Tuesday , 21 July 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 13 Apr 2025 · 11:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena 15,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 40' Danny Schmidt
0–2 52' Dawid Kownacki pen
Ilyas Ansah 78' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Kampka
  • Assistant 1 Marcel Gasteier
  • Assistant 2 Justin Hasmann (Germany)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 1–2 L
04 Apr Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–3 L
29 Mar 1. FC Köln H 1–2 L
15 Mar 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 5–3 W
09 Mar SSV Jahn Regensburg A 0–0 D
02 Mar Hamburger SV H 2–0 W

Season Stats

SC Paderborn 07 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
#3 Position #17
62 Points 37
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 4 / 19
59 Scored 33
45 Conceded 53
+14 GD -20
1.82 PPG 1.09
53% Win % 32%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are 17th (37 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 are looking to make home advantage count against TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf winning 100% of all matches.
  • 10' Germany international Florian Kastenmeier has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jan Boller is clearly more than just a goal scorer for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Paderborn 07 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' Santiago Castaneda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' A goal from the Germany international Danny Schmidt! He fires home on 40 to make it 0-1!
  • 43' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf receives a card for a hard tackle on 43.
  • 48' SC Paderborn 07 are deployed in a 3-1-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 52' The Poland Dawid Kownacki breaks the deadlock on 52 minutes. 0-2!
  • 57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Moritz Heyer on 57.
  • 59' SC Paderborn 07 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 61' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Sebastian Klaas comes on to replace Laurin Curda.
  • 63' Santiago Castaneda was booked on 63.
  • 65' The referee has no hesitation. Jona Niemiec is booked for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — card on 65.
  • 68' It’s a booking for SC Paderborn 07 player. Sebastian Klaas gets a card.
  • 71' Mattes Hansen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Felix Gotze at the 71 minute mark.
  • 76' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 78' What composure from Ilyas Ansah! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 78' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07Marvin Mehlem on, Filip Bilbija off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 88' SC Paderborn 07 is showing some good football. However, SC Paderborn 07 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 90' Shinta Appelkamp makes way for Hamza Anhari at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
  • SC Paderborn 07 will have plenty to reflect on. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.09 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0751% Draw25% TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf24%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
76%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
49%
SC Paderborn 07 or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0741% Draw41% TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf18%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 21% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
30%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.