Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 25 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 26 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 26 | 54 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 26 | 53 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 26 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 26 | 45 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 26 | 43 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 26 | 42 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 26 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 25 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 25 | 35 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 25 | 33 |
| 11 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 26 | 32 |
| 12 | Santos FC | 25 | 32 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 26 | 32 |
| 14 | Botafogo FR | 25 | 31 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 25 | 28 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 26 | 28 |
| 17 | SC Internacional | 26 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 25 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 26 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 25 | 17 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Coritiba FBC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | CA Paranaense | A | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Aug | Clube do Remo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #4 |
| 33 | Points | 45 |
| 25 | Played | 26 |
| 9 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 12 / 9 / 5 |
| 31 | Scored | 40 |
| 28 | Conceded | 32 |
| +3 | GD | +8 |
| 1.32 | PPG | 1.73 |
| 36% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Sao Paulo FC are 10th (33 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/3
76+
11/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 5 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Robert Arboleda | 2 |
| John Kennedy | 2 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
1.54
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Sao Paulo FC or Fluminense FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Fluminense FC
62%
Sao Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
73%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 18% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

