Gremio FBPA vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 19 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 19 | 32 |
| 4 | RB Bragantino | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 18 | 29 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | Botafogo FR | 18 | 25 |
| 10 | EC Vitoria | 18 | 25 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 19 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio FBPA | 19 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 19 | 20 |
| 18 | Mirassol FC | 18 | 19 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 18 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | EC Vitoria | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | Botafogo FR | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | SC Internacional | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | Mirassol FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Ceará SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Fluminense FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–8 | L |
| 16 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #10 |
| 21 | Points | 25 |
| 19 | Played | 18 |
| 5 / 6 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 21 | Scored | 22 |
| 25 | Conceded | 25 |
| -4 | GD | -3 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 26% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
37%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
44%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Gremio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). EC Vitoria are 10th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
4/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Grêmio FBPA launch into their encounter with EC Vitoria.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Brazil international Erick has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Renzo Lopez made 279 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Halter suffering a number of foals already.
- 22' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Willian is withdrawn and Alysson gets his opportunity.
- 26' Gabriel Baralhas picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 31' A quiet spell here at Arena do Gremio. EC Vitoria seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 35' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 35.
- 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 45' Marlon is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 48' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Andre makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 49' Aitor Cantalapiedra is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 54' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 59' Erick picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Francis Amuzu. He replaces Edenilson on 61 minute.
- 66' Grêmio FBPA looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 67' Assisted by Franco Cristaldo with the perfectly-timed delivery and Francis Amuzu makes no mistake. 0-3!
- 70' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Erick exits the field as Osvaldo enters on 70.
- 71' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Andre is replaced by Alexander Aravena.
- 76' EC Vitoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 81' That looks like a foul for a card for Ronald.
- 81' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Renato Kayzer has done his job and it is now time for Renzo Lopez to step up.
- 82' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Romarinho on, Gabriel Baralhas off on 82 minutes.
- 87' The crowd applauds Ronald as he leaves the pitch. Lucas Braga steps in for EC Vitoria.
- 89' GOAL! Alexander Aravena scores on 89. Assisted by Francis Amuzu
- Grêmio FBPA celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 23
- 14
- 88
- 29
- 7
- 8
- 19
- 12
- 53
- 77
Bench
- 17
- 80
- 10
- 9
- 25
- 15
- 3
- 99
- 16
- 47
- 31
- 40
Coach
Mano Menezes
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↓ Renzo Lopez 81'
- 27
- 5
- 13
- 3
-
8
Ronald ↓ Lucas Braga 87'
-
44
Gabriel Baralhas ↓ Romarinho 82'
- 1
-
4
Camutanga ↓ Matheuzinho 71'
Bench
- 77
- 28
- 43
-
11
Osvaldo ↑ 70'
-
31
Renzo Lopez ↑ 81'
- 29
-
22
Lucas Braga ↑ 87'
- 12
-
10
Matheuzinho ↑ 71'
- 2
- 66
-
7
Romarinho ↑ 82'
Coach
Jair Ventura
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andre | 1 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Alexander Aravena | 1 |
| Pepe | 1 |
| Aitor Cantalapiedra | 1 |
| Douglas | 1 |
| Reinaldo | 1 |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.78
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA to win 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
82%
Draw or EC Vitoria
42%
Gremio FBPA or EC Vitoria
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 24% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.