Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 May | CD Cobresal | A | 3–1 | W |
| 05 May | EC Vitoria | A | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Barcelona SC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | AC Goianiense | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | CSD Colo-Colo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | CA Mineiro | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Apr | Club Cerro Porteno | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 27 | Points | 38 |
| 22 | Played | 23 |
| 7 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 5 |
| 27 | Scored | 34 |
| 26 | Conceded | 28 |
| +1 | GD | +6 |
| 1.23 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 32% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Morumbi!
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 9' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 9.
- 14' Felipe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sao Paulo FC so far.
- 19' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sao Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 23' The referee calls foul for Lima. He receives a card.
- 24' Poor challenge from Manoel. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 29' The deadlock is broken! Igor Vinicius gets on the scoresheet on 29 minutes.
- 32' Goal! Damian Bobadilla scores his 6 goal in 12 matches.
- 34' Alisson is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
- 39' Over 39 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 44' Keno has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 45' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 46' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Martinelli is replaced by John Kennedy.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' Alexsander Gomes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 56.
- 59' Poor challenge from Igor Vinicius. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 61' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Erick comes on to replace Juan Santos.
- 62' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Damian Bobadilla is withdrawn and Giuliano Galoppo gets his opportunity.
- 67' Marcelo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 72' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 77' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sao Paulo FC and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 79' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! David Terans comes on to replace Elias Kaua.
- 84' What a moment for Robert Arboleda! That strike on 84 puts his side firmly in control.
- 86' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marcelo is hanging Diogo Barbosa on the field on 86 minute.
- 90' A moment of madness from Erick on 90 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
- 90' Welington is ready to make an impact after coming on for Patryck at the 90 minute mark.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 5
- 2
- 28
- 17
- 11
- 36
- 23
- 31
- 21
Bench
- 33
- 93
- 16
- 35
- 8
- 32
- 47
- –
- –
- 4
- 30
- 18
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Diogo Barbosa ↓ Marcelo 86'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Martinelli ↓ John Kennedy 46'
- –
-
–
Elias Kaua ↓ David Terans 79'
Bench
-
–
David Terans ↑ 79'
- –
- –
-
–
Guga ↑ 79'
-
–
Marcelo ↑ 86'
- –
- –
-
–
John Kennedy ↑ 46'
- –
-
–
Felipe ↑ 46'
- –
- –
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Robert Arboleda | 2 |
| John Kennedy | 2 |
| Patrick | 2 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Sao Paulo FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Fluminense FC
55%
Sao Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.9%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

