Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 6–3 | W |
| 18 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | Fluminense FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Club Nacional de Football | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | Club Nacional de Football | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Aug | AC Goianiense | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 38 | Points | 27 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 10 / 8 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 6 / 9 |
| 34 | Scored | 27 |
| 28 | Conceded | 26 |
| +6 | GD | +1 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 43% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Maracana!
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Facundo Bernal, as he is very good at scoring at Maracana with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' Brazil international Ganso has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 31' Elias Kaua adds to his 0 season tally! Fluminense FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 35' Rafinha has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 35.
- 38' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 42' It’s gonna be a card for Damian Bobadilla.
- 46' The crowd applauds Rafinha as he leaves the pitch. Nahuel Ferraresi steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
- 50' It’s a booking for Fluminense FC player. Thiago Santos gets a card.
- 55' Fluminense FC currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 58' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 63' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fluminense FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 64' Marcelo makes way for Guga at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
- 69' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 79' The supporters are chanting for Keno. He replaces Kevin Serna on 79 minute.
- 80' Controversy at the stadium! Guga argues furiously but the card stands.
- 85' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 85 minute. Facundo Bernal leaves to be changed by Felipe Melo.
- 86' That is a card for Fluminense FC. Thiago Silva will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Poor challenge from Welington. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- It finishes all square. Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC share the spoils 2-0.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 29
- 3
-
10
Ganso ↓ John Kennedy 85'
- 12
- 16
- 21
-
19
Elias Kaua ↓ Lima 64'
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Keno 79'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↓ Felipe Melo 85'
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 25
-
30
Felipe Melo ↑ 85'
-
23
Guga ↑ 64'
-
11
Keno ↑ 79'
- 20
-
9
John Kennedy ↑ 85'
- 77
-
45
Lima ↑ 64'
- 53
- 15
Coach
Mano Menezes
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Erick 79'
- 16
-
13
Rafinha ↓ Nahuel Ferraresi 46'
-
9
Jonathan Calleri ↓ Andre Silva 85'
- 35
- 6
-
27
Wellington Rato ↓ Luciano 46'
- 39
- 23
- 21
Bench
-
33
Erick ↑ 79'
-
10
Luciano ↑ 46'
- 93
- 26
-
20
Marcos Antonio ↑ 46'
- 28
-
17
Andre Silva ↑ 85'
-
32
Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 46'
- 11
- 22
- 18
- 37
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Robert Arboleda | 2 |
| John Kennedy | 2 |
| Patrick | 2 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.73
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
45%
Fluminense FC or Sao Paulo FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
9%
3 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 24% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

