AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

AC Milan

1 – 2

Full Time

Cagliari Calcio

Sun 24 May 2026 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Alexis Saelemaekers 2' 1–0

1–1 20' Gennaro Borrelli

1–2 57' Juan Martin Rodriguez

Y 2' Ze Pedro Figueiredo

Strahinja Pavlovic 56' Y

Mike Maignan 58' Y

Y 90' Ibrahim Sulemana

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Cagliari Calcio 38 games · 43 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Marco Guida
Assistant 1 Fabiano Preti
Assistant 2 Filippo Bercigli

13 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 3.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

AC Milan 22 games · Avg 3.1 goals Cagliari Calcio

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-24 AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari Calcio 2026-01-02 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 AC Milan 2025-01-11 AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari Calcio 2024-11-09 Cagliari Calcio 3–3 AC Milan 2024-05-11 AC Milan 5–1 Cagliari Calcio

Recent Form

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 May	Cagliari Calcio	H	1–2	L
17 May	Genoa CFC	A	2–1	W
10 May	Atalanta BC	H	2–3	L
03 May	US Sassuolo Calcio	A	0–2	L
26 Apr	Juventus FC	H	0–0	D
19 Apr	Hellas Verona FC	A	1–0	W

Cagliari Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 May	AC Milan	A	2–1	W
17 May	Torino FC	H	2–1	W
09 May	Udinese Calcio	H	0–2	L
03 May	Bologna FC 1909	A	0–0	D
27 Apr	Atalanta BC	H	3–2	W
17 Apr	FC Internazionale Milano	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

AC Milan		Cagliari Calcio
#5	Position	#14
70	Points	43
38	Played	38
20 / 10 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 10 / 17
53	Scored	40
35	Conceded	53
+18	GD	-13
1.84	PPG	1.13
53%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between AC Milan and Cagliari Calcio is underway.
2' Alexis Saelemaekers puts AC Milan on the lead.
2' It’s a booking for Cagliari Calcio player. Ze Pedro Figueiredo gets a card.
7' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
12' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
17' Youssouf Fofana needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 32 Yellow cards this season.
20' What a strike from Gennaro Borrelli! The score is 1-1.
25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cagliari Calcio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
30' Cagliari Calcio started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gianluca Gaetano made 508 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
45' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
50' The travelling Cagliari Calcio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
55' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Matteo Gabbia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
56' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
57' Goal! Juan Martin Rodriguez scores his 1 goal in 12 matches.
58' It’s gonna be a card for Mike Maignan.
59' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 59.
64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cagliari Calcio that had 418 games and scored 284 goals.
69' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 69 minutes.
74' Supporters expect more eagerness from Michel Adopo, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
79' Cagliari Calcio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
84' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
89' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alessandro Deiola suffering a number of foals already.
90' Cagliari Calcio player sees a card in front of him.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Massimiliano Allegri

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Fabio Pisacane

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rafael Leao	4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	4
Ismael Bennacer	3
Christian Pulisic	2
Olivier Giroud	2
Gabriele Zappa	2
Nadir Zortea	2
Gennaro Borrelli	1

Head to Head

AC Milan Form

2026-05-24 AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari Calcio L 2026-05-17 Genoa CFC 1–2 AC Milan W 2026-05-10 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta BC L 2026-05-03 US Sassuolo Calcio 2–0 AC Milan L 2026-04-26 AC Milan 0–0 Juventus FC D 2026-04-19 Hellas Verona FC 0–1 AC Milan W

Cagliari Calcio Form

2026-05-24 AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari Calcio W 2026-05-17 Cagliari Calcio 2–1 Torino FC W 2026-05-09 Cagliari Calcio 0–2 Udinese Calcio L 2026-05-03 Bologna FC 1909 0–0 Cagliari Calcio D 2026-04-27 Cagliari Calcio 3–2 Atalanta BC W 2026-04-17 FC Internazionale Milano 3–0 Cagliari Calcio L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.72 AC Milan xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.11 Cagliari Calcio xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

AC Milan47% Draw27% Cagliari Calcio26%

Actual: Cagliari Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.83

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw

74%

Draw or Cagliari Calcio

53%

AC Milan or Cagliari Calcio

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

AC Milan36% Draw45% Cagliari Calcio19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.1%

2 – 1

9.3%

1 – 0

9.3%

2 – 0

8.6%

0 – 0

7.7%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

5.6%

3 – 1

5.4%

2 – 2

5.2%

3 – 0

4.8%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap	AC Milan covers	Push	Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	22%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.