SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Kampka
- Assistant 1 Marcel Gasteier
- Assistant 2 Justin Hasmann (Germany)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | FC Energie Cottbus | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | VfL Osnabruck | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 3 | 2 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 5–3 | W |
| 09 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Mar | Hamburger SV | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | SC Preußen Münster | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Hamburger SV | A | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Feb | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. SC Paderborn 07 host TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf — let the battle begin!
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 20' TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 25' Moritz Heyer is a natural centre-back and has been asked to do a very specific job for TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf tonight.
- 30' TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf have won 272 goals from 303 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Paderborn 07 in their 3-1-4-2 trying to find a way past TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf's compact 3-5-2.
- 40' What composure from Danny Schmidt! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 43' Matthias Zimmermann picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 48' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Paderborn 07 and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 52' Dawid Kownacki is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
- 57' Moritz Heyer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 57.
- 59' SC Paderborn 07 receives a card for a hard tackle on 59.
- 61' Sebastian Klaas is replacing Laurin Curda for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
- 63' SC Paderborn 07 player sees a card in front of him.
- 65' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf player sees a card in front of him.
- 68' It’s a booking for SC Paderborn 07 player. Sebastian Klaas gets a card.
- 71' It is a substitution in SC Paderborn 07 team. Felix Gotze is replaced by Mattes Hansen on 71 minute.
- 76' TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 78' GOAL! Ilyas Ansah scores on 78. Assisted by Aaron Zehnter
- 78' Another substitution for SC Paderborn 07 to replace Filip Bilbija by Marvin Mehlem on 78 minute.
- 83' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lukas Kwasniok will be considering his options from the bench.
- 88' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Paderborn 07 and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 90' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hamza Anhari is hanging Shinta Appelkamp on the field on 90 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf take all three points.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
-
20
Felix Gotze ↓ Mattes Hansen 71'
- 1
- 39
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Marvin Mehlem 78'
-
33
Marcel Hoffmeier ↓ Sven Michel 78'
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↓ Ilyas Ansah 71'
- 32
- 5
-
17
Laurin Curda ↓ Sebastian Klaas 61'
- 25
Bench
-
6
Marvin Mehlem ↑ 78'
- 30
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 78'
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 61'
- 24
-
22
Mattes Hansen ↑ 71'
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 71'
- 43
- 46
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 34
- 25
- 3
-
24
Dawid Kownacki ↓ Jan Boller 90'
- 5
- 33
-
23
Shinta Appelkamp ↓ Hamza Anhari 90'
- 20
- 15
- 18
-
22
Danny Schmidt ↓ Giovanni Haag 78'
Bench
-
6
Giovanni Haag ↑ 78'
-
44
Jan Boller ↑ 90'
- 12
- 26
-
40
Hamza Anhari ↑ 90'
-
41
Deniz Bindemann ↑ 90'
Coach
Daniel Thioune
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Filip Bilbija | 1 |
| Mattes Hansen | 1 |
| Abdelhamid Sabiri | 1 |
| Koen Kostons | 1 |
| Sebastian Schonlau | 1 |
| Dawid Kownacki | 1 |
| Jordy de Wijs | 1 |
| Danny Schmidt | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2025-04-13
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2025-04-04
Eintracht Braunschweig
3–2
SC Paderborn 07
L
2025-03-29
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
1. FC Koln
L
2025-03-15
SC Paderborn 07
5–3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
W
2025-03-09
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0–0
SC Paderborn 07
D
2025-03-02
SC Paderborn 07
2–0
Hamburger SV
W
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf Form
2025-04-13
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
W
2025-04-05
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–0
SC Preußen Münster
W
2025-03-29
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2025-03-15
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–0
SSV Jahn Regensburg
W
2025-03-08
Hamburger SV
4–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2025-02-28
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–2
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
I would bet for:
SC Paderborn 07 or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
70%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
57%
SC Paderborn 07 or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

