Saturday , 4 July 2026

Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
Fluminense FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Sat 16 May 2026 · 22:00 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'
John Kennedy 19' 1–0
Agustin Canobbio 44' 2–0
2–1 79' Matheus Doria
Y 30' Andre Silva
Y 67' Artur Guimaraes
Y 76' Enzo Diaz
Facundo Bernal 86' Y
Y 90' Damian Bobadilla

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Maracana.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

8
6
6
Fluminense FC 20 games · Avg 2.8 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-16 Fluminense FC 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-07-27 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC 2024-09-01 Fluminense FC 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-05-13 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
09 May EC Vitoria H 2–2 D
03 May SC Internacional A 0–2 L
26 Apr Chapecoense AF H 2–1 W
19 Apr Santos FC A 3–2 W
12 Apr CR Flamengo H 1–2 L
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
10 May SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–3 L
03 May EC Bahia H 2–2 D
26 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
11 Apr EC Vitoria A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Fluminense FC Sao Paulo FC
#3 Position #8
31 Points 25
18 Played 18
9 / 4 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 7
28 Scored 23
23 Conceded 20
+5 GD +3
1.72 PPG 1.39
50% Win % 39%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A
Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC is underway.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Juan Freytes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 16 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 19' John Kennedy puts Fluminense FC on the lead.
  • 20' GOAL! John Kennedy scores on 20.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' That looks like a foul for a card for Andre Silva.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cauly, as he is very good at scoring at Maracana with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Fluminense FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 44' What a strike from Agustin Canobbio! The score is 3-0.
  • 45' GOAL! Agustin Canobbio scores on 45.
  • 50' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Luciano Acosta has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 386 games and scored 415 goals.
  • 65' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 67' It’s gonna be a card for Artur Guimaraes.
  • 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Damian Bobadilla suffering a number of foals already.
  • 76' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 79' Goal! Matheus Doria scores his 1 goal in 371 matches.
  • 84' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 84.
  • 86' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Damian Bobadilla.
  • With this win, Fluminense FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Roger Machado

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
German Cano 4
Brenner 3
Agustin Canobbio 3
Reinaldo 3
Patrick 2
Luciano Neves 2
Luciano 2
Robert Arboleda 2

Head to Head

2026-05-16 Fluminense FC 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-07-27 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC 2024-09-01 Fluminense FC 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-05-13 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Fluminense FC

Fluminense FC Form

2026-05-16 Fluminense FC 2–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2026-05-09 Fluminense FC 2–2 EC Vitoria D 2026-05-03 SC Internacional 2–0 Fluminense FC L 2026-04-26 Fluminense FC 2–1 Chapecoense AF W 2026-04-19 Santos FC 2–3 Fluminense FC W 2026-04-12 Fluminense FC 1–2 CR Flamengo L

Sao Paulo FC Form

2026-05-16 Fluminense FC 2–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2026-05-10 SC Corinthians Paulista 3–2 Sao Paulo FC L 2026-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 EC Bahia D 2026-04-26 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Mirassol FC W 2026-04-18 CR Vasco da Gama 2–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2026-04-11 EC Vitoria 2–0 Sao Paulo FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.89 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC53% Draw24% Sao Paulo FC23%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
47%
Fluminense FC or Sao Paulo FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC37% Draw43% Sao Paulo FC20%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 21% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.