%

2 – 0

5.7%

2 – 2

4.9%

1 – 3

3.6%

3 – 1

0 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap	Gremio FBPA covers	Push	Botafogo FR covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	18%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	20%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	11%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.