Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Sao Paulo FC
3 – 1
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sun 27 Jul 2025 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 40' Martinelli
Y 45' Lima
Ferreira 54' Y
Y 56' Facundo Bernal
Enzo Diaz 63' Y
Alan Franco 86' Y
Y 87' Juan Freytes

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 22 33
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 21 10

Head-to-Head

6
6
8
Sao Paulo FC 20 games · Avg 2.8 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-27 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC 2024-09-01 Fluminense FC 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-05-13 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Fluminense FC 2023-11-23 Fluminense FC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2023-07-01 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul Fluminense FC H 3–1 W
24 Jul EC Juventude A 1–0 W
20 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
17 Jul RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
12 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
13 Jun CR Vasco da Gama H 1–3 L
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 1–3 L
23 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
20 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
17 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
08 Jul Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
04 Jul Al Hilal H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC Fluminense FC
#12 Position #4
27 Points 38
22 Played 23
7 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 5
27 Scored 34
26 Conceded 28
+1 GD +6
1.23 PPG 1.65
32% Win % 43%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Sao Paulo FC welcome Fluminense FC for this crunch clash at Morumbi.
  • 5' Fabio is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sao Paulo FC so far.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 389 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rafael Monteiro, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 24' Brilliant from the ! Robert Arboleda makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 24.
  • 29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
  • 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 39' Over 39 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 40' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Martinelli on 40 minutes.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Lima on 45 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
  • 46' Yeferson Soteldo is ready to make an impact after coming on for John Kennedy at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' The 41-year-old Thiago Silva has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 54' The referee calls foul for Ferreira. He receives a card.
  • 56' Controversy at the stadium! Facundo Bernal argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 59' Ferreira doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Enzo Diaz on 63.
  • 68' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Enzo Diaz is replaced by Wendell.
  • 69' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Ferreira is replaced by Andre Silva.
  • 71' Fluminense FC make a change. Lima trudges off to be replaced by Ganso on 71 minutes.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Luciano as he leaves the pitch. Gonzalo Tapia steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 77' What a moment for Samuel Xavier! That strike on 77 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 82' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 86' Alan Franco picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Jose Sabino comes on to replace Alan Franco.
  • 87' The referee has no hesitation. Juan Freytes is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 87.
  • It finishes all square. Sao Paulo FC and Fluminense FC share the spoils 3-1.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
German Cano 4
Brenner 3
Agustin Canobbio 3
Reinaldo 3
Patrick 2
Luciano Neves 2
Luciano 2
Robert Arboleda 2

Head to Head

2025-07-27 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC 2024-09-01 Fluminense FC 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-05-13 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Fluminense FC 2023-11-23 Fluminense FC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2023-07-01 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Fluminense FC

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-07-27 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC W 2025-07-24 EC Juventude 0–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-07-20 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W 2025-07-17 RB Bragantino 2–2 Sao Paulo FC D 2025-07-12 CR Flamengo 2–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-06-13 Sao Paulo FC 1–3 CR Vasco da Gama L

Fluminense FC Form

2025-07-27 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC L 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras L 2025-07-20 CR Flamengo 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2025-07-17 Fluminense FC 0–2 Cruzeiro EC L 2025-07-08 Fluminense FC 0–2 Chelsea FC L 2025-07-04 Fluminense FC 2–1 Al Hilal W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC52% Draw25% Fluminense FC23%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Fluminense FC
48%
Sao Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC34% Draw46% Fluminense FC20%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.