Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Sao Paulo FC
3 – 1
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sun 27 Jul 2025 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 40' Martinelli
Y 45' Lima
Ferreira 54' Y
Y 56' Facundo Bernal
Enzo Diaz 63' Y
Alan Franco 86' Y
Y 87' Juan Freytes

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

6
6
8
Sao Paulo FC 20 games · Avg 2.8 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-27 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC 2024-09-01 Fluminense FC 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-05-13 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Fluminense FC 2023-11-23 Fluminense FC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2023-07-01 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul Fluminense FC H 3–1 W
24 Jul EC Juventude A 1–0 W
20 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
17 Jul RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
12 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
13 Jun CR Vasco da Gama H 1–3 L
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 1–3 L
23 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
20 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
17 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
08 Jul Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
04 Jul Al Hilal H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC Fluminense FC
#8 Position #3
25 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 4 / 5
23 Scored 28
20 Conceded 23
+3 GD +5
1.39 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 50%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Sao Paulo FC get us underway at Morumbi.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yeferson Soteldo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 24' Brilliant from the ! Robert Arboleda makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 24.
  • 29' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 34' Sao Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
  • 39' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
  • 40' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lima.
  • 46' Fluminense FC ring the changes. John Kennedy has done his job and it is now time for Yeferson Soteldo to step up.
  • 51' It’s high time Renato Gaucho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 54' The referee has no hesitation. Ferreira is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 54.
  • 56' Facundo Bernal picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 59' Ferreira does the damage! The net is bulging and Sao Paulo FC surge ahead!
  • 63' It’s gonna be a card for Enzo Diaz.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Wendell comes on to replace Enzo Diaz.
  • 69' Andre Silva gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Ferreira and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Lima departs to be replaced by Ganso.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Gonzalo Tapia comes on to replace Luciano.
  • 77' Samuel Xavier is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 82' Juan Freytes has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 86' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 86.
  • 86' Jose Sabino is replacing Alan Franco for the Sao Paulo FC side.
  • 87' The referee calls foul for Juan Freytes. He receives a card.
  • Sao Paulo FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
German Cano 4
Agustin Canobbio 3
Reinaldo 3
Brenner 3
John Kennedy 2
Patrick 2
Luciano Neves 2
Luciano 2

Head to Head

2025-07-27 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC 2024-09-01 Fluminense FC 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-05-13 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Fluminense FC 2023-11-23 Fluminense FC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2023-07-01 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Fluminense FC

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-07-27 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC W 2025-07-24 EC Juventude 0–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-07-20 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W 2025-07-17 RB Bragantino 2–2 Sao Paulo FC D 2025-07-12 CR Flamengo 2–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-06-13 Sao Paulo FC 1–3 CR Vasco da Gama L

Fluminense FC Form

2025-07-27 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC L 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras L 2025-07-20 CR Flamengo 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2025-07-17 Fluminense FC 0–2 Cruzeiro EC L 2025-07-08 Fluminense FC 0–2 Chelsea FC L 2025-07-04 Fluminense FC 2–1 Al Hilal W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC53% Draw25% Fluminense FC22%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Fluminense FC
47%
Sao Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC35% Draw46% Fluminense FC19%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.