EC Bahia vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- CR Flamengo 28 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | EC Juventude | A | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CR Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #1 |
| 46 | Points | 60 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 18 / 6 / 4 |
| 43 | Scored | 55 |
| 35 | Conceded | 23 |
| +8 | GD | +32 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 2.14 |
| 43% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
43%
Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season
CR Flamengo this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). CR Flamengo are 1st (60 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Flamengo
0-15
7/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CR Flamengo
| Pedro | 16 G | 6 A |
| Samuel Lino | 9 G | 7 A |
| Jorge Carrascal | 5 G | 7 A |
| Lucas Paqueta | 5 G | |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: CR Flamengo gets underway.
- 5' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 13' That is a card for CR Flamengo. Danilo will be fuming at that decision.
- 15' A tactical swap from CR Flamengo — Cleiton Santos on, Pedro off on 15 minutes.
- 20' EC Bahia have won 359 goals from 333 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 21' A moment of madness from Nicolas de la Cruz on 21 minutes earns him a card. CR Flamengo will be frustrated.
- 26' Iago Borduchi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 31' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 36' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against CR Flamengo's shape.
- 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' A goal from the Brazil international Willian Jose! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-0!
- 46' A change in the CR Flamengo ranks — Samuel Lino exits the field as Bruno Henrique enters on 46.
- 51' CR Flamengo looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Giorgian De Arrascaeta scoring 1 goals.
- 56' CR Flamengo is showing some good football. However, CR Flamengo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 57' Kayky is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ademir Santos at the 57 minute mark.
- 62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for David Duarte suffering a number of foals already.
- 67' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Cauly on, Willian Jose off on 67 minutes.
- 68' Another substitution for CR Flamengo to replace Giorgian De Arrascaeta by Yan on 68 minute.
- 72' The referee has no hesitation. Gilberto is booked for EC Bahia — card on 72.
- 75' The referee has no hesitation. Yan is booked for CR Flamengo — card on 75.
- 78' It’s a booking for CR Flamengo player. Yan gets a card.
- 83' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 87' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kaue Junior is hanging Everton Ribeiro on the field on 87 minute.
- 89' That is a card for EC Bahia. Kayky will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Jorginho picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — EC Bahia 1-0 CR Flamengo.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Kaue Junior 87'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 57'
- 2
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Cauly 67'
- 25
- 33
- 26
- 5
-
77
Tiago ↓ Michel Araujo 57'
Bench
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↑ 67'
- 1
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 57'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 57'
- 66
- 70
- 55
- 44
- 83
- 63
-
57
Kaue Junior ↑ 87'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
CR Flamengo Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Giorgian De Arrascaeta ↓ Yan 68'
- 3
- 22
- 6
-
9
Pedro ↓ Cleiton Santos 15'
- 21
- 13
- 1
-
15
Jorge Carrascal ↓ Gonzalo Plata 46'
- 18
-
16
Samuel Lino ↓ Bruno Henrique 46'
Bench
- 11
-
7
Luiz Araujo ↑ 46'
- 29
- 2
-
27
Bruno Henrique ↑ 46'
-
50
Gonzalo Plata ↑ 46'
- 17
- 23
-
33
Cleiton Santos ↑ 15'
- 25
- 52
-
64
Yan ↑ 68'
Coach
Filipe Luis
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Barbosa | 8 |
| Pedro | 5 |
| Gilberto | 5 |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 4 |
| David Luiz | 2 |
| Lucas Paqueta | 2 |
| Vitinho | 2 |
| Bruno Henrique | 2 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.91
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
CR Flamengo xG
I would bet for:
CR Flamengo or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
59%
Draw or CR Flamengo
71%
EC Bahia or CR Flamengo
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
12.5%
0 – 2
9.3%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4%
1 – 3
3.9%
2 – 2
3.9%
2 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CR Flamengo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

