Gremio FBPA vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 30 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 29 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | EC Vitoria | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | Botafogo FR | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | SC Internacional | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | Mirassol FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Ceará SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Fluminense FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–8 | L |
| 16 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #13 |
| 31 | Points | 36 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 10 / 13 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 14 |
| 32 | Scored | 33 |
| 40 | Conceded | 44 |
| -8 | GD | -11 |
| 1.03 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 23% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
40%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
5/2
31-45
3/9
46-60
2/2
61-75
7/6
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Grêmio FBPA host EC Vitoria — let the battle begin!
- 5' Grêmio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' EC Vitoria fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 22' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Willian is replaced by Alysson.
- 26' Poor challenge from Gabriel Baralhas. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 31' EC Vitoria has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 35' The referee has no hesitation. Camutanga is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 35.
- 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marlon on 45 minutes.
- 48' Magnificent from Andre! That is 8 goals in 336 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 49' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Aitor Cantalapiedra makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 59' Erick picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 61' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Edenilson departs to be replaced by Francis Amuzu.
- 66' Ramon has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 393 appearances.
- 67' Francis Amuzu makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Gremio FBPA are in front.
- 70' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Erick is withdrawn and Osvaldo gets his opportunity.
- 71' Gremio FBPA make a change. Andre trudges off to be replaced by Alexander Aravena on 71 minutes.
- 76' It looks surprising Grêmio FBPA does not make any changes. Lucas Arcanjo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 81' Ronald has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 81.
- 81' Renzo Lopez is replacing Renato Kayzer for the EC Vitoria side.
- 82' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Gabriel Baralhas has done his job and it is now time for Romarinho to step up.
- 87' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lucas Braga is hanging Ronald on the field on 87 minute.
- 89' A stunning finish from Alexander Aravena — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Grêmio FBPA to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 23
- 14
- 88
- 29
- 7
- 8
- 19
- 12
- 53
- 77
Bench
- 17
- 80
- 10
- 9
- 25
- 15
- 3
- 99
- 16
- 47
- 31
- 40
Coach
Mano Menezes
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↓ Renzo Lopez 81'
- 27
- 5
- 13
- 3
-
8
Ronald ↓ Lucas Braga 87'
-
44
Gabriel Baralhas ↓ Romarinho 82'
- 1
-
4
Camutanga ↓ Matheuzinho 71'
Bench
- 77
- 28
- 43
-
11
Osvaldo ↑ 70'
-
31
Renzo Lopez ↑ 81'
- 29
-
22
Lucas Braga ↑ 87'
- 12
-
10
Matheuzinho ↑ 71'
- 2
- 66
-
7
Romarinho ↑ 82'
Coach
Jair Ventura
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Douglas | 1 |
| Carlinhos | 1 |
| Jailson | 1 |
| Francis Amuzu | 1 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Andre | 1 |
| Pepe | 1 |
| Alexander Aravena | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.78
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
83%
Draw or EC Vitoria
41%
Gremio FBPA or EC Vitoria
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12%
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
9.1%
3 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
4 – 0
2.9%
4 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.