Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 1 Sep 2024 · 21:30 UTC Maracana 45,759 HT 45' · FT 45'
Elias Kaua 31' 1–0
Keno 90+2' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FCSerie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W
25 Aug CA Mineiro A 2–0 W
20 Aug Gremio FBPA H 6–3 W
18 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
13 Aug Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
11 Aug CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–2 L
25 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–1 W
22 Aug Club Nacional de Football H 2–0 W
18 Aug SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
15 Aug Club Nacional de Football A 0–0 D
11 Aug AC Goianiense H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Fluminense FC Sao Paulo FC
#4 Position #12
38 Points 27
23 Played 22
10 / 8 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 6 / 9
34 Scored 27
28 Conceded 26
+6 GD +1
1.65 PPG 1.23
43% Win % 32%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A
Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Maracana!
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Facundo Bernal, as he is very good at scoring at Maracana with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' Brazil international Ganso has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 31' Elias Kaua adds to his 0 season tally! Fluminense FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 35' Rafinha has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 35.
  • 38' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 42' It’s gonna be a card for Damian Bobadilla.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Rafinha as he leaves the pitch. Nahuel Ferraresi steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 50' It’s a booking for Fluminense FC player. Thiago Santos gets a card.
  • 55' Fluminense FC currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 58' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 63' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fluminense FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 64' Marcelo makes way for Guga at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 69' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Keno. He replaces Kevin Serna on 79 minute.
  • 80' Controversy at the stadium! Guga argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 85' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 85 minute. Facundo Bernal leaves to be changed by Felipe Melo.
  • 86' That is a card for Fluminense FC. Thiago Silva will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Welington. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • It finishes all square. Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC share the spoils 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.73 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC55% Draw25% Sao Paulo FC20%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
45%
Fluminense FC or Sao Paulo FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC39% Draw46% Sao Paulo FC15%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
11.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
9.1%
3 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.