Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Grêmio FBPA | H | 6–3 | W |
| 18 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Aug | Grêmio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | Fluminense FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Club Nacional de Football | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | Club Nacional de Football | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Aug | AC Goianiense | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #8 |
| 31 | Points | 25 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 9 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 28 | Scored | 23 |
| 23 | Conceded | 20 |
| +5 | GD | +3 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 50% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC is underway.
- 5' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Fluminense FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 15' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' Wellington Rato has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Sao Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 31' A stunning finish from Elias Kaua — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 35' Rafinha picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 38' Jonathan Calleri was booked on 38.
- 42' Damian Bobadilla is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
- 46' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Rafinha has done his job and it is now time for Nahuel Ferraresi to step up.
- 50' That is a card for Fluminense FC. Thiago Santos will be fuming at that decision.
- 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 58' The referee has no hesitation. Facundo Bernal is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 58.
- 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 386 games and scored 415 goals.
- 64' Marcelo makes way for Guga at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
- 69' The 38-year-old Marcelo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 74' With 1 assists to his name this season, Samuel Xavier is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
- 79' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Keno comes on to replace Kevin Serna.
- 80' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 85' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Facundo Bernal is replaced by Felipe Melo on 85 minute.
- 86' Controversy at the stadium! Thiago Silva argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Welington on 90 minutes.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Fluminense FC take all three points.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 29
- 3
-
10
Ganso ↓ John Kennedy 85'
- 12
- 16
- 21
-
19
Elias Kaua ↓ Lima 64'
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Keno 79'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↓ Felipe Melo 85'
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 25
-
30
Felipe Melo ↑ 85'
-
23
Guga ↑ 64'
-
11
Keno ↑ 79'
- 20
-
9
John Kennedy ↑ 85'
- 77
-
45
Lima ↑ 64'
- 53
- 15
Coach
Mano Menezes
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Erick 79'
- 16
-
13
Rafinha ↓ Nahuel Ferraresi 46'
-
9
Jonathan Calleri ↓ Andre Silva 85'
- 35
- 6
-
27
Wellington Rato ↓ Luciano 46'
- 39
- 23
- 21
Bench
-
33
Erick ↑ 79'
-
10
Luciano ↑ 46'
- 93
- 26
-
20
Marcos Antonio ↑ 46'
- 28
-
17
Andre Silva ↑ 85'
-
32
Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 46'
- 11
- 22
- 18
- 37
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Patrick | 2 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Robert Arboleda | 2 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.7
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
46%
Fluminense FC or Sao Paulo FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 24% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

