Monday , 14 September 2026

AC Milan vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Europe 2026-27 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2026-27
Wed 16 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza

Predictions

1.12 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Sport Lisboa e Benfica 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

AC Milan30% Draw27% Sport Lisboa e Benfica43%

Both Teams to Score

Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.83

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
56%
Draw or Sport Lisboa e Benfica
70%
AC Milan or Sport Lisboa e Benfica
73%

Half-Time Result

AC Milan19% Draw45% Sport Lisboa e Benfica36%

Correct Score

1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 22% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
19%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.