Saturday , 17 October 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 5 Sep 2026 · 21:30 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Luciano 67' 1–0
Iago Borduchi 69' 2–0
Djhordney 90' Y
Y 90' Tomas Cuello

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
29 Aug RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
23 Aug Chapecoense AF A 0–1 L
16 Aug Coritiba FBC H 1–1 D
08 Aug Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
26 Jul CR Flamengo A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 0–2 L
29 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–1 W
22 Aug SC Internacional A 0–0 D
16 Aug Gremio FBPA H 3–0 W
08 Aug Clube do Remo A 2–2 D
26 Jul SE Palmeiras A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC CA Mineiro
#10 Position #7
39 Points 47
30 Played 30
11 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 9
35 Scored 41
35 Conceded 35
+0 GD +6
1.30 PPG 1.57
37% Win % 43%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Sao Paulo FC are 10th (39 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
6/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/4
16-30
8/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 1 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for São Paulo FC to score. At the same time, CA Mineiro does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' CA Mineiro started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Kevin Castano has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 483 games and scored 487 goals.
  • 25' São Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' CA Mineiro has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 33' Against the run of play, Gustavo Santana has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 38' CA Mineiro is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 43' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Kevin Castano is replaced by Vitor Hugo on 46 minute.
  • 51' Bernard has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 324 appearances.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fred suffering a number of foals already.
  • 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 63' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Pablo Maia comes on to replace Danielzinho.
  • 64' Iago Borduchi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wendell at the 64 minute mark.
  • 67' Against the run of play, Luciano has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 69' What a moment for Iago Borduchi! That strike on 69 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 70' Alan Minda is replacing Alexsander Gomes for the CA Mineiro side.
  • 75' Renan Lodi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for São Paulo FC so far.
  • 80' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Artur Guimaraes is replaced by Djhordney.
  • 81' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Victor Hugo Gomes is replaced by Gustavo Scarpa on 81 minute.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Luciano is replaced by Andre Silva on 85 minute.
  • 90' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Djhordney will be fuming at that decision.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.31 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC46% Draw29% CA Mineiro25%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
75%
Draw or CA Mineiro
54%
Sao Paulo FC or CA Mineiro
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC30% Draw52% CA Mineiro18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
13.1%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.