Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 6–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Nov | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Ceará SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–6 | L |
| 23 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 38 | Points | 27 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 10 / 8 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 6 / 9 |
| 34 | Scored | 27 |
| 28 | Conceded | 26 |
| +6 | GD | +1 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 43% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Sao Paulo FC gets underway.
- 5' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 9' Agustin Canobbio is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 14' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Thiago Silva has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 16' Martinelli has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 16 minutes.
- 21' Over 21 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 23' Hercules makes way for Nonato at the 23 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
- 24' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nonato makes it 3-0.
- 29' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
- 34' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 44' Maik has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 46' Nicolas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maik on 46 minute.
- 51' The 19-year-old Lucca Marques has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 61' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Everaldo is replaced by John Kennedy.
- 62' Ignacio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thiago Silva at the 62 minute mark.
- 67' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 69' John Kennedy is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 6 goals this season for the .
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Felipe Negrucci. He replaces Damian Bobadilla on 71 minute.
- 72' Agustin Canobbio picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 77' Agustin Canobbio makes no mistake. The score reads 5-0 and Fluminense FC are in front.
- 78' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 78 minute. Luciano Acosta leaves to be changed by Ganso.
- 79' The whistle greets Lucca Marques as he departs to be replaced by Paulo Sergio.
- 84' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 87' A stunning finish from Kevin Serna — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- Full Time. Fluminense FC beats Sao Paulo FC
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
-
3
Thiago Silva ↓ Ignacio 62'
-
32
Luciano Acosta ↓ Ganso 78'
- 22
-
9
Everaldo ↓ John Kennedy 61'
- 35
- 8
- 17
- 90
Bench
- 29
- 23
-
10
Ganso ↑ 78'
-
16
Nonato ↑ 23'
- 11
-
4
Ignacio ↑ 62'
-
7
Yeferson Soteldo ↑ 79'
- 27
-
99
John Kennedy ↑ 61'
- 45
- 5
- 28
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 77
- 20
- 28
- 32
-
29
Pablo Maia ↓ Alisson 46'
- 50
- 21
- 42
-
14
Gonzalo Tapia ↓ Rafael Toloi 46'
-
45
Lucca Marques ↓ Paulo Sergio 79'
Bench
-
25
Alisson ↑ 46'
- 6
-
2
Rafael Toloi ↑ 46'
- 36
- 22
- 12
-
43
Felipe Negrucci ↑ 71'
- 52
-
56
Nicolas ↑ 46'
-
39
Paulo Sergio ↑ 79'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Patrick | 2 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Robert Arboleda | 2 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.38
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Fluminense FC to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
35%
Fluminense FC or Sao Paulo FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–0 not predicted6 – 0Actual
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
5.1%
4 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 22% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

