Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- St. Louis City 28 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 63 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 28 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 48 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 28 | 46 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 28 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 36 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 28 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 32 |
| 12 | D.C. United SC | 27 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 28 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 28 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 28 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 28 | 51 |
| 17 | St. Louis City | 28 | 50 |
| 18 | FC Dallas | 28 | 47 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 46 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 45 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 42 |
| 22 | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 41 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids SC | 28 | 37 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 36 |
| 25 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 33 |
| 26 | San Diego FC | 28 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 28 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 28 | 30 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep | St. Louis City | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Sep | Minnesota United FC | H | 5–4 | W |
| 30 Aug | Austin FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | Los Angeles FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Aug | San Diego FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Sep | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | FC Dallas | H | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Aug | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| #25 | Position | #17 |
| 33 | Points | 50 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 9 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 14 / 8 / 6 |
| 51 | Scored | 54 |
| 54 | Conceded | 38 |
| -3 | GD | +16 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 32% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
86%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
4%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
14%
Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season
St. Louis City this season
Portland Timbers are 25th (33 pts). St. Louis City are 17th (50 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
5/9
16-30
7/9
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/4
61-75
8/2
76+
10/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Louis City
0-15
7/3
16-30
8/2
31-45
11/4
46-60
9/5
61-75
6/6
76+
8/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
| Kristoffer Velde | 8 G | 5 A |
St. Louis City
| Rafael Navarro | 16 G | 5 A |
| Simon Becher | 9 G | 4 A |
| Marcel Hartel | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Providence Park!
- 1' St. Louis City is taking the lead after the goal scored by Rafael Navarro on 1.
- 6' Portland Timbers have won 487 goals from 301 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 11' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 16' It looks like no one’s ball. Portland Timbers is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 18' The supporters are chanting for Diego Chara. He replaces David Pereira da Costa on 18 minute.
- 23' St. Louis City has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 31' That is a card for St. Louis City. Dante Polvara will be fuming at that decision.
- 32' A stunning finish from Kristoffer Velde — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 36' Jaziel Orozco catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 36.
- 41' A quiet spell here at Providence Park. Portland Timbers seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' Poor challenge from Tomas Totland. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' The whistle greets Jaziel Orozco as he departs to be replaced by Lukas MacNaughton.
- 51' What a moment for Rafael Navarro! That strike on 51 puts his side firmly in control.
- 56' St. Louis City is showing some good football. However, St. Louis City are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 58' It’s a booking for Portland Timbers player. Eric Miller gets a card.
- 63' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 65' Dante Polvara makes way for Fallou Fall at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from St. Louis City.
- 67' That looks like a foul for a card for Rafael Navarro.
- 72' Fallou Fall, a Senegal , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 77' It looks surprising Portland Timbers does not make any changes. Tomas Totland has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 80' The St. Louis City bench stirs into life. Kamal Miller is withdrawn and Mykhi Joyner gets his opportunity.
- 81' Ian Smith gets the nod from Portland Timbers. He replaces Alexandru Matan and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering St. Louis City that had 129 games and scored 207 goals.
- 89' The Norway Kristoffer Velde breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 2-2!
- 90' Gage Guerra is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafael Navarro at the 90 minute mark.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 14
- 17
- 41
- 15
- 4
- 7
- 99
- 10
- 20
- 27
- 80
Bench
-
21
Diego Chara ↑ 18'
-
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 81'
- 2
- 26
- 11
- 6
- 23
- 88
Coach
Phil Neville
St. Louis City Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1
- 32
- 23
- 8
- 20
- 9
- 24
- 99
-
21
Dante Polvara ↓ Fallou Fall 65'
-
77
Sang-bin Jeong ↓ Simon Becher 65'
- 14
Bench
- 19
- 7
-
5
Lukas MacNaughton ↑ 46'
-
11
Simon Becher ↑ 65'
- 42
- 39
- 28
-
27
Fallou Fall ↑ 65'
- 59
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 2 |
| Kristoffer Velde | 2 |
| Rafael Navarro | 2 |
| Marcel Hartel | 2 |
| Felipe Mora | 2 |
| Cedric Teuchert | 1 |
| Zac McGraw | 1 |
| Eduard Lowen | 1 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
St. Louis City Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.89
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2
St. Louis City xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or St. Louis City 76% + Over 2.5 goals 76%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.09
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
59%
Draw or St. Louis City
65%
Portland Timbers or St. Louis City
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
4%
0 – 1
3.3%
3 – 3
3.2%
2 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | St. Louis City covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 16% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 18% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

