EC Bahia vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- CR Flamengo 21 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | EC Juventude | A | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CR Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #2 |
| 33 | Points | 42 |
| 22 | Played | 21 |
| 8 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 12 / 6 / 3 |
| 29 | Scored | 39 |
| 25 | Conceded | 18 |
| +4 | GD | +21 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 36% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
43%
Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season
CR Flamengo this season
EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). CR Flamengo are 2nd (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Flamengo
0-15
4/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/1
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CR Flamengo
| Pedro | 12 G | 5 A |
| Samuel Lino | 5 G | 7 A |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 3 G | 1 A |
| Lucas Paqueta | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Arena Fonte Nova will turn into a battlefield for EC Bahia and CR Flamengo.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past CR Flamengo's compact .
- 13' The referee calls foul for Danilo. He receives a card.
- 15' The supporters are chanting for Cleiton Santos. He replaces Pedro on 15 minute.
- 20' Ademir Santos has been relatively quiet despite scoring 35 goals in his last 161 appearances.
- 21' It’s a booking for CR Flamengo player. Nicolas de la Cruz gets a card.
- 26' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 31' CR Flamengo fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 36' The 25-year-old Gonzalo Plata has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 4 assists is a remarkable return.
- 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' Willian Jose is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 46' The whistle greets Samuel Lino as he departs to be replaced by Bruno Henrique.
- 51' Brazil international Tiago has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 56' EC Bahia have won 352 goals from 329 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 57' The crowd applauds Ademir Santos as he leaves the pitch. Kayky steps in for EC Bahia.
- 62' CR Flamengo is showing some good football. However, CR Flamengo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 67' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Cauly on, Willian Jose off on 67 minutes.
- 68' Yan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Giorgian De Arrascaeta at the 68 minute mark.
- 72' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gilberto.
- 75' That is a card for CR Flamengo. Yan will be fuming at that decision.
- 78' CR Flamengo player sees a card in front of him.
- 83' Iago Borduchi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CR Flamengo tonight.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Kaue Junior. He replaces Everton Ribeiro on 87 minute.
- 89' A moment of madness from Kayky on 89 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 90' Jorginho was booked on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Kaue Junior 87'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 57'
- 2
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Cauly 67'
- 25
- 33
- 26
- 5
-
77
Tiago ↓ Michel Araujo 57'
Bench
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↑ 67'
- 1
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 57'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 57'
- 66
- 70
- 55
- 44
- 83
- 63
-
57
Kaue Junior ↑ 87'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
CR Flamengo Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Giorgian De Arrascaeta ↓ Yan 68'
- 3
- 22
- 6
-
9
Pedro ↓ Cleiton Santos 15'
- 21
- 13
- 1
-
15
Jorge Carrascal ↓ Gonzalo Plata 46'
- 18
-
16
Samuel Lino ↓ Bruno Henrique 46'
Bench
- 11
-
7
Luiz Araujo ↑ 46'
- 29
- 2
-
27
Bruno Henrique ↑ 46'
-
50
Gonzalo Plata ↑ 46'
- 17
- 23
-
33
Cleiton Santos ↑ 15'
- 25
- 52
-
64
Yan ↑ 68'
Coach
Filipe Luis
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Barbosa | 8 |
| Pedro | 5 |
| Gilberto | 5 |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 4 |
| David Luiz | 2 |
| Lucas Paqueta | 2 |
| Vitinho | 2 |
| Bruno Henrique | 2 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.87
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27
CR Flamengo xG
I would bet for:
CR Flamengo or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
60%
Draw or CR Flamengo
70%
EC Bahia or CR Flamengo
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 1
13.8%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
2 – 3
1.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CR Flamengo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 16% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 24% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.