Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Gremio FBPA vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Gremio FBPA
3 – 1
Full Time
EC Vitoria
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 26' Gabriel Baralhas
Y 35' Camutanga
Marlon 45' Y
Y 59' Erick
Y 81' Ronald

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 25 52
2 CR Flamengo 24 48
3 CA Paranaense 25 45
4 Fluminense FC 25 42
5 EC Bahia 25 40
6 Cruzeiro EC 25 39
7 Coritiba FBC 25 37
8 CA Mineiro 24 36
9 RB Bragantino 24 35
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 25 32
11 Sao Paulo FC 24 30
12 Botafogo FR 24 30
13 Santos FC 24 29
14 EC Vitoria 25 29
15 Gremio FBPA 24 28
16 SC Internacional 25 25
17 Mirassol FC 24 25
18 CR Vasco da Gama 24 25
19 Clube do Remo 25 23
20 Chapecoense AF 24 14

Head-to-Head

5
4
Gremio FBPA 9 games · Avg 2.4 goals EC Vitoria
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-28 Gremio FBPA 3–1 EC Vitoria 2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-04 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-07-21 Gremio FBPA 2–0 EC Vitoria 2018-11-25 EC Vitoria 0–0 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
24 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
21 Sep SC Internacional A 3–2 W
13 Sep Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–1 D
24 Aug Ceará SC H 0–0 D
EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Gremio FBPA A 1–3 L
20 Sep Fluminense FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L
31 Aug CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
26 Aug CR Flamengo A 0–8 L
16 Aug EC Juventude H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA EC Vitoria
#15 Position #14
28 Points 29
24 Played 25
7 / 7 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 5 / 12
27 Scored 24
32 Conceded 37
-5 GD -13
1.17 PPG 1.16
29% Win % 32%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
40% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts). EC Vitoria are 14th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/3
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Arena do Gremio that hosts another battle between Grêmio FBPA and EC Vitoria.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Vitoria that had 175 games and scored 129 goals.
  • 15' Matheuzinho is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Grêmio FBPA tonight.
  • 20' Willian has been relatively quiet despite scoring 34 goals in his last 409 appearances.
  • 22' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Willian is replaced by Alysson on 22 minute.
  • 26' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 26.
  • 31' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lucas Braga is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Grêmio FBPA.
  • 35' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Camutanga gets a card.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Renato Kayzer made 253 appearances and scored 36 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Marlon gets a card.
  • 48' Andre adds to his 0 season tally! Gremio FBPA lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 49' Aitor Cantalapiedra makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and EC Vitoria are in front.
  • 54' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Erick on 59.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Francis Amuzu comes on to replace Edenilson.
  • 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gabriel Chapeco, as he is very good at scoring at Arena do Gremio with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 67' Francis Amuzu adds to his 0 season tally! Gremio FBPA lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 70' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Osvaldo comes on to replace Erick.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Andre is replaced by Alexander Aravena on 71 minute.
  • 76' Grêmio FBPA looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 81' Ronald has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 81.
  • 81' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 81 minute. Renato Kayzer leaves to be changed by Renzo Lopez.
  • 82' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Romarinho on, Gabriel Baralhas off on 82 minutes.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Braga. He replaces Ronald on 87 minute.
  • 89' A stunning finish from Alexander Aravena — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Grêmio FBPA to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jair Ventura

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yeferson Soteldo 1
Joao Pedro 1
Jailson 1
Alerrandro 1
Everton 1
Jemerson 1
Pepe 1
Carlinhos 1

Head to Head

2025-09-28 Gremio FBPA 3–1 EC Vitoria 2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-04 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-07-21 Gremio FBPA 2–0 EC Vitoria 2018-11-25 EC Vitoria 0–0 Gremio FBPA

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-09-28 Gremio FBPA 3–1 EC Vitoria W 2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR D 2025-09-21 SC Internacional 2–3 Gremio FBPA W 2025-09-13 Gremio FBPA 0–1 Mirassol FC L 2025-08-31 CR Flamengo 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-08-24 Gremio FBPA 0–0 Ceará SC D

EC Vitoria Form

2025-09-28 Gremio FBPA 3–1 EC Vitoria L 2025-09-20 EC Vitoria 0–1 Fluminense FC L 2025-09-13 Fortaleza EC 2–0 EC Vitoria L 2025-08-31 EC Vitoria 1–0 CA Mineiro W 2025-08-26 CR Flamengo 8–0 EC Vitoria L 2025-08-16 EC Vitoria 2–2 EC Juventude D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.83 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA61% Draw23% EC Vitoria16%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
85%
Draw or EC Vitoria
39%
Gremio FBPA or EC Vitoria
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA42% Draw45% EC Vitoria13%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.6%
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
3 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 19% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 25% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
46% ✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.