SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Kampka
- Assistant 1 Marcel Gasteier
- Assistant 2 Justin Hasmann (Germany)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | 1. FC Köln | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 5–3 | W |
| 09 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Mar | Hamburger SV | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | SC Preussen Munster | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Hamburger SV | A | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Feb | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| SC Paderborn 07 | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #17 |
| 62 | Points | 37 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 4 / 19 |
| 59 | Scored | 33 |
| 45 | Conceded | 53 |
| +14 | GD | -20 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.09 |
| 53% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are 17th (37 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 are looking to make home advantage count against TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf winning 100% of all matches.
- 10' Germany international Florian Kastenmeier has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jan Boller is clearly more than just a goal scorer for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Paderborn 07 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' Santiago Castaneda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 40' A goal from the Germany international Danny Schmidt! He fires home on 40 to make it 0-1!
- 43' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf receives a card for a hard tackle on 43.
- 48' SC Paderborn 07 are deployed in a 3-1-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf's 3-5-2 shape.
- 52' The Poland Dawid Kownacki breaks the deadlock on 52 minutes. 0-2!
- 57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Moritz Heyer on 57.
- 59' SC Paderborn 07 player sees a card in front of him.
- 61' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Sebastian Klaas comes on to replace Laurin Curda.
- 63' Santiago Castaneda was booked on 63.
- 65' The referee has no hesitation. Jona Niemiec is booked for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — card on 65.
- 68' It’s a booking for SC Paderborn 07 player. Sebastian Klaas gets a card.
- 71' Mattes Hansen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Felix Gotze at the 71 minute mark.
- 76' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 78' What composure from Ilyas Ansah! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 78' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Marvin Mehlem on, Filip Bilbija off on 78 minutes.
- 83' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 88' SC Paderborn 07 is showing some good football. However, SC Paderborn 07 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 90' Shinta Appelkamp makes way for Hamza Anhari at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
- SC Paderborn 07 will have plenty to reflect on. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf were simply the better side today.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
-
20
Felix Gotze ↓ Mattes Hansen 71'
- 1
- 39
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Marvin Mehlem 78'
-
33
Marcel Hoffmeier ↓ Sven Michel 78'
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↓ Ilyas Ansah 71'
- 32
- 5
-
17
Laurin Curda ↓ Sebastian Klaas 61'
- 25
Bench
-
6
Marvin Mehlem ↑ 78'
- 30
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 78'
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 61'
- 24
-
22
Mattes Hansen ↑ 71'
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 71'
- 43
- 46
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 34
- 25
- 3
-
24
Dawid Kownacki ↓ Jan Boller 90'
- 5
- 33
-
23
Shinta Appelkamp ↓ Hamza Anhari 90'
- 20
- 15
- 18
-
22
Danny Schmidt ↓ Giovanni Haag 78'
Bench
-
6
Giovanni Haag ↑ 78'
-
44
Jan Boller ↑ 90'
- 12
- 26
-
40
Hamza Anhari ↑ 90'
-
41
Deniz Bindemann ↑ 90'
Coach
Daniel Thioune
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Danny Schmidt | 1 |
| Florent Muslija | 1 |
| Ilyas Ansah | 1 |
| Sirlord Conteh | 1 |
| Dennis Jastrzembski | 1 |
| Suliman Mustapha | 1 |
| Yannik Engelhardt | 1 |
| David Kinsombi | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2025-04-13
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2025-04-04
Eintracht Braunschweig
3–2
SC Paderborn 07
L
2025-03-29
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
1. FC Köln
L
2025-03-15
SC Paderborn 07
5–3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
W
2025-03-09
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0–0
SC Paderborn 07
D
2025-03-02
SC Paderborn 07
2–0
Hamburger SV
W
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf Form
2025-04-13
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
W
2025-04-05
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–0
SC Preussen Munster
W
2025-03-29
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2025-03-15
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–0
SSV Jahn Regensburg
W
2025-03-08
Hamburger SV
4–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2025-02-28
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–2
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.09
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
76%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
49%
SC Paderborn 07 or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 21% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

