Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 27 Nov 2025 · 23:30 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FCSerie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 6–0 W
23 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
20 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
09 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D
06 Nov Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
02 Nov Ceará SC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Nov Fluminense FC A 0–6 L
23 Nov EC Juventude H 2–1 W
20 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–3 L
09 Nov RB Bragantino H 0–1 L
06 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–2 D
02 Nov CR Vasco da Gama A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Fluminense FC Sao Paulo FC
#3 Position #8
31 Points 25
18 Played 18
9 / 4 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 7
28 Scored 23
23 Conceded 20
+5 GD +3
1.72 PPG 1.39
50% Win % 39%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A
Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Maracana. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 9' Agustin Canobbio has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 9 minutes.
  • 14' Hercules is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
  • 16' Against the run of play, Martinelli has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 21' Sao Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 23' The crowd applauds Hercules as he leaves the pitch. Nonato steps in for Fluminense FC.
  • 24' What a strike from Nonato! The score is 3-0.
  • 29' Nicolas needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 34' Fluminense FC have won 415 goals from 386 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 39' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 44' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Maik is replaced by Nicolas on 46 minute.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Samuel Xavier made 238 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 61' John Kennedy is ready to make an impact after coming on for Everaldo at the 61 minute mark.
  • 62' Ignacio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thiago Silva on 62 minute.
  • 67' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Kevin Serna has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 69' John Kennedy adds to his 6 season tally! Fluminense FC lead 4-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FCFelipe Negrucci on, Damian Bobadilla off on 71 minutes.
  • 72' Controversy at the stadium! Agustin Canobbio argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 77' Agustin Canobbio doubles the advantage! 5-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 78' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Luciano Acosta departs to be replaced by Ganso.
  • 79' Lucca Marques makes way for Paulo Sergio at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 84' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 87' Brilliant from the ! Kevin Serna makes it 6-0 with a superb finish on 87.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Fluminense FC 6-0 Sao Paulo FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.34 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Fluminense FC to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC64% Draw20% Sao Paulo FC16%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
36%
Fluminense FC or Sao Paulo FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC49% Draw39% Sao Paulo FC12%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–0 not predicted
6 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 20% 55%
-1.5 45% 55%
-1 45% 22% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.