EC Bahia vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- CR Flamengo 17 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | EC Juventude | A | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CR Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 26 | Points | 34 |
| 17 | Played | 17 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 4 / 3 |
| 25 | Scored | 31 |
| 23 | Conceded | 16 |
| +2 | GD | +15 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 41% | Win % | 59% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
41%
Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season
CR Flamengo this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). CR Flamengo are 2nd (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Flamengo
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/–
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CR Flamengo
| Pedro | 10 G | 4 A |
| Samuel Lino | 4 G | 6 A |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 3 G | 1 A |
| Lucas Paqueta | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. EC Bahia is hosting CR Flamengo for another epic battle.
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nicolas Acevedo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 10' CR Flamengo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 13' Poor challenge from Danilo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 15' CR Flamengo ring the changes. Pedro has done his job and it is now time for Cleiton Santos to step up.
- 20' The 29-year-old Nicolas de la Cruz has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 21' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicolas de la Cruz.
- 26' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 325 games and scored 348 goals.
- 31' The travelling CR Flamengo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 36' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 41' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and CR Flamengo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' A goal from the Brazil international Willian Jose! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-0!
- 46' A tactical swap from CR Flamengo — Bruno Henrique on, Samuel Lino off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Gilberto is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CR Flamengo so far.
- 56' Pedro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 57' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Kayky on, Ademir Santos off on 57 minutes.
- 62' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past CR Flamengo's compact .
- 67' The supporters are chanting for Cauly. He replaces Willian Jose on 67 minute.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Yan. He replaces Giorgian De Arrascaeta on 68 minute.
- 72' A moment of madness from Gilberto on 72 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 75' Yan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 75.
- 78' The referee calls foul for Yan. He receives a card.
- 83' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with CR Flamengo winning 100% of all matches.
- 87' Kaue Junior is ready to make an impact after coming on for Everton Ribeiro at the 87 minute mark.
- 89' That looks like a foul for a card for Kayky.
- 90' Jorginho picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Kaue Junior 87'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 57'
- 2
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Cauly 67'
- 25
- 33
- 26
- 5
-
77
Tiago ↓ Michel Araujo 57'
Bench
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↑ 67'
- 1
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 57'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 57'
- 66
- 70
- 55
- 44
- 83
- 63
-
57
Kaue Junior ↑ 87'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
CR Flamengo Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Giorgian De Arrascaeta ↓ Yan 68'
- 3
- 22
- 6
-
9
Pedro ↓ Cleiton Santos 15'
- 21
- 13
- 1
-
15
Jorge Carrascal ↓ Gonzalo Plata 46'
- 18
-
16
Samuel Lino ↓ Bruno Henrique 46'
Bench
- 11
-
7
Luiz Araujo ↑ 46'
- 29
- 2
-
27
Bruno Henrique ↑ 46'
-
50
Gonzalo Plata ↑ 46'
- 17
- 23
-
33
Cleiton Santos ↑ 15'
- 25
- 52
-
64
Yan ↑ 68'
Coach
Filipe Luis
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Barbosa | 8 |
| Pedro | 5 |
| Gilberto | 5 |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 4 |
| Vitinho | 2 |
| Bruno Henrique | 2 |
| David Luiz | 2 |
| Lucas Paqueta | 2 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.96
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
CR Flamengo xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or CR Flamengo 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
60%
Draw or CR Flamengo
70%
EC Bahia or CR Flamengo
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 1
12.2%
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 2
8.9%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 3
4%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CR Flamengo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.