Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 1 Sep 2024 · 21:30 UTC Maracana 45,759 HT 45' · FT 45'
Elias Kaua 31' 1–0
Keno 90+2' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FCSerie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W
25 Aug CA Mineiro A 2–0 W
20 Aug Grêmio FBPA H 6–3 W
18 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
13 Aug Grêmio FBPA A 1–2 L
11 Aug CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–2 L
25 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–1 W
22 Aug Club Nacional de Football H 2–0 W
18 Aug SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
15 Aug Club Nacional de Football A 0–0 D
11 Aug AC Goianiense H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Fluminense FC Sao Paulo FC
#3 Position #8
31 Points 25
18 Played 18
9 / 4 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 7
28 Scored 23
23 Conceded 20
+5 GD +3
1.72 PPG 1.39
50% Win % 39%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A
Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC is underway.
  • 5' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Fluminense FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 15' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Wellington Rato has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 30' Sao Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 31' A stunning finish from Elias Kaua — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 35' Rafinha picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 38' Jonathan Calleri was booked on 38.
  • 42' Damian Bobadilla is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
  • 46' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Rafinha has done his job and it is now time for Nahuel Ferraresi to step up.
  • 50' That is a card for Fluminense FC. Thiago Santos will be fuming at that decision.
  • 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 58' The referee has no hesitation. Facundo Bernal is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 58.
  • 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 386 games and scored 415 goals.
  • 64' Marcelo makes way for Guga at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 69' The 38-year-old Marcelo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 74' With 1 assists to his name this season, Samuel Xavier is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 79' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Keno comes on to replace Kevin Serna.
  • 80' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Facundo Bernal is replaced by Felipe Melo on 85 minute.
  • 86' Controversy at the stadium! Thiago Silva argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Welington on 90 minutes.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Fluminense FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.7 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC54% Draw26% Sao Paulo FC20%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
46%
Fluminense FC or Sao Paulo FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC38% Draw46% Sao Paulo FC16%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 24% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.