Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 May | CD Cobresal | A | 3–1 | W |
| 05 May | EC Vitoria | A | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Barcelona SC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | AC Goianiense | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | CSD Colo-Colo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | CA Mineiro | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Apr | Club Cerro Porteno | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #3 |
| 25 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 9 / 4 / 5 |
| 23 | Scored | 28 |
| 20 | Conceded | 23 |
| +3 | GD | +5 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Sao Paulo FC gets underway.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 9' It’s gonna be a card for Rodrigo Nestor.
- 14' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Zubeldía might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 19' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sao Paulo FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 23' It’s gonna be a card for Lima.
- 24' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 29' GOAL! Igor Vinicius scores on 29.
- 32' The deadlock is broken! Damian Bobadilla gets on the scoresheet on 32 minutes.
- 34' Alisson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 34.
- 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 44' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 45' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Luciano will be fuming at that decision.
- 46' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Martinelli has done his job and it is now time for John Kennedy to step up.
- 51' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 56' Controversy at the stadium! Alexsander Gomes argues furiously but the card stands.
- 59' The referee has no hesitation. Igor Vinicius is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 59.
- 61' Erick gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Juan Santos and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Damian Bobadilla trudges off to be replaced by Giuliano Galoppo on 62 minutes.
- 67' Patryck is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
- 72' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sao Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 77' Sao Paulo FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 79' The whistle greets Elias Kaua as he departs to be replaced by David Terans.
- 84' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Robert Arboleda makes it 3-0.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Marcelo. He replaces Diogo Barbosa on 86 minute.
- 90' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Erick will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Welington is replacing Patryck for the Sao Paulo FC side.
- Full Time. Sao Paulo FC beats Fluminense FC
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 5
- 2
- 28
- 17
- 11
- 36
- 23
- 31
- 21
Bench
- 33
- 93
- 16
- 35
- 8
- 32
- 47
- –
- –
- 4
- 30
- 18
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Diogo Barbosa ↓ Marcelo 86'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Martinelli ↓ John Kennedy 46'
- –
-
–
Elias Kaua ↓ David Terans 79'
Bench
-
–
David Terans ↑ 79'
- –
- –
-
–
Guga ↑ 79'
-
–
Marcelo ↑ 86'
- –
- –
-
–
John Kennedy ↑ 46'
- –
-
–
Felipe ↑ 46'
- –
- –
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| John Kennedy | 2 |
| Patrick | 2 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Fluminense FC
54%
Sao Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

