Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 27 Nov 2025 · 23:30 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FCSerie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 6–0 W
23 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
20 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
09 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D
06 Nov Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
02 Nov Ceará SC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Nov Fluminense FC A 0–6 L
23 Nov EC Juventude H 2–1 W
20 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–3 L
09 Nov RB Bragantino H 0–1 L
06 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–2 D
02 Nov CR Vasco da Gama A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Fluminense FC Sao Paulo FC
#4 Position #12
38 Points 27
23 Played 22
10 / 8 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 6 / 9
34 Scored 27
28 Conceded 26
+6 GD +1
1.65 PPG 1.23
43% Win % 32%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A
Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Sao Paulo FC gets underway.
  • 5' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 9' Agustin Canobbio is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 14' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Thiago Silva has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 16' Martinelli has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 16 minutes.
  • 21' Over 21 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 23' Hercules makes way for Nonato at the 23 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 24' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nonato makes it 3-0.
  • 29' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
  • 34' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 44' Maik has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 46' Nicolas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maik on 46 minute.
  • 51' The 19-year-old Lucca Marques has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 61' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Everaldo is replaced by John Kennedy.
  • 62' Ignacio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thiago Silva at the 62 minute mark.
  • 67' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 69' John Kennedy is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 6 goals this season for the .
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Felipe Negrucci. He replaces Damian Bobadilla on 71 minute.
  • 72' Agustin Canobbio picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 77' Agustin Canobbio makes no mistake. The score reads 5-0 and Fluminense FC are in front.
  • 78' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 78 minute. Luciano Acosta leaves to be changed by Ganso.
  • 79' The whistle greets Lucca Marques as he departs to be replaced by Paulo Sergio.
  • 84' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 87' A stunning finish from Kevin Serna — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • Full Time. Fluminense FC beats Sao Paulo FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.38 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Fluminense FC to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC65% Draw20% Sao Paulo FC15%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
35%
Fluminense FC or Sao Paulo FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC50% Draw38% Sao Paulo FC12%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–0 not predicted
6 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
5.1%
4 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 26% 74%
-2 26% 20% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 22% 32%
-0.5 68% 32%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.