Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 6–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Nov | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Ceará SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–6 | L |
| 23 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #8 |
| 31 | Points | 25 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 9 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 28 | Scored | 23 |
| 23 | Conceded | 20 |
| +5 | GD | +3 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 50% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Maracana. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 9' Agustin Canobbio has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 9 minutes.
- 14' Hercules is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
- 16' Against the run of play, Martinelli has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 21' Sao Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 23' The crowd applauds Hercules as he leaves the pitch. Nonato steps in for Fluminense FC.
- 24' What a strike from Nonato! The score is 3-0.
- 29' Nicolas needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 34' Fluminense FC have won 415 goals from 386 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 39' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 44' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
- 46' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Maik is replaced by Nicolas on 46 minute.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Samuel Xavier made 238 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 61' John Kennedy is ready to make an impact after coming on for Everaldo at the 61 minute mark.
- 62' Ignacio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thiago Silva on 62 minute.
- 67' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Kevin Serna has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 69' John Kennedy adds to his 6 season tally! Fluminense FC lead 4-0 — and this changes everything.
- 71' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Felipe Negrucci on, Damian Bobadilla off on 71 minutes.
- 72' Controversy at the stadium! Agustin Canobbio argues furiously but the card stands.
- 77' Agustin Canobbio doubles the advantage! 5-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 78' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Luciano Acosta departs to be replaced by Ganso.
- 79' Lucca Marques makes way for Paulo Sergio at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
- 84' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 87' Brilliant from the ! Kevin Serna makes it 6-0 with a superb finish on 87.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Fluminense FC 6-0 Sao Paulo FC.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
-
3
Thiago Silva ↓ Ignacio 62'
-
32
Luciano Acosta ↓ Ganso 78'
- 22
-
9
Everaldo ↓ John Kennedy 61'
- 35
- 8
- 17
- 90
Bench
- 29
- 23
-
10
Ganso ↑ 78'
-
16
Nonato ↑ 23'
- 11
-
4
Ignacio ↑ 62'
-
7
Yeferson Soteldo ↑ 79'
- 27
-
99
John Kennedy ↑ 61'
- 45
- 5
- 28
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 77
- 20
- 28
- 32
-
29
Pablo Maia ↓ Alisson 46'
- 50
- 21
- 42
-
14
Gonzalo Tapia ↓ Rafael Toloi 46'
-
45
Lucca Marques ↓ Paulo Sergio 79'
Bench
-
25
Alisson ↑ 46'
- 6
-
2
Rafael Toloi ↑ 46'
- 36
- 22
- 12
-
43
Felipe Negrucci ↑ 71'
- 52
-
56
Nicolas ↑ 46'
-
39
Paulo Sergio ↑ 79'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| John Kennedy | 2 |
| Patrick | 2 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.34
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Fluminense FC to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
36%
Fluminense FC or Sao Paulo FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–0 not predicted6 – 0Actual
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 22% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

